User:Orser67/2018house

This list contains every race rated as competitive by the three major prognosticators (as of 11/19/17), the races targeted by the RCCC and DCCC (list 1, list 2, list 3 list 4), every seat where Clinton won at least 42% of the vote, and every seat between R+7 and D+5, inclusive. For a shorter list, see United States House of Representatives elections, 2018. Here are previous versions of this page: May 2017, September 2017, mid-November 2017, early February 2018, mid-April 2018

Election predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat. Most election predictors use " tossup " to indicate that neither party has an advantage, " lean " to indicate that one party has a slight advantage, " likely" or "favored " to indicate that one party has a significant but not insurmountable advantage, and " safe" or "solid " to indicate that one party has a near-certain chance of victory. Some predictions also include a " tilt " rating that indicates that one party has an advantage that is not quite as strong as the "lean" rating would indicate.

Key: CR indicates the census region. AHCA & TCJA indicates their votes on the American Health Care Act of 2017 and the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017; 2 means voted for both bills, 1 if they voted for only one of them, 0 if they voted for neither. T indicates in which round the opposing party's congressional committee targeted their seat; a 0 in this column indicates that the seat has not yet been targeted.

Caucus membership sources: Tuesday Group, Republican Study Committee, Freedom Caucus, CPC, NDC, BDC.

Median ratings by month
Median ratings of Sabato, Cook, and Inside Elections

Democratic best-case scenario
Hasn't been updated in a while