Opinion polling for the next Israeli legislative election

In the run up to the next Israeli legislative election, various organisations are conducting opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the twenty-fifth Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the 2022 Israeli legislative election, held on 1 November, to the present day. In keeping with the election silence tradition, no polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections
This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the next Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Polling graph
This graph shows the polling trends from the 2022 Israeli legislative election until the next election day using local regressions (LOESS). Scenario polls are not included here. For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Polls
Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have received.


 * Legend
 * Government
 * Sum of the 37th government parties: Likud, National Religious Party–Religious Zionism, Otzma Yehudit, Noam, Shas and United Torah Judaism. The coalition parties are highlighted in blue.
 * Opposition bloc
 * Sum of the 36th government parties (often referred to in media as the "opposition bloc" to the 37th government): Yesh Atid, National Unity, Yisrael Beiteinu, Ra'am, New Hope, and The Democrats (a merger of Labor and Meretz). This excludes the non-government parties Balad and Hadash–Ta'al, which were not part of the 36th government.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset. If a bloc has a majority, the sum is displayed in bold with its background shaded in the leading party's colour.

Voting intention polls (reported as percentages)
The following polls reported raw percentages of responses without calculating seat projections:

Scenario polls
Most often, opinion polling about hypothetical scenarios is done in the same survey as the regular polling. This is why these scenario polls are paired for comparison purposes.

{{legend|#ffffff|Regular poll}} {{legend|#fffdb0|Scenario poll}}

Labor-Meretz scenarios

 * Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan


 * Labor and Meretz run together

New party scenarios

 * United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, and Gideon Sa'ar, and National Unity and Yesh Atid form an alliance


 * United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar


 * United right wing party with Avigdor Lieberman, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Ayelet Shaked and Gideon Sa'ar and a separate "Reservists' Party" led by Yoaz Hendel


 * Yoav Gallant forms a new party


 * Naftali Bennett forms a new party


 * Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties


 * New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders


 * Yossi Cohen forms a new party


 * Yoaz Hendel forms a new party


 * New party headed by the anti-judicial reform protest leaders with a new right wing liberal party


 * Yoaz Hendel and Naftali Bennett form a new party


 * Yariv Levin forms a new party


 * New Anti Judicial Overhaul Right Wing Party

Alternative leadership scenarios

 * Gadi Eisenkot leads National Unity


 * Nir Barkat leads the Likud


 * Yossi Cohen leads the Likud


 * Yoav Gallant leads the Likud

Other scenarios and scenario combinations

 * Labor and Meretz run together under Yair Golan; Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen, Avigdor Lieberman form a new party


 * Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form two separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list


 * Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen & Labor and Meretz under Yair Golan


 * Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen join Yisrael Beiteinu


 * Merger of Gideon Sa'ar, Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen


 * New Hope splits from National Unity, Naftali Bennett, Yossi Cohen and Yoaz Hendel form three separate new parties, and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz joint list


 * Yoav Gallant forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union


 * New Hope splits from National Unity


 * Naftali Bennett and Yossi Cohen form a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union


 * Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yossi Cohen becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union


 * Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Nir Barkat becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union


 * Naftali Bennett forms a new party, Yoav Gallant becomes Likud leader and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union


 * Naftali Bennett forms a new party and Yair Golan is the head of a Labor and Meretz union

Open question
The following polls asked prime ministerial preferences as an open question without providing a list of options.

Government party figures
· Chair of the Knesset Constitution, Law and Justice Committee · Member of the Religious Zionist Party

Voting intention relative to vote in previous election
The following polls asked potential voters about their voting intentions in the next election relative to their vote in the previous election:

Whether voters intend to vote for the same party as they did in 2022
The following polls asked potential voters whether they intend to vote for the same party as they did in the 2022 election