User:Pilover819/05082008

Okay; I am here on a seperate article about tropical wave number 3.


 * Note that only EPac discussions are included here. For the discussions from 5/8 to 5/18 (last discussion), see May tropical waves of the Atlantic.

May 17, 2008 1005 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 03N TO 12N ALONG 78W AND HAS BEEN MOVING W AT AN ESTIMATED 15 KT. CYCLONIC TURNING IS NOTED AT 7N ALONG THE WAVE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE IN THE E PACIFIC.

May 17, 2008 1605 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING FROM 03N78W THROUGH 06N79W TO 10N79W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10-15 KT OVER THE GULF OF PANAMA. ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOTED FROM 05N TO 07N BETWEEN 78W AND 81W.

May 17, 2008 2205 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING ALONG 80W FROM 03N INTO PANAMA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 KT. ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 82W.

May 18, 2008 0405 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDING ALONG 80W FROM 03N INTO PANAMA IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KT. MINIMAL CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE.

May 18, 2008 1005 UTC
N/A

May 18, 2008 1605 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 02N THROUGH WESTERN PANAMA ALONG 82.5W. THIS FEATURE REMAINS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO DISTINGUISH IN SPORADIC ONGOING CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. SOME REPOSITIONING IS POSSIBLE IN SUBSEQUENT ANALYSES OR THE FEATURE MAY EVEN BE DROPPED IF NO ORGANIZED PATTERN BECOMES DISCERNIBLE.

May 18, 2008 2205 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 88W FROM 05N TO 10N AND IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. THE LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING WITHIN FIVE TO SIX DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

May 19, 2008 0405 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 90W FROM 05N TO 10N AND IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT. THE LATEST INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING WITHIN FIVE TO SIX DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS BUT MINIMAL CONVECTION.

May 19, 2008 1005 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ANALYZED FROM 03N TO 12N ALONG 91W AND IS MOVING W AT AN ESTIMATED 12 KT. ALTHOUGH BROAD CYCLONIC TURNING IS NOTED IN THE AREA THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON THE TRUE WAVE POSITION. ALTHOUGH THERE IS A FEW CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS NEAR THE WAVE AXIS THERE ARE LARGER CLUSTERS WELL TO THE E AND TO THE W OF THE ESTIMATED WAVE POSITION. THUS FORECAST WAVE POSITIONS ARE NOTED DEPICTED ON THE MARINE GRAPHICS UNTIL MORE ACCURATE WAVE TRACKING RESUMES.

May 19, 2008 1605 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W SOUTH OF 12 MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NEARBY...AND IT IS NOT EASY TO KNOW WHICH PRECIPITATION IS WITH THE WAVE AND WHICH PRECIPITATION IS JUST WITH THE ITCZ.

May 19, 2008 2205 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W FROM 04N-12N MOVING W 15 KT WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF INTERSECTION WITH ITCZ. LITTLE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED OF SYSTEM AS UPPER ENVIRONMENT DOES NOT LOOK FAVORABLE WITHIN NEXT 24-36 HRS.

May 20, 2008 0405 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W FROM 05N-12N MOVING W 15 KT WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM N OF ITCZ. LITTLE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED OF SYSTEM AS UPPER ENVIRONMENT DOES NOT LOOK FAVORABLE WITHIN NEXT 24-36 HRS.

May 20, 2008 1005 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE WAS PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED FROM 03N TO 13N ALONG 94W BUT IS CURRENTLY VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. ONLY A FEW SHOWERS ARE NOTED ALONG THE ESTIMATED AXIS POSITION...AND SHIP REPORTS ARE IN THE 5 TO 10 KT RANGE. THE UPPER ENVIRONMENT BECOMES EVEN LESS FAVORABLE FOR THE CONVECTION IN ABOUT 30 HOURS SO WAVE POSITIONS ARE NOT DEPICTED ON MARINE GRAPHICS.

May 20, 2008 1605 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROUGH IS ANALYZED ALONG LINE 15N121W TO 07N124W. THE TROUGH IS NEARLY STATIONARY. '''A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED EAST '''OF THE AXIS IN AN AREA WITHIN 120 NM OF 08N119W. THE AREA OF '''CONVECTION SHOWS GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND MAY PERSIST '''THROUGH 24 HOURS. THE GFS COMPUTER MODEL HAS A LOW NEAR THE '''CONVECTION AND MAINTAINS THE LOW IDENTITY THROUGH AT LEAST 48 HOURS AND DRIFTS THE LOW EAST WITH NO DEVELOPMENT.

May 20, 2008 2205 UTC
WEAK RIDGE MAINTAIN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT FROM 115W-130W. '''RIDGE CENTER AT 11N120W PRODUCES GOOD DIFFLUENCE JUST ABOVE '''SURFACE TROUGH PRESENTLY ALONG 123W ENHANCING DEEP CONVECTION. '''NO SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION NOTED ON SYSTEM BUT CONDITIONS ALOFT '''ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF TROUGH. GLOBAL '''MODELS DEVELOP A LOW PRES ALONG TROUGH WITHIN 12 HRS...BUT '''DISSIPATE IT WITHIN 48 HRS AFTER ANTICYCLONE ALOFT BREAK AWAY FROM TROUGH.

May 21, 2008 0405 UTC
WEAK RIDGE MAINTAIN ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT FROM 115W-130W. '''RIDGE CENTER AT 10N123W PRODUCES GOOD DIFFLUENCE JUST ABOVE '''SURFACE TROUGH PRESENTLY ALONG 123W ENHANCING DEEP CONVECTION. '''NO SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION NOTED ON SYSTEM BUT CONDITIONS ALOFT '''ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF TROUGH. GLOBAL '''MODELS DEVELOP LOW PRES ALONG TROUGH WITHIN 12 HRS...BUT '''DISSIPATE IT WITHIN 48 HRS AFTER ANTICYCLONE ALOFT BREAK AWAY FROM TROUGH.