User:Skoloupa/Mathematics of Online Dating

Binomial Distribution
Every e-mail sent can be viewed as a Bernoulli(indicator) random variable. According to okcupid.com, the probability of getting a response to a first message is around 30%. So for our Bernoulli random variable, the probability of success p=0.3. If a person emails n people the total number of successes(replies) is the sum of n Bernoulli random variables, which follows a binomial distribution.

Parameter Estimation
Estimating parameter p, the probability of success(reply).