User:HuntClubJoe/Ottawa South draught 1

Ottawa South (French: Ottawa-Sud) is an Ottawa electoral district in the Canadian province of Ontario. It is represented in the Canadian House of Commons by David McGuinty, brother of Ontario Premier and Ottawa South MPP Dalton McGuinty. The riding was created in 1987 from parts of Ottawa—Vanier, Ottawa Centre and the former Ottawa—Carleton electoral districts. It has been held continuously by Liberal candidates since it was first contested in 1988. Ottawa South is a suburban, generally middle class riding. As of 2006, it had the highest Arab population of any Ontario constituency.



Geography
The riding is located within the city of Ottawa. The riding is presently bounded north and east by Highway 417, on the west by the Rideau River, and on the south by a line beginning at the Rideau River and the former Ottawa city limits, then east to Limebank Road, south to Leitrim Road, east to the CP Rail line, north to Lester Road, then east along Lester and Davidson Road to Conroy Road, north to Hunt Club Road and east along Hunt Club and its prolongation to Highway 417. Neighbouring districts include Ottawa—Vanier to the north, Ottawa—Orleans to the east, Nepean—Carleton to the south and Ottawa West—Nepean and Ottawa Centre to the west.

Ottawa South comprises the neighbourhoods of Riverview, Eastway Gardens, Alta Vista, Riverside Park, Mooney's Bay, Hunt Club Woods, Hunt Club Estate, Hunt Club Chase, South Keys, Ellwood, Heron Gate, Sheffield Glen, Airport-Uplands, Elizabeth Park, Windsor Park Village, and Blossom Park in the city of Ottawa. The total area is 76 km2. There are 233 polling divisions.

==Demographics ==

Total average income, 2005: $39,192

Ethnic origins: British Isles: 43,360 (37.2%), Other North American: 27,650 (23.7%), French: 20,570 (17.6%), Arab: 13,600 (11.7%), Western European: 11,075 (9.5%), Southern European: 10,380 (8.9%), Eastern European: 9,205 (7.9%), East and Southeast Asian: 7,945 (6.8%), African: 7,175 (6.2%), South Asian: 4,725 (4.1%), Caribbean: 3,845 (3.3%), Aboriginal: 3,745 (3.2%), West Asian: 2,420 (2.1%), Latin, Central & South American: 2,380 (2.0%), Northern European: 2,090 (1.8%), Other European: 2,025 (1.7%), Oceania: 145 (0.1%)

Mother tongue*, number of speakers (percentage): English 64,050 (56.5%), French 14,710 (13.0%), Arabic 9,555 (8.4%), Chinese (All)** 3,640 (3.2%), Spanish 2,140 (1.9%), Somali 2,010 (1.8%), Italian 1,760 (1.6%), Persian (Farsi) 1,270 (1.1%), Polish 1,005 (0.9%), German 790 (0.7%), Tagalog (Filipino) 720 (0.6%), Russian 695 (0.6%), Vietnamese 680 (0.6%), Portuguese 640 (0.6%), Urdu 600 (0.5%), Greek 575 (0.5%), Panjabi (Punjabi) 550 (0.5%), Tamil 465 (0.4%), Korean 450 (0.4%), Creoles 450 (0.4%), Other languages 6,640 (5.9%)

"Mother tongue" is defined as the first language learned at home, and still understood at the time of the census. "Chinese (All)" is the sum of people who identified their mother tongue as Chinese n.o.s. (not otherwise specified), Cantonese, Mandarin and Taiwanese.

Education, 25-64 year olds: No certificate, diploma or degree: 6,130 (9.8%) High school certificate or equivalent: 13,785 (22.1%) Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma: 3,595 (5.8%) College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma: 11,685 (18.8%) University certificate, diploma or degree: 27,105 (43.5%)

Members of Parliament
The riding has elected the following Members of Parliament:

Federal electoral district history
The district was created in 1987. 65.7% of the new riding's area was added from Ottawa—Carleton, 20.1% from Ottawa Centre and 14.2% from Ottawa—Vanier.



1988
Barry Turner was the incumbent going into the 1988 race, as the MP for the defunct Ottawa—Carleton riding. Turner had a reputation as a hard working MP, but would be defeated by tax lawyer John Manley. This was on the heels of a nationwide phone and mail campaign by the Public Service Alliance of Canada to defeat Progressive Conservative candidates, in protest of the Mulroney government's cuts to the civil service.


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal gain from Progressive Conservative
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|+12.1
 * align="right"|
 * align="right"|

^ Change based on redistributed results.

1993
Manley was re-elected in the midst of a landslide victory for the opposition Liberals, and was named Minister of Industry by Prime Minister Jean Chrétien. Doug Walkinshaw, a consulting engineer, was the Reform Party candidate. Joe Anton, an auditor for Revenue Canada, defeated the mayor of Kanata for the Progressive Conservative nomination. Economist Ursule Critoph was the NDP candidate.


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|+19.1
 * align="right"|+7.0
 * align="right"|+7.0

1997
Before the 1997 election, the riding changed its boundaries slightly. The old 1987 version encompassed 95% of the new 1994 version, with the remaining 5% coming from nearby Carleton-Gloucester. John Manley was re-elected with another majority, garnering more than three times the votes of his closest adversary, the Reform Party's Carla Marie Dancey. Progressive Conservative Keith Beardsley, a staffer to MP Gerry Weiner, placed third. Marcella Munro of the NDP placed fourth.


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Difference
 * align="right"|23,203
 * align="right"|43.2
 * align="right"|-8.7


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|-4.4
 * align="right"|-23.5
 * align="right"|-23.5

2000
In 2000, Manley defeated investment counselor Brad Darbyson, the Canadian Alliance candidate. Finishing in third was engineer Kevin Lister, the Progressive Conservative candidate and native Albertan. The NDP's Jeannie Page placed fourth.


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Difference
 * align="right"|13,908
 * align="right"|26.9
 * align="right"|-16.3
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Rejected Ballots
 * align="right"|231
 * align="right"|0.4
 * align="right"|-0.3
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Turnout
 * align="right"|52,021
 * align="right"|62.0
 * align="right"|-10.3
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|-8.2
 * align="right"|-3.8
 * align="right"|-3.8

^ Canadian Alliance change compares to the vote total for the Reform Party candidate in 1997.

2004
The riding's boundaries had very little change. 99.7% of the riding remained intact, taking 0.3% from Ottawa-Vanier. John Manley retired prior to the 2004 election. He was one of several Liberal MPs to retire who were loyal to Jean Chrétien. David McGuinty, a lawyer and brother of Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty, won the Liberal nomination. The newly-formed Conservative Party nominated Alan Riddell, also a lawyer, who received bad press when it was reported he had been driving with a suspended license. The Conservatives would benefit from the combined votes of the former PC and Canadian Alliance parties, but would still fall short by over five thousand votes. Monia Mazigh, the wife of Maher Arar, was the NDP candidate. While considered a strong candidate due to her high profile in the media, as well being a Muslim in a riding with a considerable Muslim minority, she placed third. The Green Party's John Ford placed fourth, garnering almost 6% of the popular vote in the party's first run in Ottawa South.


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Difference
 * align="right"|5,334
 * align="right"|9.0
 * align="right"|-17.9
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Rejected Ballots
 * align="right"|361
 * align="right"|0.6
 * align="right"|+0.2
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Turnout
 * align="right"|59,591
 * align="right"|69.7
 * align="right"|+7.7
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|-1.1
 * align="right"|+7.1
 * align="right"|+7.1

^Change from 2000 is not based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals from the 2000 election. Poll-by-poll results

2004 Party Nomination Contests
{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|March 6, 2004
 * align="center" bgcolor="lightcoral" colspan=3|Liberal Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="lightcoral" colspan=3|Liberal Party of Canada
 * Camille Awada||Ottawa||
 * Diane Deans||Ottawa||
 * John Samuel||Ottawa||
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X
 * John Samuel||Ottawa||
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|March 8, 2004
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * Brad Darbyson||Ottawa||
 * Terry Kilrea||Nepean||
 * Alan Riddell||Ottawa|| X
 * Terry Kilrea||Nepean||
 * Alan Riddell||Ottawa|| X
 * Alan Riddell||Ottawa|| X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|April 14, 2004
 * align="center" bgcolor="sandybrown" colspan=3|New Democratic Party
 * align="center" bgcolor="sandybrown" colspan=3|New Democratic Party
 * Jeannie Page||Ottawa||
 * Monia Mazigh||Nepean|| X
 * Monia Mazigh||Nepean|| X
 * Monia Mazigh||Nepean|| X

2006
David McGuinty was re-elected after two years as a Liberal back-bencher. The race was closer than 2004, as McGuinty faced a tough challenge from Conservative Allan Cutler, the man who blew the whistle on the Liberal Sponsorship Scandal. The margin of victory was closer than in 2004, with McGuinty coming out on top. Cutler's nomination was not without controversy though, as 2004 Conservative candidate Alan Riddell was pressured by Stephen Harper and Conservative Party Council president Don Plett not to seek nomination in exchange for $50,000 to cover his expenses. Running for the NDP was the Lebanese-born economist Henri Sader, who maintained Monia Mazigh's strong polling despite lower campaign spending. Running again for Greens again was John Ford, and running for the Progressive Canadian Party again was Brad Thomson who had all but dropped out, endorsing McGuinty. The Marijuana Party planned on running Tim Meehan, but he did not gain ballot access.


 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Difference
 * align="right"|4,124
 * align="right"|6.71
 * align="right"|-2.29
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Rejected Ballots
 * align="right"|298
 * align="right"|0.5
 * align="right"|-0.1
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * align="right" colspan=3|Turnout
 * align="right"|61,808
 * align="right"|71.71
 * align="right"|+2.00
 * - bgcolor="white"
 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|-1.48
 * align="right"|+0.1
 * align="right"|+0.1

2006 Party Nomination Contests
{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|May 9, 2005
 * align="center" bgcolor="lightcoral" colspan=3|Liberal Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="lightcoral" colspan=3|Liberal Party of Canada
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|May 17, 2005
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * Barry Turner||Nepean||X
 * Barry Turner||Nepean||X



{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|November 25, 2005
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * Allan S. Cutler||Nepean||X
 * Allan S. Cutler||Nepean||X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|November 10, 2005
 * align="center" bgcolor="sandybrown" colspan=3|New Democratic Party
 * align="center" bgcolor="sandybrown" colspan=3|New Democratic Party
 * Sandra Griffith-Bonaparte||Ottawa||
 * Henri Sader||Ottawa|| X
 * Henri Sader||Ottawa|| X
 * Henri Sader||Ottawa|| X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|August 29, 2005
 * align="center" bgcolor="yellowgreen" colspan=3|Green Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="yellowgreen" colspan=3|Green Party of Canada
 * John Ford||Ottawa||X
 * John Ford||Ottawa||X

2008
In opposition, McGuinty served as the Liberal Party's environment critic. He faced nominal opposition from three lesser-known candidates. The Conservative candidate was Lebanese-born Elie Salibi, the director of international sales with Corel. The NDP candidate was Hijal De Sarkar, a Carleton University political science student of Bengali descent. The Green candidate was Qais Ghanem, a Yemeni-born doctor. Former Libertarian Party leader Jean-Serge Brisson also ran, with Al Gullon running under the Progressive Canadian banner. McGuinty was able to increase his 2006 vote total, and lead over his closest opponent, to be re-elected.


 * bgcolor="#D71920"|
 * align="left" colspan=2|Liberal hold
 * align="right"|Swing
 * align="right"|+4.83
 * align="right"|
 * align="right"|

Nomination contests for the 2008 federal election

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"| ?
 * align="center" bgcolor="lightcoral" colspan=3|Liberal Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="lightcoral" colspan=3|Liberal Party of Canada
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X
 * David McGuinty||Ottawa||X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|February 23, 2007
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="cornflowerblue" colspan=3|Conservative Party of Canada
 * Elie Salibi||Ottawa||X
 * George M. Brown || Ottawa ||
 * George M. Brown || Ottawa ||
 * George M. Brown || Ottawa ||

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|September 11, 2008
 * align="center" bgcolor="sandybrown" colspan=3|New Democratic Party
 * align="center" bgcolor="sandybrown" colspan=3|New Democratic Party
 * Hijal De Sarkar||Ottawa|| X
 * Hijal De Sarkar||Ottawa|| X

{| border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0" class="wikitable" !align="left"|Candidate !align="center"|Residence !align="left"|June 16, 2007
 * align="center" bgcolor="yellowgreen" colspan=3|Green Party of Canada
 * align="center" bgcolor="yellowgreen" colspan=3|Green Party of Canada
 * Qais Ghanem||Ottawa||X
 * Peter Tretter||Ottawa||
 * Peter Tretter||Ottawa||
 * Peter Tretter||Ottawa||