User:Omni ND/Tropical Cyclone Advisories/South Indian/2006 Advisories/Tropical Disturbance Advice2

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED EXCELLENT OUTFLOW UNDER AN AREA OF GOOD POLEWARD DIVERGENCE AND MODERATE BUT DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GFS ANALYSIS SHOW THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS MEANDERING OVER A POOL OF 29 DEGREES C WATER. THE GFS ALSO FORECASTS SLOW AND FLUCTUATING DEVELOPMENT. THIS FORECAST IS STRONGER THAN THE GFS DUE TO SOME VERY FAVORABLE FACTORS THE MODEL HASN'T ACCOUNTED FOR. WESTERN AUSTRALIAN RESIDENTS SHOULD BEGIN TO MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WILL BE ISSUED IF THE CURRENT ORGANIZING TREND CONTINUES FOR THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.

CURRENT: 25 KNOTS 12 HOURS: 30 KNOTS 24 HOURS: 35 KNOTS 36 HOURS: 40 KNOTS 48 HOURS: 55 KNOTS 60 HOURS: 70 KNOTS 72 HOURS: 75 KNOTS 84 HOURS: 85 KNOTS 96 HOURS: 95 KNOTS 108 HOURS: 90 KNOTS 120 HOURS: 100 KNOTS 132 HOURS: 105 KNOTS 144 HOURS: 65 KNOTS...INLAND