Talk:2020 dengue outbreak in Singapore

Note on statistics about increase in dengue cases attributed to COVID-19 circuit breaker
A note for future readers and editors.

The 1 Oct 2020 commentary article in CNA states: "We found almost 50 per cent more infections during the circuit breaker period than there should have been based on our modelling." However, the actual research paper instead gives "around a 37.2% increase (95% CI, 19.9%–49.8%) from expected baseline levels attributable to [the circuit breaker]". The figure of "almost 50%" looks likely to have been derived from the "49.8%" in the confidence interval, which is not an appropriate interpretation. Considering Prof. Cook who wrote the commentary is also an author on the research paper, it is more probable that the mistake was introduced by editorial staff. Compare to Asian Scientist which correctly reports "a 37 percent increase".

"37.2%" is the correct figure, do not use "50%" as cited in CNA. — 2406:3003:2077:1E60:C998:20C6:8CCF:5730 (talk) 15:36, 26 June 2022 (UTC)