Talk:2012 South Korean presidential election

"Speculated"
Many of the candidates I've listed have been referred to quite firmly as candidates for the presidency, but I've yet to see anything that indicates this is more than speculation (albeit very strong speculation). I'd be happy if anybody can find a citation (probably in Korean) that says that these people have explicitly declared they are running. (The French Wikipedia explicitly declares that "En février 2012, aucun candidat ne s'est déclaré officiellement" but this does not appear to be cited.) --Tyrannus Mundi (talk) 22:07, 3 April 2012 (UTC)
 * This has been cleared up in recent news --Tyrannus Mundi (talk) 02:45, 23 April 2012 (UTC)

Analysis for the 2012 legislative election
Anyone interested in SK politics and the implication of the 2012 legislative election might find this podcast from the Korea Society interesting: Korea’s Legislative Elections: The Day After (Date: April 12, 2012)

Summary:
 * Social Network Service: (Shin Gi-wook) Many thought that SNS is very crucial in mobilizing young voters, but when looking outside of Seoul, SNS wasn’t effective. (Charles K. Armstrong) SNS is more party-neutral than it was claimed. Seoul mayor by-election in last October was an exception and shouldn't be thought as an indicator for national elections.
 * How viable is Ahn Cheol-soo?: (Shin) Ahn Cheol-soo wants to be a President. But he has many to lose, that’s why he’s still hesitating and be opportunistic. Now DUP don’t have a strong candidate who can defeat Park GH. Moon Jae-in had been a potential candidate in DUP, but didn't prove himself to challenge Park GH. At the same time, DUP is now controlled by Roh’s loyalist. It is an open question whether Roh’s loyalist will give up party’s control. They could give up Seoul mayor position, but they couldn't give up President position. (that’s too much.) If not Moon Jae-in, then they will look for someone else, could be Kim Doo-kwan. Still all Moon, Kim, and Sohn Hak-kyu are not strong candidates. Then, there will be some space for Ahn Cheol-Soo. It’s all speculation, but don’t think Ahn will join the DUP. He might remain as an independent, and will try to have an unified ticket as they did for Seoul Mayor by-election. On the other hand, he may not coming out. He lost a chance. If he really interested in presidency, then he should come out last December and should engage actively in April election for his people.
 * Could Roh Moo-hyun's case be repeated in December?: (Shin) Roh was very lucky in 2002, and it would be very difficult for anyone do the same. Roh was from Gyeong-sang. So he was able to obtain fair amount of votes from Young-nam that usually goes to GNP. He had a strong support from Kim DJ, and by doing so could win Honam region’s votes. In terms of regional structure, he was in excellent position. Still it wasn’t enough for him, if he couldn’t get endorsement from Chung Mong-joon. So he could have a single ticket. Still he won very narrow margin. It was a miracle for Roh, so unlikely happen again in near future.

South Korean politics is very unpredictable. Let's find out whether these speculations in April turn out to be accurate in December.

--- PBJT (talk) 07:50, 13 May 2012 (UTC)

DUP party leadership election
Lee Hae-chan, Kim Han-gil and Lee Jong-geol will run for the party primary, which will be held on June 9. Here is a Dong-a Ilbo article, and it shows each candidates' profile: 이해찬 “정권창출 기획자” vs 김한길 “친노 명찰 떼자” (Lee Hae-chan "Architect of Roh regime" vs. Kim Han-gil "Let's discard Roh's name-tag") (Date: 14 May 2012, Author: Cho Soo-jin (조수진), Language: Korean) --- PBJT (talk) 03:09, 15 May 2012 (UTC)

"당대표(1명)와 최고위원(5명)을 뽑는 민주통합당 6·9전당대회가 14일 후보 등록을 마감하고 본격적인 레이스를 시작했다. 후보는 모두 8명. 경쟁률이 낮은 상태에서 각 계파의 인물들이 고루 출마해 누가 낙선할지도 관심을 모은다. (in translation) On May 14, candidate registration for the DUP's leadership election have ended. The election will be held on June 9, and one party leader and five party supreme council members will be elected. Eight candidates from various factions have decided to run, and the competition isn't fierce. It would be interesting to watch who will fail to be elected."

Let's see whether Lee Hae-chan can be elected as the DUP leader, just likePark Jie-won and Moon Jae-in have planned out in April. --- PBJT (talk) 03:49, 15 May 2012 (UTC)

Funny statistics from Daejeon
Based on the results from Daejeon Moon Jae-in should have received higher percentage of votes than Park Geun-hye. That doesn't sum up right... Daejeon	 450,576	49.95% to Park Geun-hye 488,310	49.70% to Moon Jae-in

Jae-in gets 37734 more votes yet he has .25% fewer total percentage. — Preceding unsigned comment added by HlynurTT (talk • contribs) 10:11, 21 December 2012 (UTC)

A possible impeachment?
I'm seeing SBS News right now. This incident about the Manipulation of public opinion by National Intelligence Service during 2012 South Korean presidential election is getting revealed by the public. We might see Park Geun-hye getting impeached within this year. Komitsuki (talk) 03:33, 7 May 2013 (UTC)

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