User talk:86.166.202.246

Infections can currently be predicted using:

Where x is the day number.

Where x is 1 on 10 JAN 2020...

Infections = (2.3384 * x * x * x) - (37.798 * x * x) + (183.42 * x) - 180.09

Deaths = (0.061 * x * x * x) - (0.8554 * x * x) + (2.935 * x)

Death counts predicted if virus continues on a 3rd order polynomial growth (from day 10):

5, 10, 17, 28, 41, 57, 78, 102, 131, 165, 205, 249, 300, 357, 421, 492, 570, 656, 751, 853...

Actual deaths: 3, 9, 17, 25, 41, 56, 80...