User:Soosider3/sandbox

All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

The next general election must take place by January 2025 as per provisions of the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022.

SCOOP Polling
The Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) is the Scottish Election Study's regular opinion poll of a representative sample of Scottish voting-age adults, running since December 2021. It is worded differently from mainstream polling and uses a slightly different methodology, Yougov have advised “'''… the voting intention results used slightly different wording and did not include YouGov’s standard turnout weighting and so should not be directly tracked to other YouGov voting intention figures as they are not identical. Instead, they should be tracked to other SCOOP voting intention polls conducted by the Scottish Election Study…“'''

Target seats
Below are listed all the constituencies which require a swing of less than 5% from the 2019 results to change hands. In calculating the swing required the assumption is that there is a direct swing from one party to another, therefore a 10% lead between winning party and second would require a 5% swing.