User talk:E98236

布莱德利效应

对于加利福尼亚人来说，这是个老故事了：1982年，洛杉矶市长汤姆•布拉德利（Tom Bradley）竞选州长. 当时局势看来，他肯定会成为加利福尼亚的首任黑人州长，在选前民调遥遥领先10个百分点，但最终他输了. 前资深民主党战略家乔•特里皮（Joe Trippi）当时正是他的竞选顾问. “那是我经历过的最为印象深刻的失败，”特里皮说. “也由此产生出一个名词－－布莱德利效应，指当黑人成为候选人时，民调往往是骗人的.

当1989年道格拉斯·怀尔德（Douglas Wilder）竞选维吉尼亚州（Virginia）州长时，他在选前民调领先9个百分点，但最终以不到1个百分点的微弱差距败给对手，“布莱德利效应”再次发作.

Speedy deletion of 庄世豪（莊世豪）-Cheng Sheng How
A tag has been placed on 庄世豪（莊世豪）-Cheng Sheng How, requesting that it be speedily deleted from Wikipedia. This has been done under section A2 of the criteria for speedy deletion, because the article appears to be a foreign language article that was copied and pasted from another Wikimedia project, or was transwikied out to another project. Please see Translation to learn about requests for, and coordination of, translations from foreign-language Wikipedias into English.

If you think that this notice was placed here in error, you may contest the deletion by adding  to the top of the page that has been nominated for deletion (just below the existing speedy deletion or "db" tag), coupled with adding a note on the talk page explaining your position, but be aware that once tagged for speedy deletion, if the page meets the criterion it may be deleted without delay. Please do not remove the speedy deletion tag yourself, but don't hesitate to add information to the page that would render it more in conformance with Wikipedia's policies and guidelines. Lastly, please note that if the page does get deleted, you can contact one of these admins to request that they userfy the page or have a copy emailed to you. JCutter (talk) 07:36, 12 April 2009 (UTC)