User:Dharmabumvida/sandbox

The emergentist party is a nonpartisan political ideology based on the theory of emergentism, which describes humans and societies as complex and nonlinear systems. Emergentists believe systems thinking is useful in everyday life and can be especially helpful in political reasoning. The organization is concerned with educating citizens and politicians, synthesizing interdisciplinary research on emergence into a political framework, and using deep machine learning to build more accurate models predicting complex systems, such as the free market and government policy.

Motivation
Complex systems have unique features and ways of functioning (e.g. nonlinear, chaotic) that require specialized mathematical tools to model and predict accurately. Examples of complex systems are weather patterns, birds flocking, schools of fish, the stock market, etc. Complex and emergent systems are difficult to model and predict due to the interconnected nature of many variables. Even our best linear mathematical modeling methods fail to provide accurate long term predictions of these chaotic systems, e.g. we can’t predict the weather more than 7 days out accurately, and algorithms still can’t perfectly predict the stock market.

The tools for effectively understanding and modeling humans and society as complex systems are currently spread over many different scientific disciplines (e.g. sociology, dynamical systems , nonlinear mathematics , biological emergence , machine learning, control systems , cognitive science , developmental robotics , artificial intelligence, etc.). Emergentists take an interdisciplinary approach to synthesize the various advancements in systems thinking from different scientific disciplines to create a political ideology and set of politically relevant computational modeling tools.

Education
Educate citizens and politicians about systems thinking, emergence, and the important role technologies based on those ideas can play in evidence-based policy making. The ideas of emergence have been discussed scientifically since the 1800s, but modern technology has enabled a much higher degree of understanding and pragmatic application using nonlinear computational models, such as cellular automata.

Interdisciplinary Research Synthesis
Synthesize the vast research about emergence spread across the many different scientific disciplines (e.g., chaos theory, dynamical systems, biological emergence, social emergence, organizational management, etc.) into an accessible and streamlined theoretical framework that can support political thinking. Emergence theory and systems thinking seem like difficult concepts, but they describe the principles of nature, with which we are all intimately familiar. Once pointed out in sufficient detail, the concepts of emergence align with human experience of chaotic systems in the environment, such as flocks of birds, weather patterns, and stock markets. Emergentists strive to bring these insights into relevance for everyday thinking and political reasoning.

Collaborate & Build
Form a collaborative network of scientists, engineers, designers, and other interested parties to design a suite of technologies using deep machine learning to model the emergent principles of chaotic systems, such as the free market and government policy decisions. In the past 2 years, deep machine learning has revolutionized the pattern recognition and predictive capabilities of machine learning algorithms, but those advances have not yet been applied to economic and policy decisions extensively. Emergentists claim that, with a bit of teamwork, these new computational methods can yield much more precise models and predictions than any economic simulations that came before, regardless of their ideological underpinnings, or the complexity of the mathematics. These deep machine learning networks are able to find patterns and build their own model of the data autonomously and without bias, except for the selection of which data is given as input. Fortunately, there is more than enough supercomputing power available to use virtually all the available data we can find to feed into the system to reduce the risk of bias. We would finally be able to determine, with a given percentage of confidence, the ‘objective’ effects of policy decisions using these simulations. Over time, the algorithms continue to improve in accuracy as they analyze new incoming data to confirm or reject the predicted outcome.

Relation to Major Political Parties
Emergentism provides a new and inclusive perspective that acknowledges the merits and truths of each party. They recognize free markets as a unique phenomena that require special concepts, mathematical tools, and advanced machine learning algorithms to fully understand. In this paradigm, technology is proposed as a means of advancing our political and governmental design using human-AI systems to support decision making.

Libertarian Party
The libertarian ideology recognizes free markets are special, but assumes that means they cannot be effectively regulated due to unintended consequences (e.g. higher minimum wage, higher cost of production, lower employment rate). Emergentists acknowledge free markets work as a dynamical chaotic nonlinear system that cannot be effectively regulated without the appropriate mathematical tools to simulate, model, and predict the unintended non-linear effects of the inherently linear thinking process of humans.

Democratic Party
Democrats value equality and social programs to help those in need, but don’t necessarily consider the unintended consequences of these well-meaning programs. Emergentists advocate for social programs that objectively minimize unintended consequences based on observable evidence and highly accurate predictive models. We recognize it is the government’s role in a society to help create a harmonious environment for its populace within which each citizen can reach their full potential. However, we also recognize that well intended social programs can have unintended side effects, and we claim these can be mitigated with new tools and technologies.

Republican Party
Republicans value business and economic growth. They often support a ‘free market’ or minimal-regulation approach to allow maximum innovation in an industry. Emergentists recognize the unique ability of a free market to spur innovation, but we also recognize that the unintended consequences of markets, such as environmental destruction and labor conditions, need to be closely monitored. From a systems perspective, a cost-benefit analysis would never show that short term gains by industry outweighed long term pollution and health hazzards. Current models do not account for enough variables to truly understand the interdependence of the various industries, systems, and processes in place in our global society.

Sociopolitical Principles of Emergentism

 * 1) Social programs and policies cause unintended consequences. Due to the dynamical nature of society, large scale decisions often produce changes over time that were not directly intended by the policy, called unintended consequences.
 * 2) Unintended consequences are difficult to predict when generating policies. Dynamical and complex systems, such as the free market, require special tools and mathematical techniques to understand, which are not currently used ubiquitously. As a result, the predictive ability of politicians is limited by their conceptual and computational tools.
 * 3) If you do not regulate or generate a policy, you cannot directly cause unintended consequences. However, through inaction, unintended consequences may still occur.  All decisions exist within a dynamical free market landscape that is shaped by every policy decision made until now. The ideal of a ‘truly free market’ is itself flawed, as the market naturally reflects the current social configuration and social fabric that has emerged at the time. Policy and social decisions that have been made thus far have created a momentum and trajectory that must be considered when making decisions about the future. By choosing inaction, non-regulation, or worse--allowing corporations to regulate, we deny ourselves the tools the best scientist, engineers, and technologists have designed to help tune the emergent system we know as the free market. Ultimately, through our inaction, unintended consequences may still occur that could have been avoided had we employed the appropriate tools.
 * 4) Markets tend toward self-regulation and harmonization if left to their own devices in a healthy market environment. Nature tends towards harmonization in the appropriate conditions, which is the principle behind natural selection, evolution, and biological growth, also referred to as autopoiesis, i.e. a self-reproducing living system. However, living systems require certain environmental parameters to sustain themselves through time. The free market is an emergent system that has its own life in the same way as a flock of birds, a river, or a human body, but we need chaos-based tools to account for the many dynamical environmental conditions affecting it.
 * 5) A healthy market environment is created through a well educated populace and sustained through emergentist policy decisions.  A well educated citizenry ensures the free market and government function optimally because each citizen forms the fabric of the free market and government. The core principle of an emergent social system is that each unit is an autonomous microcosm of the macrocosm that exhibits its own unique autonomy. Each individual part of society is a reflection of the whole society, and the emergent whole is equally a reflection of all the individual parts, as the whole only exists by way of the emergent sum of its parts. Following this, a society is only as good as it treats its most disadvantaged members. This principle highlights the importance of education in an emergentist society. Education is the key to helping individuals perceive and passionately pursue opportunities for improving and optimizing their environment. An education system that incorporates the sociopolitical and sociocognitive principles of emergentism in its guiding philosophy would encourage individual growth to achieve global social change. For example, students would be encouraged to engage in meaningful and productive creative expression from a young age (12+yrs old), such as genuine knowledge building, technology production, and artistic expression.