Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.



Alabama
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Arizona
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Three way race

Arkansas
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

California
55 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Colorado
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Three way race

Connecticut
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Florida
29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Three way race

Georgia
16 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Illinois
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Indiana
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Iowa
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Maine
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Maryland
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 56%–43% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Massachusetts
11 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 62%–37% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Four Way race

Michigan
16 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Minnesota
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Missouri
10 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 53%–46% (Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Three way race

Montana
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–39% (Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Three way race

Nebraska
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 66%–33% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Second congressional district

Nevada
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Three-way race

New Hampshire
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Three way race

New Jersey
14 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 52%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

New Mexico
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Three way race

New York
29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

North Carolina
15 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Three way race

North Dakota
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 63%–36% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Ohio
18 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Oklahoma
7 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4% (Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%

Oregon
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

South Carolina
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South Dakota
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–38% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Tennessee
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–43% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Texas
38 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 61%–38% (Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Three way race


 * – Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.

Utah
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 72%–26% (Republican in 2008) 62%–34%

Vermont
3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 59%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 67%–30%

Virginia
13 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 53%–46%

Three way race

Washington
12 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

West Virginia
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–43% (Republican in 2008) 56%–43%

Wisconsin
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 56%–42%

Three way race