User:Onopearls/Asian space race

The Asian space race is a purported race among several Asian countries to achieve scientific and technological advancements in space.

Outer space is of strategic concern to a growing number of countries worldwide. Earth's orbit firstly, and Manned spaceflight after are becoming the main battleground to ensure national security.

In past and recent years, a number of Asian nations have become serious contenders in the race to control space.

Asian space powers
Of the nine (or eleven if one counts Russia and Ukraine separate from the Soviet Union) countries that have successfully launched a satellite independently into orbit, five are Asian countries, including Japan, China, India, Israel and Iran. In relation to Japan, China, and India, Israel and Iran are considered less influential in the Asian space race.

Kazakhstan does not have its own rocket technology and hosts the Baikonur Cosmodrome launch facility which is used by Russia under a lease agreement of $150 million annually. Iraq developed and tested the Tammouz space launch vehicle without a satellite on 5 December 1989. According to a press release by the Iraqi News Agency the warhead completed 6 orbits, but this was not confirmed by international observers. North Korea has also claimed to have launched satellites Kwangmyŏngsŏng by its own launchers twice (in 31 August 1988 and in 5 April 2009), however according to international observers those rockets fell into the North Pacific without deploying of satellites in orbit. South Korea plans to enter the Asian space club in 2009 and Indonesia, Taiwan, Pakistan, Malaysia, Turkey are claimed to have some kind of space program too.

China's first manned spacecraft entered orbit in October 2003, making China the first Asian nation and the third after Soviet Union/Russia and the United States in the world to send a human into space independently.

India expects to demonstrate independent human spaceflight by 2015 Also in Asia are nations next in line having plans for independent manned spaceflights: Iran (in 2021) and Japan (in 2020).

While the achievements of space programs run by main Asian space players China, India and Japan are modest in comparison to the milestones set by the United States and the former Soviet Union in first space race, some experts believe it may only be a matter of time before Asia leads the field. As for beginning of 21st century, China is the leader in Asia's space race. The first Chinese manned spaceflight in 2003 marked the beginning of a space race in the region. In the same time, the issue of a space race's existence in Asia is still debated. As example, China denies that there is an Asian Space Race.

Motivations
The motivations behind a new space race include national pride, national security and commercial development.

China, India, Japan, Iran, Turkey have dual-aimed space programs - military and civilian. Because of enemy threat Israel, North Korea and Republic of China (Taiwan) concentrate mainly on military space applications. Programs of South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand are mainly civilian. Indian Space Program was mainly based on developing civilian space applications, but after the launch of its Defence Surveillance Satellite, Radar Imaging Satellite (RISAT-2) and Spy Satellites in 2009 it transformed into a dual-purpose space program.

Some examples: In January 2007 China became the first Asian military-space power to send an anti-satellite missile into orbit to destroy an aging Chinese Feng Yun 1C in polar orbit weather satellite. As conterpart, month later, Japan's space agency (JAXA) has launched an experimental communications satellite designed to enable super high-speed data transmission in remote areas which would make Japan as high-tech space leader. After successful achievement of geostationary technology, India has launched its first Chandrayaan-1 Moon mission. First Korean astronaut Yi So-yeon spent 11 days aboard the International Space Station in April 2008.

Apart from national pride, there are also commercial motivations. According to a report by the Space Frontier Foundation released in 2006, the "space economy" is estimated to be worth about $180 billion, with more than 60 percent of space-related economic activity coming from commercial goods and services. Now China and India widely proposes the commercial launch service.

The Big Three
China's space program has been in the spotlight since 2003, when it started manned space launches. China successfully performed a third in the world EVA in September 2008. Some analysts suggest that the Chinese manned space flight is closely linked to the nation's attempts to develop advanced military technology. As well as national pride there are commercial drivers such as launching of satellites for communications, weather forecast and research of Earth's atmosphere. There are also some concerns among the Asian nations about the militarisation of space. China shocked the world in 2007 when it used a newly developed anti-satellite missile to destroy a defunct weather satellite, the Feng Yun 1-C, orbiting 528 mi above Earth. The resulting explosion sent a wave of debris hurtling through space at more than 6 miles per second. On 21 February 2008 the US Navy destroyed a disabled spy satellite USA 193. The US denied the destruction of the satellite was a response to an anti-satellite test carried out by China in 2007.

India's interest in space travel had a modest beginning in the early 1960s, when scientists launched a small rocket above the jungles of Kerala. Now India has its own space launch vehicles, has launched several satellites, sent a probe to the moon and demonstrated re-entry technology. Initially India's space program was not taken as a geopolitical weapon of pride but under Vikram Sarabhai focussed on practical uses of space in increasing standards of living. Thus the impetus was on putting remote sensing and communications satellites into orbit. This has changed in the recent past. The main shifts took place under two administrations. The first was that of Indira Gandhi, when India sent its first human in space, Rakesh Sharma, through Soviet Intercosmos Program. Then there was a long gap before the second shift, which was the first right-wing administration in India under Atal Behari Vajpayee. Just a few days after China said that it would send a human into orbit in the second half of 2003, former Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee publicly urged his country's scientists to work towards sending a man to the Moon. Chandrayaan-1, India's first unmanned lunar mission, launched in October 2008. The Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) is planning its 2nd moon mission, Chandrayaan-2, in 2013. India expects a manned space mission by 2015 that will make the country a fourth space power.The Indian Space Research Organisation had begun preparations for a mission to Mars.

Japan has been cooperating with the United States on missile defence since 1999. North Korean nuclear and Chinese military programs represent a serious issue for Japan's foreign relations. Japan is now working on military and civilian space technologies, developing missile defence systems, new generations of military spy satellites, and planning for manned stations on the Moon. Japan started to construct spy satellites after North Korea test fired a Taepodong missile over Japan in 1998, although the North Korean government claimed the missile was merely launching a satellite to space accusing Japan of causing an arms race. The Japanese constitution adopted after World War II limits military activities to defensive operations. On May 2007 Prime Minister Shinzo Abe called for a bold review of the Japanese Constitution to allow the country to take a larger role in global security and foster a revival of national pride. Japan has not yet developed its own manned spacecraft and has no adopted acting program of developing of one. Some times ago project of Japan space shuttle HOPE-X launched by conventional space launcher H-II was developed during several years but was postponed. Then the more simple manned capsule Fuji was proposed but not adopted. Pioneers projects of single-stage to orbit, reusable launch vehicle horisontal takeoff and landing ASSTS and vertical takeoff and landing Kankoh-maru are exists but not adopted also. More conservative new manned project (JAXA manned spacecraft) is expected to flight within 2025 as part of Japanese plans of manned missions to Moon. But some science journalists are doubtful about the Japanese manned moon project and expect the project is euphemism for participation in American Constellation program, as same as Japanese manned space program such as ISS. On the other hand, Jaxa planned to send a Japanese astronaut as Humanoid robot (such as ASIMO) to the moon.

Other nations
Indonesia was one of the first Asian countries that began operate the own application (communication) satellite purchased abroad and now intends to join the Asian space powers by developing and starting of use of the own small space launch vehicle Pengorbitan (RPS-420) in 2012-2014.

Iran became the ninth country in the world to build a domestic satellite and develop its own satellite launch vehicle named as Safir SLV/Kavoshgar-1. On February 2, 2009, Iranian state television reported that Iran's first domestically made satellite Omid (from the Persian امید, meaning "Hope") had been successfully launched into LEO using the two-staged Safir rocket, the Safir-2. The launch was made to coincide with the 30th anniversary of the Iranian Revolution. Iran is presently working on the Omid series of indigenous satellites among others. Also, Iranian Space Agency has disclosed its plans for a manned space program intending to put humans in space by 2021.

Israel became the eighth country in the world to build its own satellite and launch it with its own launcher when on September 19, 1988, Israel launched its first satellite, Ofeq-1, using an Israeli-built Shavit three-stage launch vehicle. Since then, local universities, research institutes and private industry, backed by the Israel Space Agency, have made progress in space technology. At the time, the launching was the high point of a process that had begun in 1983, with the establishment of the Israel Space Agency under the aegis of the Ministry of Science. Space research by university-based scientists had already begun in the 1960s, providing a ready-made pool of experts for Israel's foray into space. The agency's role is stated to be for supporting "private and academic space projects, coordinate their efforts, initiate and develop international relations and projects, head integrative projects involving different bodies, and create public awareness for the importance of space development."

North Korea has long-durated experience of rocket technology and years before proliferated it to Pakistan, Iran etc. On 12 March 2009 North Korea signed the Outer Space Treaty and the Registration Convention, after a previous declaration of preparations for a new satellite launch. DPRK twicely announced that launched satellites Kwangmyŏngsŏng-1 at August 31, 1998 and Kwangmyŏngsŏng-2 at April 5, 2009. This claims both times not confirmed in the world, but USA and South Korea estimated ones as tests of military ballistic missile. DPRK has Korean Committee of Space Technology space agency of North Korea, operates the Musudan-ri (Tonghae Satellite Launching Ground) Pongdong-ri (Tongch'ang-dong Space Launch Center) rocket launching sites and developed Baekdusan-1 and Unha (Baekdusan-2) space launchers and Kwangmyŏngsŏng satellites. In 2009 DPRK announced more ambitious future space projects including own manned space flights and development of a manned partially reusable launch vehicle even.

In 1961, a team of Pakistani scientists launched a sounding rocket, named Rehbar-I from the Sonmiani Rocket Range. The launching of the Rehbar-I made Pakistan the third country in Asia and only the tenth in the world in carrying out such a launch. In 1986, Pakistani scientist launched Pakistan's first satellites, called Badr-1 and Badr-B aboard Chinese and Russian rockets. Pakistan currently has one satellite in space PAKSAT-1 which was launched originally by United States for Indonesia and is currently out of service. The Pakistani Space Agency, SUPARCO, is planning its new upgraded communication satellite PAKSAT-IR, which is expected to be launched by 2012 by Chinese.

South Korea is a more new player in the Asian race for space. In August 2006 South Korea launched its first military communications satellite, the Mugunghwa-5 satellite. The satellite was placed in geosynchronous orbit and is able to collect surveillance information on North Korea. The South Korean government is spending hundreds of millions of dollars in space technology and is due to launch its first space launcher KSR in 2008. South Korea's space program is justified by its government in terms of long-term commercial benefits and national pride. Seoul has long seen North Korea's significantly longer missile range as a serious threat to its national security. With the nation's first astronaut launched into Space, Lee So-yeon, South Korea gained confidence of entering Asian space race. Currently, the country is completing the construction of Naro Space Center. Once operational, South Korea will be able to build satellites and missiles with local technology. South Korea is pursuing a space program that could defend the peninsula while lessening Seoul's dependency on the United States.

Other "young" space players are Malaysia and Turkey that announced multitask space programs in 2006 and 2007. They intends to develop own satellites and launchers in nearest future and manned space facilities in far future even.

Taiwan tries some space efforts including space launchers. Thailand, Vietnam and some other countries mainly engaged by satellites only.

There have been reports of the two rising Asian powers, China and India's collaboration with EU to challenge American supremacy in space. In 2003 reports emerged that China will invest £140 million in the European Union's Galileo global satellite system and India will invest £210 million in the scheme. However, hopes of India and China working closely on Global Satellite Navigation System were thrashed when Government of India approved the Indian Regional Navigational Satellite System project and signed an agreement with Russia on future development of GLONASS. Also, NASA's involvement in India's lunar mission and several other space-related projects indicates growing collaboration between India and the United States in the field of space exploration.

Major Asian achievements
The Chinese manned spaceflight was high-profile Asian space achievement. The advanced technology was caused by integration of many related technology experiences. Chinese space achievements are practical and sometimes related to military technologies such as 2007 Chinese anti-satellite missile test. Early Chinese satellites, FSW series, performed many atmospheric reentry tests. Other nations such as Japan avoided atmospheric reentry at this time because of related technology to nuclear weapon. The less reentry experiences cause a barrier to manned spaceflight yet. In 1990s, China also succeeded in commercial launches, which caused many launch experiences and high success average after 1990s later. These achievements followed on the manned spaceflight in 2003. Recently, China also aims scientific achievement such as solar system exploration. When Japan and Europe began interplanetary explorations with Halley Armada in 1980s, China was in depression and skipped solar system explorations at this time. But the first Asian Mars orbiter, Yinghuo 1, will be launched in 2009 just now.

Japan got many Asian space achievements especially in scientific field. There were some strange circumstances. Japanese first orbital launch was achieved by a university's institute, earlier than a national space agency. Therefore, most of early Japanese satellites were for scientific exploration and caused many scientific achievements. On the other hand, the national space agency had to catch the university in haste. So many American space technologies, such as geosynchronous launch and weather/communication satellites, were imported early on. Thereafter, strong yen and Super 301 made disadvantage of Japanese commercial launches. Japan lost launch chance and less experience caused deterioration of success average after 1990s later. Then most of Japanese indigenous launches except governmental satellites are limited to technology experiments and scientific satellites, which have to aim global achievements.

India is succeeding in commercial launches and is booming in space technologies. The most numerous satellites in simultaneous launch, 10 sats, was achieved in 2008. The first probe designed for lunar impact in Asia was achieved in same year. GSLV mkIII, planned to launch in 2010, is expected to be commercial competitive because of low-cost heavy launch vehicle. India aims the second indigenous manned spaceflight in Asia using the launch system in 2015.

Timeline of the the national firsts in Asia

 * Other achievements
 * Most numerical multiple-satellite payload transfer capability - 🇮🇳 (PSLV, 10 satellites in one launch) World Record
 * First Asian country to collaborate ISS - 🇯🇵
 * Largest budget for space research - 🇯🇵
 * Most spaceports - 🇨🇳 (5, see spaceport or rocket launch site )

Comparison of key technologies
First achieved attempts (or future plans) of each country are listed by chronological order unless otherwise noted.
 * Manned spacecraft programs
 * 🇨🇳 - 2003 - Shenzhou (first attempt - Shuguang by 1973)
 * 🇮🇳 - 2015 (approved) - Orbital Vehicle
 * 🇯🇵 - 2020 - JAXA manned HTV now, Fuji was
 * 🇮🇷 - 2021 - ISA manned spacecraft


 * Space shuttle programs
 * 🇨🇳 - ? - Shenlong
 * 🇮🇳 - ? - AVATAR RLV (approved by ISRO)
 * 🇯🇵 - ? - HOPE-X, ASSTS, Kankoh-maru


 * Orbiters to Moon
 * 🇯🇵 - 1990 - Hiten/Hagoromo
 * 🇨🇳 - 2007 - Chang'e 1
 * 🇮🇳 - 2008 - Chandrayaan-1


 * Orbiters to Mars
 * 🇯🇵 - 1998 - Nozomi(failed)
 * 🇨🇳 - 2011- Yinghuo-1 (failed)
 * 🇮🇳 - 2013-2014 - Mangalyaan (24 September 2014, Planned)


 * Intentional Moon landings


 * 🇯🇵 - 1993 - Hiten (systematically crashed on end-mission)
 * 🇮🇳 - 2008 - MIP (Moon impactor)
 * 🇨🇳 - 2009 - Chang'e 1 (systematically crashed on end-mission)


 * Lunar Soft landing programs
 * 🇨🇳 - 2013 - Chang'e 3
 * 🇮🇳 - 2013 - Chandrayaan-2
 * 🇯🇵 - 2013 - Selene-2


 * Multi-satellite simultaneous launches (by number)
 * 🇮🇳 - 10 Satellites (PSLV-CA C9, 2008) - World Record at 2008
 * 🇯🇵 - 8 Satellites (H-IIA F15, 2009)
 * - 3 Satellites (1981)


 * The heaviest satellite launch vehicle in each country (in active, by capacity)
 * 🇯🇵 - H-IIB - LEO 19t / GTO 8t (2009 - active)
 * 🇨🇳 - CZ-3B - LEO 12t / GTO 5.1t (1996 - active)
 * 🇮🇳 - GSLV - LEO 5t / GTO 2.5t (2001 - active)
 * 🇮🇱 - Shavit - LEO 0.4t (1988 - active)
 * 🇰🇷 - KSLV-1 - LEO 0.1t (2009 - active)
 * 🇮🇷 - Safir-I - LEO 27 kg (2008 - active)
 * 🇰🇵 - Taepodong-2(Unha-2) - ? (2006 - active)


 * Continuous satellite launch success (by number)
 * 🇨🇳 - Long March - 75 times for 13 years (1996 - 2009)
 * 🇯🇵 - N,H and Mu - 33 times for 15 years (1979 - 1994)
 * 🇮🇳 - ASLV, PSLV and GSLV - 12 times for 12 years (1994 - 2005)


 * 🇮🇱 - Shavit - 3 times for 8 years (1988 - 1995)

? : Date not Fixed, only presumptions {only projects with under-development or above status have been listed}

Solar System explorations
Solar System explorations are major space technology in the public eye as well as manned spaceflight. Since Sakigake, the first interplanetary probe in Asia, was launched in 1985, Japan has lead Asian planetary explorations for a long time. But other nations are catching Japan now.

The Moon race
The Moon is thought to be rich in Helium-3, which could one day be used in nuclear fusion power plants to fuel future energy demands in Asia, which harbors over 60% of the world's population and among its fastest-growing economies. All three main Asian space powers plans to send man to Moon in far future and sent lunar probes already and in nearest future.

Probing the moon
Japan is the first Asian country to launch a lunar probe. The Hiten (Japanese: "flying angel") spacecraft (known before the launch as Muses-A), built by the Institute of Space and Astronautical Science of Japan, was launched on January 24, 1990. The mission did not go as it was planned in many aspects. Kaguya, is the second Japanese lunar orbiter spacecraft and was launched on September 14, 2007.

China launched its first lunar probe named Chang'e-1 on October 24, 2007 and successfully entered lunar orbit on November 5, 2007.

India launched its first lunar probe Chandrayaan-1 on October 22, 2008 and successfully entered its final lunar orbit on November 2, 2008.

Moon landings
The first confirmed moon landing in Asia was Hiten's additional mission in 1993. It was a intentional hard landing at end of mission and some pictures of lunar surface were taken until impact, but Hiten was not designed for moon lander and had few scientific instruments for lunar exploration. Japanese next moon landing program, except crash at end of mission, was LUNAR-A developed from 1992. Although the LUNAR-A orbiter was cancelled, its landers(penetrators) are integrated into Russian Luna-Glob program and scheduled to launch in 2011. The penetrators are "relatively" hard landers but they will not be destroyed at moon landing as same as soft landers.

The first achieved Asian probe specialized for moon landing was Indian Moon Impact Probe (MIP) released from Chandrayaan-1 in 2008. MIP was only a hard lander destroyed at landing such as Galileo's entry probe, but its instruments performed lunar observation within 25 min until impact and the landing test will be applied to future soft landings such as Chandrayaan-2 planned in 2012.

Chinese Chang'e-1 spacecraft also achieved systematical hard landing at end of mission in 2009 and China became 6th country reached at lunar surface. One of the landing purpose was pre-test of future soft landings as same as MIP. Chinese lunar soft lander is scheduled to achieve in Chang'e-3.

Asian on the Moon
Almost four decades after Neil Armstrong has become the first man to walk on the Moon, Asia's major powers hurry in their own space ambitions to send the first Asian to the Moon. China, Japan, and India, which have already sent orbiters, and India even landed robotic impact probe (Although technical functions of MIP might be similar to other lunar orbiters crashed at end of missions at the time, MIP indicates a clear intention that India aims the moon.), all have plans to send a manned spacecraft to the Moon; the earliest schedules (China, India and Japan) would have the first manned lunar spaceflight in the 2030s, around the same time as the American Constellation program would return an American to the Moon.

Exploration of the major planets
Japanese major scientific outcomes using interplanetary probes have been limited to Small Solar System body such as comet and asteroid. Japanese only probe for the major planet was Nozomi launched in 1998, but it lost contact before visiting the Mars. Japanese second probe for the major planet, PLANET-C, is planned to launch in 2010.

A Chinese scientist expect that China takes 20 years hence to launch independent planetary probe. But China may reverse the disadvantage of 44 years total in comparison with Japan. Russian Phobos Grunt mission will bring Chinese Yinghuo-1 probe to Mars centric orbit and they are planned to launch in 2011. If successful, China will become the first country in Asia and 4th country in the world to own "Mars orbiter". Moreover, Chinese manned Mars exploration program is planned in 2050 by Chinese Academy of Science.

India has also planning for a Mars orbiter, which will be launched in 2013 at the earliest.

On the other hand, the first private planetary probe in the world may come true in Asia. The PLANET-C is planned to bring UNITEC-1 civil probe to the Venus as same as the Phobos-Grunt with Yinghuo-1.

Asian space agencies and programs

 * 🇧🇩 bangladesh - Space Research and Remote Sensing Organization (SPARRSO)
 * - China National Space Administration (CNSA) (Chinese space program)
 * 🇮🇳 - Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO)
 * 🇮🇩 indonesia - National Institute of Aeronautics and Space (LAPAN)
 * 🇮🇷 - Iranian Space Agency (ISA)
 * 🇮🇱 - Israeli Space Agency (ISA)
 * 🇯🇵 - Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA)
 * 🇲🇾 malaysia - Malaysian National Space Agency (MNSA)
 * 🇰🇵 - Korean Committee of Space Technology (KCST)
 * 🇵🇰 pakistan - Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission (SUPARCO)
 * 🇰🇷 - Korea Aerospace Research Institute (KARI)
 * 🇹🇼 taiwan - National Space Organization (NSPO)
 * 🇹🇭 thailand - Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency (GISTDA)

References to be used
http://www.janes.com/news/defence/systems/jdw/jdw081024_1_n.shtml

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1115727,00.html

http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1852608,00.html

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/1025/p06s01-woap.html

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article5789385.ece

http://www.fas.org/news/skorea/2000/korea_space_000124.htm

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/China_tools_up_for_Asian_space_race_999.html

http://www.usatoday.com/tech/science/space/2008-10-21-india-space_N.htm

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/nationworld/2003672940_webjapanspace19.html

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18197849/ns/technology_and_science-space/

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article4182216.ece

http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/blog/eyeonasia/archives/2009/09/a_moon_map_from.html

References to be used in opening
http://www.armedforcesjournal.com/2008/10/3651724/

http://www.unidir.org/pdf/articles/pdf-art1888.pdf

http://www.wsichina.org/cs5_1.pdf

http://www.gsinstitute.org/bsg/docs/05_09_07_Grey_space.pdf