User:Omni ND/Tropical Cyclone Advisories/South Indian/2006 Advisories/Tropical Disturbance Advice

JTWC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN TO THE NORTHWEST OF MAINLAND AUSTRALIA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY NOT WELL ORGANIZED, BUT THE GFS FORECASTS IT TO DRIFT AROUND OVER THE WARM WATERS OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, WHICH MAY GIVE IT A CHANCE TO DEVELOP. THOUGH UNDER MODERATE WIND SHEAR, THIS DISTURBANCE HAS ACQUIRED GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND MAY SOON BE A CAUSE FOR CONCERN FOR AUSTRALIA. RESIDENTS OF THE AREA SHOULD BEGIN TO MONITOR THE ACTIVITY IF ORGANIZATIONAL INCREASE CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.

CURRENT: 20 KNOTS 12 HOURS: 25 KNOTS 24 HOURS: 25 KNOTS 36 HOURS: 30 KNOTS 48 HOURS: 30 KNOTS 60 HOURS: 30 KNOTS 72 HOURS: 35 KNOTS 84 HOURS: 40 KNOTS 96 HOURS: 45 KNOTS 108 HOURS: 55 KNOTS 120 HOURS: 65 KNOTS 132 HOURS: 80 KNOTS 144 HOURS: 90 KNOTS