Talk:Peak gold

Requested move

 * The following discussion is an archived discussion of a requested move. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made in a new section on the talk page. No further edits should be made to this section. 

The result of the move request was page moved. ukexpat (talk) 20:07, 16 November 2009 (UTC)

Peak Gold → Peak gold — current title is capitalized incorrectly. --192.12.88.12 (talk) 17:22, 15 November 2009 (UTC)


 * ✅, non-contentious move per naming conventions. – ukexpat (talk) 20:07, 16 November 2009 (UTC)
 * The above discussion is preserved as an archive of a requested move. Please do not modify it. Subsequent comments should be made in a new section on this talk page. No further edits should be made to this section.

There is probably no such thing as peak gold, since gold resouces on a world scale are inexhaustible. Refer to the 'resource pyramid' discussion by the USGS; most minerals cannot 'run out', since with each 1 percent of lower grade mined, the size of the mineral resource increases exponentially. In other words, there is about 3+ times as much gold in the earths crust at 0.9g/t than there is at 1.0g/t, and about 9++ times as much at 0.8g/t, and so on.

There are a few possible exceptions to this general rule of exponentually increasing resources with lowering of grades, such as with liquid oil- since oil is not produced by the earth's crust but needs special organic source conditions, however most minerals produced by, and within, the earth's crust cannot be 'mined out' by definition (unless we run out of rocks), therefore any reference to a peak in production only relates to human supply/demand factors, and not the actual resources in the earths crust, and these human supply/demand factors are fundamentally not predictable over the long term. In other words, we will never 'run out' of gold (or alumimium, or copper, or tin, etc etc), and whether or not more or less gold is mined in 100 or 1000 years is fundamentally a factor of human social factors, not supply factors. One cannot predict the demand for gold in either 100 years or 1000 years, and so one cannot meangingfully refer to 'peak production in gold' in similar time frames.

The same goes for nearly all other minerals in the crust. Most people who refer to such 'peaks' with regards to minerals simply do not understand the nature of mineral resources, something can be non-renewable but in human terms inexhaustible, something to which the resource pyramid paper of the USGS discusses. I'm sorry I dont have a reference for the paper off-hand. — Preceding unsigned comment added by 203.142.70.162 (talk) 15:20, 13 November 2011 (UTC)

This article is questionable and doesn't provide reliable and scientific sources. — Preceding unsigned comment added by 86.33.190.85 (talk) 14:49, 9 April 2013 (UTC)

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