Opinion polling for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election

In the run up to the 2024 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, held on 30 January, to the day the next election was held on 10 March.

Polling
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, parties are shaded with their colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Polls that show their results without distributing those respondents who are undecided or said they would abstain from voting, are re-calculated by removing these numbers from the totals through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.

Hypothetical scenarios
Jorge Moreira da Silva as PSD leader

Luís Montenegro as PSD leader

Luís Montenegro as PSD leader and Nuno Melo as CDS-PP leader Pedro Nuno Santos as PS leader José Luís Carneiro as PS leader

PSD/CDS–PP/IL coalition

Madeira
Unlike the rest of the country, in Madeira, the PSD and CDS–PP contested the election under a coalition called Madeira First, while PPM presented a list of its own.

Preferred prime minister
Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best prime minister or who is better positioned to win are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Hypothetical scenarios
José Luís Carneiro vs Luís Montenegro

Possible PS candidates vs Luís Montenegro

Leaders' ratings
Poll results showing the public opinion on all political party leaders rated from 0 to 10 (with the former being strong disapproval and the latter strong approval) are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order (showing the most recent first).

Polling
Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.