User:Pilover819/06012008

(Update from June 8~14 tomorrow) List of Tropical Waves/Tropical Cyclones of June 2008 From now on, I will list the tropical waves sections at the end of each month. May: 1
 * Tropical Wave Number 6- May 21~June 1
 * Tropical Wave Number 7- May 25~June 5
 * Tropical Wave Number 8- May 28~Active
 * Tropical Wave Number 9- May 31~Active
 * Tropical Storm Arthur- May 31~June 2
 * Tropical Wave Number 10- June 5~Active

June 1, 2008 0000 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS CENTERED NEAR 18.4N 88.9W OR ABOUT 75 MILES NW OF BELIZE CITY AT 31/2100 UTC MOVING WNW 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE STORM CENTER IS INLAND HOWEVER BANDS OF CONVECTION ARE OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN SEA. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 85W-93W...AND FROM 18N-21N BETWEEN 81W-83W. ARTHUR MAY WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER LAND BUT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE SRN BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE IT MAY RETAIN TROPICAL STORM STATUS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 20W S OF 14N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. MIMIC-TPW CLEARLY SHOWS THE WAVE AXIS AND A MID LEVEL ROTATION IS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY NEAR 7N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W/45W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED WAVE AXIS WITH A BROAD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE WITHIN FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 44W-50W...AND FROM EQ-2N BETWEEN 39W-44W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 58W S OF 12N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE HAS A WELL-DEFINED INVERTED-V SATELLITE SIGNATURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 200 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 2N-7N.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 83W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED BENEATH A BROAD UPPER RIDGE AND AN ABUNDANCE OF UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE THAT COVERS THE CARIBBEAN MASKING ANY SIGNATURE. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOTED.

June 1, 2008 0600 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS CENTERED INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 18.4N 89.8W ABOUT 96 NM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AT 01/0600 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION IS INLAND THE HEAVIEST WEATHER IS OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS AND OVER S MEXICO. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 19N INLAND OVER HONDURAS AND W OF 85W TO THE COAST OF BELIZE. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS INLAND OVER S MEXICO AND IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 20N BETWEEN 91W-95W. OUTER BANDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO GUATEMALA AND IN THE CARIBBEAN N OF 17N TO OVER THE GREATER ANTILLES W OF HISPANIOLA AND INTO THE SE GULF OF MEXICO S OF 24N THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL BETWEEN 83W-87W. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 22W/23W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE ON THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH A MID LEVEL ROTATION ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE TRAILING THE WAVE AXIS WITHIN 125 NM OF LINE FROM 1N15W TO 9N19W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 47W S OF 14N MOVING W 15-20 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED WAVE AXIS WITH A BROAD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. SMALL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 42W-53W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 59W S OF 11N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON MIMIC-TPW IMAGERY. THE WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED CONVECTION S OF 6N TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA BETWEEN 55W-59W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 84W S OF 21N MOVING W 10-15 KT BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION. THIS WAVE IS BEING ABSORBED AND INTERACTING WITH TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR AND WILL PROBABLY BE DROPPED FROM THE ANALYSIS AT 01/0600 UTC.

June 1, 2008 1200 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR IS CENTERED INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 18.2N 90.3W ABOUT 100 NM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AT 01/1200 UTC MOVING W AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. EVEN THOUGH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION REMAINS INLAND THE HEAVIEST WEATHER IS S OF THE CENTER FROM THE GULF OF HONDURAS TO OVER S MEXICO. HEAVY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 20N TO INLAND OVER HONDURAS AND W OF 84W ACROSS BELIZE... GUATEMALA...AND S MEXICO TO 96W INCLUDING THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 19N. OUTER BANDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AMERICA FROM NICARAGUA INTO THE E PACIFIC REGION. SIMILAR ACTIVITY IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF THE GREATER ANTILLES FROM THE E TIP OF HISPANIOLA THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE... GUATEMALA...AND SE MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TODAY.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23W/24W S OF 14N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE WAVE ON THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE WITH A MID LEVEL ROTATION ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION ARE E OF THE WAVE FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 18W-22W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W S OF 14N MOVING W 15-20 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED WAVE AXIS WITH A BROAD SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. NUMEROUS SMALL CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 10N TO S OF THE EQUATOR BETWEEN 45W-54W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W S OF 11N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON MIMIC-TPW IMAGERY. THE WAVE REMAINS MOSTLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA WITH CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA AND WITHIN 75 NM ALONG THE COAST BETWEEN 57W-61W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN THAT WAS ALONG 84W HAS BEEN DROPPED.

June 1, 2008 1800 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

ARTHUR HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AS IT CONTINUES TO FEEL THE EFFECTS OF LAND. TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR IS CENTERED OVER S MEXICO NEAR 18.1N 90.7W ABOUT 110 NM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO AT 01/1500 UTC MOVING WSW AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE FULL FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE SHIELD OF DENSE CLOUDINESS OVER GUATEMALA...BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NEARBY WATERS. THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS (LIKELY THE HEAVIEST RAINS) AT THE MOMENT ARE OVER BELIZE...THE E PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE NW CARIBBEAN WATERS. HOWEVER...EVEN THE LOWER TOPPED CLOUDS ARE PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL AS CONFIRMED BY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-10 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. AS ALWAYS IN THESE CASES...FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 25W FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SOUTHWARD. WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 10N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE...CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...MAINLY SCATTERED MODERATE IN NATURE...WITH THE MOST ORGANIZED ACTIVITY STAGGERED WITHIN 240 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS S OF 11N BY E/SE SHEAR. CONVECTION ALSO APPEARS ENHANCED ALONG AND TO THE E OF THE WAVE AXIS WITHIN THE ITCZ. THIS WAVE...AND ITS ASSOCIATED MOISTURE...WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IN THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER E VENEZUELA ALONG 62W S OF 12N MOVING W 15 KT. THE MIMIC TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK SYSTEM. WHILE MOST OF THIS WAVE IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA...THERE COULD BE SOME INFLUENCE OVER TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO AS NOTED IN SFC OBS. DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL.

June 2, 2008 0000 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR IS CENTERED OVER S MEXICO NEAR 17.7N 91.1W OR NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN GUATEMALA AND MEXICO ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO AT 01/2100 UTC MOVING WSW AT 6 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. PRESENTLY BELIZE...NRN GUATEMALA...AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAINS. PATCHES OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 86W-93W. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-10 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. AS ALWAYS IN THESE CASES...FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 27W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 10N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE... CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 51W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 2N-11N BETWEEN 49W-55W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER E VENEZUELA ALONG 62W/63W S OF 12N MOVING W 15 KT. THE MIMIC TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WEAK SYSTEM. WHILE MOST OF THIS WAVE IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA...THERE COULD BE SOME INFLUENCE OVER TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO AS NOTED IN SFC OBS. DEEP CONVECTION IS MINIMAL.

June 2, 2008 0600 UTC
...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARTHUR IS CENTERED OVER S MEXICO NEAR 17.4N 91.3W OR NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BORDER BETWEEN GUATEMALA AND MEXICO ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO AT 02/0300 UTC MOVING SW AT 5 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEE THE LATEST NHC INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPAT1/WTNT31 KNHC AND THE MARINE FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADER MIATCMAT1/WTNT21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM IS THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. PRESENTLY BELIZE...NRN GUATEMALA...AND THE GULF OF HONDURAS HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLDEST CLOUD TOPS. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 15N-20N BETWEEN 86W-94W. ARTHUR AND ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5-10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. AS ALWAYS IN THESE CASES...THE RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS WITH A FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE ON THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION AND WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 9N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE...CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE HAS MAINTAINED A FAIR AMOUNT OF AMPLITUDE ACCORDING TO THE TPW-ANIMATION OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. CURRENTLY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 51W-57W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63W S OF 11N MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE REMAINS INLAND ACROSS E VENEZUELA WITH ONLY A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME EVIDENT ON THE TPW-ANIMATION. MOST CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED ACROSS SE VENEZUELA AND IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA.

June 2, 2008 1200 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 29W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS WITH A FAIRLY HIGH AMPLITUDE ON THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION AND WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT ALONG THE AXIS CENTERED NEAR 8N. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE...CONVECTION IS LIMITED AND MAINLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W S OF 14N MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE HAS MAINTAINED A FAIR AMOUNT OF AMPLITUDE ACCORDING TO THE TPW-ANIMATION OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE IS FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 53W-55W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W/65W S OF 11N MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE REMAINS INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL VENEZUELA WITH ONLY A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME EVIDENT ON THE TPW-ANIMATION. MOST CONVECTION REMAINS SPARSE ACROSS CENTRAL VENEZUELA AND IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA.

June 2, 2008 1800 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED ALONG 29W/30W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. VISIBLE IMAGES REVEAL A HIGH AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH WELL DEFINED BUT BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 8N. A ASCAT PASS EARLIER TODAY DEPICTED THE PRESENCE OF THIS TURNING AT THE SFC. DESPITE THE ORGANIZATION IN STRUCTURE...CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AND MAINLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 54W/55W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS THE MORE CLASSIC INVERTED-V CLOUD SHAPE WITH THE ASSOCIATED PATCHES OF DEEP CLOUDINESS...AND EMBEDDED SHOWERS AND TSTMS...GROUPED WITHIN 240 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS DUE TO ELY SHEAR.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MAINLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 67W S OF 12N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WHILE LITTLE SIGNATURE OF THIS WAVE IS NOTED OVER THE S CARIB...A WESTWARD MOVING BURST OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN MAINTAINED FOR SEVERAL HOURS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS OVER WESTERN VENEZUELA.

June 3, 2008 0000 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED ALONG 30W/31W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. VISIBLE IMAGES REVEAL A HIGH AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH WELL DEFINED BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 8N. DESPITE THE GOOD ORGANIZATION OF STRUCTURE...CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AND MAINLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS THE CLASSIC INVERTED-V CLOUD SHAPE WITH ASSOCIATED PATCHES OF DEEP CLOUDINESS. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS NOTED.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MAINLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 70W/71W S OF 13N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS IS A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS MOSTLY INLAND OVER S AMERICA. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 67W-76W.

June 3, 2008 0600 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED ALONG 32W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION REVEAL A HIGH AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH A WELL DEFINED BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N. DESPITE THE GOOD ORGANIZATION OF STRUCTURE...CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED WITH ONLY ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS BETWEEN 10N-12N.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 57W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT THE INVERTED-V CLOUD SHAPE WITH ASSOCIATED PATCHES OF DEEP CLOUDINESS WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS N OF 12N. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WITH WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MAINLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 72W S OF 13N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE COLOMBIAN LOW AND TOGETHER AIDING IN PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 6N-11N BETWEEN 73W-77W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND ACROSS E COLOMBIA.

June 3, 2008 1200 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS TILTED ALONG 33W/34W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION REVEAL A HIGH AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH A WELL DEFINED BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N. DESPITE THE GOOD ORGANIZATION OF STRUCTURE...ONLY ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WITH THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 58W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE EXHIBITS THE INVERTED-V CLOUD SHAPE WITH ASSOCIATED PATCHES OF DEEP CLOUDINESS WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS N OF 13N. NO ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WITH WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE IS MAINLY INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 73W/74W S OF 13N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF BROAD LOW PRESSURE AND IS PRODUCING CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 5N-11N BETWEEN 73W-78W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL COLOMBIA.

June 3, 2008 1800 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS WELL DEFINED ALONG 17N32W 2N35W MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION APPEARS TO HAVE FORMED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N. THIS WAVE IS VERY LARGE WITH ITS ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC FLOW COVERING AN AREA OF OVER 12 DEG OF LONGITUDE. HOWEVER...DESPITE THE CONTINUED IMPRESSIVE STRUCTURE...CONVECTION REMAINS LIMITED AND MAINLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ. HOWEVER...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR THE WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER.

TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 59W/60W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS NOT AS ORGANIZED AS IT WAS OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...HOWEVER...IT STILL EXHIBITS A WEAK INVERTED V-SHAPE IN ITS LOW CLOUD FIELD. 24-H PRES DIFFERENCES OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE UP TO 1 MB LOWER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY...WHICH SUGGESTS THE PRESENCE OF THIS WEAK WAVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 76W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS BECOME CHALLENGING TO TRACK. ITS CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON AN AREA OF CONVECTION ALONG ITS S EDGE OVER COLOMBIA...AND SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING NOTED IN CLOUD DRIFT WINDS AND IN EARLIER SHIP OBS. THE INTERACTION WITH AN UPPER TROUGH IS SETTING OFF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 16N BETWEEN 73W-78W.

June 4, 2008 0000 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS WELL DEFINED ALONG 36W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N. THIS WAVE IS VERY LARGE WITH ITS ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD BETWEEN 30W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30NM RADIUS OF 10N36W. MORE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 61W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE STILL EXHIBITS A WEAK INVERTED V-SHAPE IN ITS LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD. 24 HOUR PRESSURE DIFFERENCES OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE 1 MB LOWER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR BARBADOS FROM 13N-14N BETWEEN 59W-61W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS ALSO INLAND OVER NE VENEZUELA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 61W-66W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 77W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS CHALLENGING TO TRACK. ITS CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING S OF 14N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER JAMAICA...HISPANIOLA...AND E CUBA FROM 17N-21N BETWEEN 69W-78W. THIS CONVECTION COULD ALSO BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER CENTRAL CUBA.

June 4, 2008 0600 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS WELL DEFINED ALONG 36W/37W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N. THIS WAVE IS VERY LARGE WITH ITS ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD BETWEEN 31W-41W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 10N-12N.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG 62W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. 24 HOUR PRESSURE DIFFERENCES OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE 1 MB LOWER THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER E VENEZUELA FROM 5N-10N BETWEEN 61W-66W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 78W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS CHALLENGING TO TRACK AS THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SIGNATURE. ITS CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON PRIMARILY ON EXTRAPOLATION AND SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING S OF 14N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER JAMAICA AND HISPANIOLA FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 65W-78W. THIS CONVECTION IS MOST LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND E CUBA.

June 4, 2008 1200 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE REMAINS WELL DEFINED ALONG 38W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. A WEAK CIRCULATION IS EMBEDDED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 9N. THIS WAVE IS VERY LARGE WITH ITS ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD BETWEEN 33W-43W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 9N-12N. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-11N BETWEEN 33W-35W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 63W/64W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO ASSOCIATED DISTINGUISHED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD PATTERN OBSERVED BUT THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS THIS WAVE HAS MOVED INTO THE CARIBBEAN SEA. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER E VENEZUELA FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 62W-65W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 79W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE IS CHALLENGING TO TRACK AS THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SIGNATURE. ITS CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON EXTRAPOLATION AND SLIGHT CYCLONIC TURNING S OF 14N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE N CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 66W-85W. THIS CONVECTION IS MOST LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH POSITIONED OVER THE SE BAHAMAS...E CUBA AND JAMAICA.

June 4, 2008 1800 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 40W S OF 20N IS MOVING W 10-15 KT...WITH A WEAK 1012 MB CIRCULATION EMBEDDED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 10N. ALTHOUGH THE WAVE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE A LARGE AREA...ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS BEEN NOTICEABLY DECREASING DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. IN FACT...ALL THAT REMAINS IS A SMALL CONVECTIVE CLUSTER IMMEDIATELY NE OF THE WEAK SFC LOW ANALYZED 10N40W. A CURSORY LOOK AT REYNOLDS WEEKLY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES REVEALS THAT MOST OF THE WAVE LIES OVER A REGION WITH SSTS LESS THAN 26.5C...WHICH IS TOO COOL TO SUSTAIN ORGANIZED CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E CARIBBEAN SEA ALONG 65W/66W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. ALTHOUGH VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS NO CLEAR FEATURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE...MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION PROVES MORE HELPFUL IN SHOWING A PLUME OF ENHANCED MOISTURE CROSSING THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. IN ADDITION...TIME SERIES DATA FROM SAN JUAN AND SURROUNDING AREAS SHOW A NOTABLE INCREASE IN LOW- TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE AND ANOMALOUS SLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION IN ITS WAKE. LITTLE ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION IS NOTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE CARIBBEAN ALONG 81W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THIS WAVE CONTINUES TO BE A CHALLENGE TO TRACK AS THERE IS NO WELL-DEFINED...LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SIGNATURE EVIDENT IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ITS CURRENT POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON EXTRAPOLATION AND WEAK CYCLONIC SHEAR S OF 15N. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN SEA FROM 12N-19N BETWEEN 76W-85W. SOME OF THIS CONVECTION COULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE...ENHANCED BY THE END OF A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING SW INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN.

June 5, 2008 0000 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W S OF 20N IS MOVING W 5 KT. WAVE PRESENTATION ON MIMIC-TPW IS VERY GOOD WITH A SMALL LOW/MID LEVEL LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 9N-13N BETWEEN 40W-45W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 67W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS THE WAVE TO BE BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF DEEP MOISTURE AND NO INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WAVE POSITION IS BASED ON CONTINUITY. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF SOMEWHAT DRY UPPER AIR...THUS NO ASSOCIATED SHOWERS OR CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE W CARIBBEAN ALONG 82W/83W S OF 18N MOVING W 15 KT. THE MIMIC-TPW CONTINUES TO SHOW DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN WHILE THE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWERS BROAD AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION CLUSTERS...THUS MASKING THE WAVE AXIS. THEREFORE THE POSITION IS BASED ON CONTINUITY.

June 5, 2008 0600 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 43W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE PRESENTATION ON MIMIC-TPW IS VERY GOOD WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CYCLONIC TURNING CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 10N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 42W-45W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 68W/69W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. MIMIC-TPW SHOWS THE WAVE TO BE BETWEEN TWO AREAS OF DEEP MOISTURE AND NO INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. WAVE POSITION IS BASED ON CONTINUITY. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF SOMEWHAT DRY UPPER AIR ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN SEA WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION INLAND ACROSS SW VENEZUELA.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE W CARIBBEAN ALONG 84W/85W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE MIMIC-TPW CONTINUES TO SHOW DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN WHILE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA MOSTLY DUE TO AN UPPER DIFFLUENT PATTERN...THEREFORE THE POSITION IS BASED ON CONTINUITY.

June 5, 2008 1200 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 45W/46W S OF 18N IS MOVING W 15 KT. WAVE PRESENTATION ON MIMIC-TPW IS VERY GOOD WITH A FAIR AMOUNT OF CYCLONIC TURNING CENTERED ALONG THE AXIS NEAR 10N. NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 43W-46W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE E CARIBBEAN ALONG 70W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. LOW-LEVEL CURVATURE BEING MASKED BY UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS SO WAVE HAS BEEN LARGELY EXTRAPOLATED WESTWARD. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF SOMEWHAT DRY UPPER AIR ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA WITH ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION INLAND ACROSS SW VENEZUELA AND SIMILAR CONVECTION ACROSS W VENEZUELA AND N COLOMBIA.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE NW CARIBBEAN ALONG 85W S OF 19N MOVING W 10 KT. THE MIMIC-TPW CONTINUES TO SHOW DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN WHILE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ACROSS THE W CARIBBEAN FROM 12N-17N BETWEEN 82W-85W MOSTLY DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENT PATTERN...THEREFORE THE POSITION IS BASED ON CONTINUITY.

June 5, 2008 1800 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS INTRODUCED ALONG 23W S OF 16N MOVING W 15 KT. SOUNDING DATA FROM DAKAR STILL REVEALS A STRONG RISE/FALL COUPLET IN SEVERAL DIFFERENT FIELDS...WITH THE MOST NOTABLE BEING 2-3 MB PRESSURE RISES TODAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS FEATURE. MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION ALSO SHOWS A NEW SURGE OF DEEP MOISTURE RISING TO 15N ALONG 20W IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS WAVE....AND THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A NORTHWARD RISE IN THE ITCZ. ALTHOUGH RECENT METEOSAT IMAGERY IS UNAVAILABLE...MORNING IMAGES DID INDICATE SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 21W AND 28W...IN AN UNUSUAL LOCATION W OF THE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W S OF 21N IS MOVING W 15 KT. DEEP CONVECTION IS ENTIRELY ABSENT...AS THE WAVE IS MOVING OVER SUB-26.5C SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC. COINCIDING WITH THE LOSS OF ALL DEEP CONVECTION...THE WAVE HAS BECOME HARDER TO DISCERN USING MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION. IN FACT... A BROAD CYCLONIC ENVELOPE WAS NOTED YESTERDAY IN MIMIC-TPW IMAGERY ...WHICH IS IN SHARP CONTRAST TO TODAYS MORNING DISORGANIZED APPEARANCE. IN ADDITION...A WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS AT THE BASE OF THE WAVE...THOUGH IT TOO IS LOSING ITS ORGANIZATION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS IN THE W CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 75W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. LITTLE TO NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE ANY LONGER...AND THERE IS NO HINT OF A CYCLONIC CURVATURE TO THE LOW-LEVEL WIND. HOWEVER...TIME SERIES DATA FROM CURACAO DOES INDICATE A MAXIMUM IN THE 850 MB WINDS TODAY...POSSIBLY A SIGN OF THE WAVES EXISTENCE. OTHER SOUNDING DATA FROM THE CARIBBEAN DOES NOT APPEAR USEFUL...AS THE WAVE REMAINS OF FAIRLY LOW AMPLITUDE. GIVEN THE DIFFICULTY IN ESTABLISHING THE WAVES POSITION...THE WAVE IS LARGELY BEING EXTRAPOLATED WESTWARD.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN ALONG 87/88W HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO FIND USING CONVENTIONAL DATA. THIS CASE IS NOT ISOLATED...AS SEVERAL OF THE MOST RECENT WAVES MOVING ACROSS THIS REGION HAVE PROPAGATED INTO THE HIGHLY ANOMALOUS ENVIRONMENT WHICH HAS PREVAILED IN THE VICINITY OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC S OF MEXICO SINCE LATE MAY. THE ANOMALOUS ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY A LACK OF EASTERLY TRADES BLOWING ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE TROPICAL EAST PACIFIC E OF 100W...WITH AN UNUSUAL LOW-LEVEL WLY FLOW IN PLACE INSTEAD. AS THE WAVE HAS BECOME ASSIMILATED INTO THIS MONSOON-TYPE ENVIRONMENT..IT IS NOW CARRIED AS A TROUGH AND IS EXTRAPOLATED FORWARD.

June 6, 2008 0000 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 22W/23W S OF 15W MOVING W NEAR 10-15 KT. WAVE PRESENTATION ON MIMIC-TPW IS VERY GOOD WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE EXTENDING E TO THE COAST OF AFRICA. HOWEVER...THE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWERS NO SHOWERS OR DEEP CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W S OF 20N IS MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. WAVE PRESENTATION ON MIMIC-TPW IS VERY GOOD WITH A SMALL LOW LEVEL LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 10N VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 46W-52W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 75W/76W S OF 17N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE AND BENEATH AN UPPER TROUGH MASKING ANY SATELLITE SIGNATURE OR ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

June 6, 2008 0600 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 24W S OF 15W MOVING W NEAR 10-15 KT. PRESENTATION ON MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS WAVE AMPLITUDE N TO NEARLY THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS WITH A BROAD AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE EXTENDING E TO THE COAST OF AFRICA. HOWEVER...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS NO DEEP CONVECTION WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS WITHIN 150 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 6N-11N.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W S OF 20N IS MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. DEEP CONVECTION IS ENTIRELY ABSENT WITH ONLY SLIGHT CYCLONIC CURVATURE TO THE LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD PROVIDING SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 50W-55W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 76W S OF 17N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND BENEATH AN UPPER TROUGH MASKING ANY SATELLITE SIGNATURE OR ASSOCIATED CONVECTION.

June 6, 2008 1200 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 30W S OF 13N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 6N-8N BETWEEN 31W-34W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO FROM 2N-3N BETWEEN 28W-32W.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 61W/62W S OF 20N MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES LOW/MID LEVEL ROTATION ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 61W-64W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 83W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE MAINLY ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN AND BENEATH AN UPPER TROUGH MASKING ANY SATELLITE SIGNATURE. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 81W-85W.

June 6, 2008 1800 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 30W S OF 13N IS ADJUSTED AHEAD NEAR 37W BASED ON SFC OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE PICTURES AND LOW-LEVEL DERIVED WINDS. A WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING IS SEEN ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 7N. IN ADDITION...THE TPW ANIMATION FROM CIMSS SHOWS A PEAK OF MOISTURE JUST BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM E OF WAVE AND WITHIN 50 NM AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 7N TO 9N.

A TROPICAL HAS ENTERED THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. IT AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 61W/62W S OF 20N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE MIMIC-TPW PRODUCT INDICATES A GOOD SURGE OF MOISTENED AIR EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS BUT MAINLY SOUTH OF 16N. THE WAVE IS GENERATING SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. TRINIDAD REPORTED 0.57 INCHES OF RAIN THIS MORNING. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA ALONG 84W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE MAINLY ACROSS THE SW CARIBBEAN WHERE UPPER DIFFLUENCE IS HELPING TO INDUCE CLUSTERS OF MODERATE CONVECTION.

June 7, 2008 0000 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 36W S OF 11W MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK INVERTED-V CURVATURE WITH THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THE PEAK MOISTURE CURVATURE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 6N25W TO 9N38W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 64W S OF 19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WELL DEFINED INVERTED-V CURVATURE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION INDICATES THE PEAK MOISTURE CURVATURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 85W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS MOSTLY INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE MASKING ANY SATELLITE SIGNATURE. THE POSITION IS BASED LARGELY ON CONTINUITY.

June 7, 2008 0600 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 38W S OF 13W MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INVERTED-V CURVATURE...WHILE THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS THE WAVE IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A LARGE MOISTURE SURGE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 30W-40W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 65W S OF 19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WELL DEFINED INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A SPIKE OF MOISTURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. RESIDUAL SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE E OF 70W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 86W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS MOSTLY INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE MASKING ANY SATELLITE SIGNATURE. THE POSITION IS BASED LARGELY ON CONTINUITY.

June 7, 2008 1200 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 40W S OF 15W MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN INVERTED-V CURVATURE...WHILE THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS THE WAVE IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A LARGE MOISTURE SURGE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 33W-37W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 66W S OF 20N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WELL DEFINED INVERTED-V CURVATURE IS NOTED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION SHOWS A SPIKE OF MOISTURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N66W. RESIDUAL SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ALSO E OF 70W.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE W CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 87W S OF 17N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS MOSTLY INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE MASKING ANY SATELLITE SIGNATURE. THE POSITION IS BASED LARGELY ON CONTINUITY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-16N BETWEEN 87W-91W.

June 7, 2008 1800 UTC
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 41W S OF 13W MOVING W 10-15 KT. INVERTED-V LOW LEVEL SIGNATURE IS OBSERVED IN SAT IMAGERY... WHILE THE MIMIC-TPW ANIMATION REVEALS THE WAVE IS THE LEADING EDGE OF A LARGE MOISTURE SURGE. VIS SAT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS ON THE INCREASE PARTICULARLY ON THE EAST SIDE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 38W-41W. SCATTRED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO AHEAD OF THE WAVE AXIS AND WITHIN THE ITCZ FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 43W-46W. THIS WAVE IS FORECAST BY THE COMPUTER MODELS TO REACH THE LESSER ANTILLES EARLY THU.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 67W/68W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS WAVE HAS WEAKENED SINCE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER... THE WAVE STILL SHOWS UP IN THE UW-CIMSS TPW PRODUCT AND LOW LEVEL SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE BEHIND THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 15N66W. COMPUTER MODELS HAVE MOISTURE FROM THIS WAVE CROSSING SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... AND AFFECTING JAMAICA TOMORROW.

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER BELIZE AND WESTERN HONDURAS. IT AXIS IS ALONG 88W S OF 18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. THE WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE...AND IS HELPING TO INDUCE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION OVER HONDURAS AND EL SALVADOR. THIS WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES CURRENTLY LOCATED JUST NORTH OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO.