Talk:2024 Cook by-election

2CP "swing"
@Totallynotarandomalt69 LIB v ALP and LIB v GRN are two different metrics, so a swing between them does not make statistical sense. This is why the AEC does not calculate a swing to the Liberals. If 60% of people preferred apples to oranges last year, but 70% of people preferred apples to bananas this year, that doesn't mean apples are 10%pts more popular. ITBF (talk) 07:47, 15 April 2024 (UTC)


 * Should first off make it clear I somewhat agree with you, it's obviously a different metric, but the Liberal post-preference vote is still a thing regardless of who it's against
 * I can find more examples but the following pages show swings at a by-election (where it's LIB/ALP v non-LIB/ALP) compared with the previous election where it was LIB/ALP, and all show the swing from the previous election
 * 2023 Warrandyte state by-election
 * 2023 Narracan state supplementary election
 * 2002 Cunningham by-election
 * 2022 Willoughby state by-election
 * A such I think we should stick with these pages and many more and keep the swing in the Liberal 2PP/2CP box there
 * That being said - the "swing" in the section directly across from the "hold/gain" section should be blank or say "N/A" Totallynotarandomalt69 (talk) 07:58, 15 April 2024 (UTC)
 * Those articles are wrong too - I'll raise it at the noticeboard as this is a wider issue. We should be sticking with the official AEC source. ITBF (talk) 06:52, 22 April 2024 (UTC)
 * That's fair enough, if noticeboard consensus leans to changing, go with it obv Totallynotarandomalt69 (talk) 06:53, 22 April 2024 (UTC)