User:Kahlores/Sandbox/Israel, draft, 23

In the run up to the 2020 Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the 22nd Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous election, held on 17 September 2019, to the present day. The elections are to be held on 2 March 2020. No polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election until the polling stations closing on election day at 22:00.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections
This section displays voting intention estimates referring to a hypothetical Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Graphs
This graph shows the polling trends from the 17 September 2019 Israeli legislative election until election day using 4-poll moving average. Scenario polls are not included here.

For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats.

Polls
Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) rather than the number of seats they would have gotten.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset.


 * Color key:

Scenarios
Various polls tested the scenario where Gideon Sa'ar replaces Benjamin Netanyahu as leader of the Likud party. Sa'ar eventually challenged Netanyahu's leadership and lost the internal vote in December.
 * Gideon Sa'ar


 * Color key:

Prime minister
Due to the political deadlock which resulted after the previous election, Shas chairman and Interior Minister Aryeh Deri suggested direct elections for prime minister. Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as prime minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the tables below.


 * Netanyahu vs Gantz


 * Sa'ar vs Gantz

Coalition
Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which coalition they would prefer. The tables below list their responses as percentages.


 * National unity government headed by Benjamin Netanyahu


 * Minority government backed by the Joint List


 * Government headed by Benny Gantz


 * General