User talk:Igorley

User: Example/draft article on social order

== ALTERNATION, A CLUE TO HISTORICAL SELF-UNDERSTANDING==

’’’ Alternations’’’ are well known means for any common load to be distributed equally. It is aptly to recall today when the impression is gradually taking hold that in standoffs similar to that which takes place within the West and Taliban there will be nobody’s absolute final victory. That it is one of everlasting struggles between the richer and poorer, less and more developed. The sense of their inexorability isn’t new and scrutiny given to them persists obstinately ever since ancient times. Now with essentially greater experience the data are becoming increasingly clearer on the part of what could be suggested in this respect, i.e. on the part of what contemporary more refined methods to solve contradictions could consist in. In the modern context of exhausting the Earth’s reserves getting away from wars’ expenses takes on the special significance and calls to theorists’ attention. == Equalization and competition== As is known the social evolution possesses dualism. On one hand it replete with competition, exploitation, repulsion of the weaks, on the other hand undergoes changes from greater inequality to lesser one. The “equalization” takes the form of a gradually accruing process. It traces its beginning back to the very initial point of societal existence, has been carving its way through the whole history and certainly with the same inexorability will continue its function in the future. Equalization is purely human peculiarity. The animate nature outside of human beings evolves exclusively by way of competition and struggle and moves differently - toward endless divergence and supplanting. The new step in the Nature became possible with the appearance of cooperation based on reasoning. It tampered competition with the ability of participants to realize ther place in surrounding, to evaluate it, to compare it with potentialities and positions of other similar to them subjects. This left unprecedented imprint on the behavior, elicited the need for instillation in competitors - just for better competitivness - a sense of community of interests, nearing of destinies, the need for advance toward more equality. This were equalization was born, this is where distinctive evolution of societal fabric sfarted on. In its advance equalization shrinks the field of competition, yet, for a long time to come (may be even forever) the role of competition and, by implication, inequalities in terms of prosperity and social positions will remain significant both at the individual level and in actions of groups and classes. Both these peculiarities of human’s behavior oppose each other as a result of which the course of each country’s history has the uneven appearance with rising and falls, revolutions and prosperities, breakthroughs and retreats. Ultimately if slowly the equalization prevails. The progress proceeds along two avenues. One of them which springs in mind first is convenient to call “structural”. That’s what has a bearing on the social order and relationships as we see them in daily life. For all around the history - from slavery to democracy -the step of equality is seen with naked eye. It spreads over industrial and international relations as well. There were temporal exeptions though - the period of Great Geographical Discoveries was accompanied by colonialism, even slavery. The reason is obvious - preceding prolonged lack of cooperation and community, and by implication, accrued huge gap in development. From that time frame the history pushed off again toward the same direction - equalization stubbornly played its tune. That is the way the structural equalization is and works. There is another field where the phenomenon of equalization manifests itself no less effectively. Let's set sights on two profound characteristic peculiarities of society’s development and not only society’s one. The first is succession. Descendants follow the line of consecutive changes and modes of life of their predecessors. In all living nature it takes the shape of incarceration in a specific biological niches - a kind of a possession each species has been conquering and championing in all its past and continues same struggle today to retain it for future. In this picture the society brought something new. The mankind’s place in the Nature can’t be any more contended for but, in return, rivalry for the position within society had emerged at both levels - individual and group. And again succession remains in the place. A seized rung of social hierarchy, a social niche, so to speak, also is being hung on to in each generation by a group of people whose advantages came from the social position of their parents and parents of parents. Barriers surrounding such a group’s possession are not absolutely tight of course. There are some influx from below upward, but from above practically nobody comes down. Upper strata are something what could be called a deadlock where all, building cram, try to squeeze in. All of this in the face of the existence of genealogical lines whose representatives in all known history never rised from the bottom and no such prospect is lying in wait for them in the future. There is another important circumstance needing to be considered - not succession as such but something eternally tied in with it. This is making of in society (pretty much as experienced in all biological nature) changes in appearances and states of those the succession hedged off. Fot this reason an origin puts many distinctive stamps on people - the difference between cultural intelligent and individuals sturdily empoyed in the heavy manual labour  is generally known. What is important is that all these deviations (specific sets of imparted properties) put different groups of people on the different levels of knowledge, mastertng, feelings, in other words, levels of develoment which in turn props the soccession. It is true that in everyday life capabilities determine people’s social positions, but social positions determine capabilities as well. Thus the circle is found closed. As important tools of succession - aside from culural conditions - such legitimated usages and circumstances come up as inheritance of property or resulting from the social affilation possession of sufficient means for education. Being in the living world the powerful lever in the mechanism of branching (from plankton to humans), the succession strives to act similarly in the human midst too. The question which makes a hard call now is: how does the sociaty, being in great need of equalization, copes with this problem? By rather characteristic way. The world history is inundated with contradictions and full of wars. As of now no deliverance from this mess is in the offing. Yet, complex as it is, this taking-to-heart situation has long been subject of search for some conformity to rules. Particularly, since ancient times it was noticed (by Polybious) that as result of these infinite number of internal and external collision chronicles of aff societies break into periods (cycles) in each of which one can distinguish something rather like the birth (accompanied by new people of simple origin’sascent to leadership), rising, flourishing, decline and dawnfall (at least partly a new replacement of leadig stratum). The reason of these periodical renewal (such a term looks most suitable) was seen to changes in states of ruling classes, brought down upon them by their ways of life, that is, getting the habit of comfort, refined feelings and behavior, unterest in art and abstract matter - all this along with losses of other valuable virtues. The faulty situation prompted reactions since time immemorial. One instance of drastic measures is rather noticeable: in the ancient state Sparta (c.700-362BC) an attempt was made to prevent the degradation from happening through unhibiting intellectual progress as such (the laws of Lykourgos).Those efforts failed, “degradation” isn,t only degradation. Different tasks of development exist, different strategies are needed. Either one can,t take the place of the other.Their alternation is a subject of optimization, a kind of unconscious one. ==Cyclicuty, temporal ways of equalization== In the meantime disorderlinss of social life, scouges of renewal leave no room for rest. Cyclicity has came into focus of many theoreticians. A start was done by aforementioned Polybious (2nd century BC), and Ibn Khaldun (1336-1406) *, marked contributions came from Machiavelli, Vico, Spengler, Toinbee, Pareto **, Sorokin***. Some additional explanations were being advanced. Often the blame for the stability’s loss was laid on society’s complication and stratification; still others saw the root of the evil to compacency gripping the minds of those who too hurriedly came to believe in firmness of their positions (not unlike America before 11/9). Also as an explanation: exhausting old ideas, the need for the new ones - altruism of something like this (Sorokin) even to the point of suggesting, according to Toinbee, that cyclicity and suffering are humanity’s way of religious self-perfrction. There was one common trait in all these judgments (exept probably Toinbee’s): no need for a society’s developent was revealed behind those phenomena. With such a vision investigators could neither to define duly the reason of renewals nor estimate their optimum scale. Nor to offer any way of regulating. Of latest editions it shold be mention the labour of three Russion co-authors representing their research in three volums, see the endnote (****). In their percerption conflicts and instability coming into existence depend upon ratio between quantities of population and production (carrying capacity). Not a bad explanation but still doesn’t look exhaustive. Focusing on specific examples would be appropriate here. The Russian revolution would be superiour at their list. == Russian revolution == Commonly held view is coming down to the point that the object of efforts in this event was socialism while the substitution of old ruling classes with the new people from rank and file - a collateral and senseless phenomenon. That’s the way the values, feelings and plans are forming in the heads of some observers, journalists even statesmen. Facts however piece together much more harmoniously if conceiving the flow of events the other way around. For many socialism is looked upon as a tool, while renewal relegated to destination, driving force and lasting outcome. In the depth of Russian history the latest shock turns out not to be the first of such kind. Russia had gone through something very similar at the time of Ivan the Terrible (the secon half of 16th centure) when through dictatorship and terror from the ranks of servicemen a new sort of elite was promoted - “dvorianstvo”. Notwithstanding it became a significant event ushering in the long and rather glorious Romanov period in Russian history. The eminence, however, failed to prevent in due time coming of huge estrangement in attitudes between upper and low classes. Against those facts it is not looked fit in the view of some theorists to give up to the current productivity without due regards for the consequences of divergences in people’s states and developments. But let’s continue our accounting. Four centuries before Ivan the Terrible the renewal nearly happened by the alien army as a outcome of Mongolian invasion. This kind of forcible renewals was widespread in the past history. The reason rested with a special sort of situation - differences in conditions of opposing armies. Armies of mature societies took on the composition of diversified alienated layers. They were no match for armies newly organized in the place of tribal relationship. In addition to Russia it is rather fitting to give the England a glance. Over the last fifteen centuries of its history England have lived through five renewals each time with the replacement of the advanced leading circles by the backward ones. Two of them were performed by outside forces (Anglo-Saxon and Norman foreigners) and three by internal forces: deeds of the king Alfred the Great, the Wars of the Roses and the English revolution. Particularly arresting is China’s history. It spreads over two and half millenniums an during this time eleven thorough substitutions of leading strata have taken place, seven of them due to internal rebellions. And so on. The adduced facts are enough to reflect reality. Especially distinct examples of renewals ara furnished by four revolutions that could br named classical -English, French, Russian,and Chinese. All they were multy-step. Once the old deep-rooted cannons had been breached at the surface, from the society’s depth upward new cohorts of pretenders started consecutively coming forward at each stage from more and more deeper layers. Raging of furious struggles between predecessors and those who were at thei heels bacame matter-of-course. Each stage brought on the new level of sacrifices and bitterness.The evidence of the consistent pattern in these developments can’t be denied, all they correspond to their destination, yet, a particular outcome of battles wasn’t and cannot be considered as predermined. When and how the end will be put to these chains of overthrows is a whim of spontaneous optimization. Some revolutions are deep, some shallow, some futile but they allways are complex processes clouded up with fray and coercions. The most importan is they are inevitable. From time to time each society is brought to pass through this ordeal. No country of sufficient age seen over the course of its history escaped crisises of renewals. If they are indeed importunate companions of our existence, if endless succession of any social body’s being in influence and authority is historically inadmissible, without special arrangements uninterrupted stability is impossible. Beyond said, revolutions burst into balance of forces in the sphere of international relationships. Forces promoted by backward parts of population in their rush of renewals manifest their own proclivity toward expansion. Renewal movement easy takes on an international scale. Advantages grown out of closeness between leading portion of the populace and driven mass in combination with setting off against - real of indocrinated - common estranged adverssary plus the passion for further social rising feed bellicosity. The phenomenon of abrupt mass social rising is fraught with further seizures. By past experience the outcome became more or less extensive spreading of renewals and stopping their steps as well. Sooner or later, whether due to wrecking of expansion or for reason of internal logic the strategy of  unbrided renewals invariably exhaust itself. The mood of yesterday promoted people changes. Once having raised, they want to be settled in their new places solidly. Former revolutionaries turn into conservators, into defenders of this-date conjuncture, defenders of succession. The past henceforth instill aversion in them; the fact that they are responsible for and indebt to it drops out of their mind. National unity (often alongside democracy) are inunciated as the main principles and counterbalance to growing dissimilarities and injustice. Division along line of the dismissed and the promoted gives way to fraternization, the survived part of the former at times gets some possessions back. What has remained after  completion of all perturbations is the new improved relationship between upper and low parts of society. This votle-face gives assurance to future close cooperation between classes, ushers in a new cycle in society’s life. Community of features of classical revolution is no accident. They are very instructive in respect to the whole phenomenon and its various manifestations. ==The Germany’s experience== There remain, however, some different courses of events that can’t be omitterd here. Those are execution of poised-to-be peaceful economical ways of promotions and renewals. Multiformity is their inalienable trait too. For the sake of brevity let's confine our account to only one example. That which was set by Germany in its recent history. The role of driving force took on itself the swift advance of economy combined with considerable social promotions. The process started (after long period of vegetation) on the eve of revolutionary actions of 1848 and lasted practically until the end of WWII. During this period through purely economical means the intensive growth of upper and middle classes had been taken place against a background of lagging behind of all neighbouring countries to the West and to the East. The process didn’t turned into all-round pleasure, at about that time Marxism and worker movement made their appearance. The chain of events flared up - as is the case in most renewals - in expansion, that is, unleashing of the WWII. The struggle was carried on for land, colonies, domination The German advantages were of double kind. Usually the force of revolutionary movements comes from internal closeness, while conservatives make boast of technology and organization. In this collision the Germans possessed both. Yet, at that stage (the WWI) the closeness didn’t stand up to trial. As a result of this deepening of renewals took place in the course of which the monarchy was overthrown and leftist’s actions suppressed. After the left flank and the right flank recived ‘their due’ it took fifteen years of the Weimar Republic in order to come to senses and renew expansion under the new, petty-bourgeois leadership (the WWII). Not only expansion, the focible ‘internal device’ of renewal was launched at the expence of Jews. They were eliminated, their social positions and possessions had passed to other people for whom it was social rising. The ‘peaceful economic’ way of renewal turnrd into cruel and bloody violence. To be sure, that wasn’t the end of this mode of actions. There was the continuation which in our time found use in all developed countries. That is the reception by them the people from the backward and poor regions for performance of unqualified work on their soil. Lower strata of indigenous population have been getting favorable opportunity for leaving their previous occopations, bettering their social standing, thus mass promotion, a kind o economical renewal came into being. Stable extended reproduction is an indispensible condition of such strategy. Having been ousted from colonies due to unequal relationships the developed countries (formerly countries-colonizers) found a new way to arrange their cooperation with the backward part of mankind. In drastically mitigated manner but in principle the same order that once existed in distant subjugated territories now found use within their borders. Being positioned as guests strange workers for a long time wouldn’t be able to meddle in issues of social distribution. For all involved sides cooperation would remain mutually beneficial, stability would be sustained for long. But, in all likehood, not forever. The final word belongs to the time, of course, but one cannot look at this arrangement as the cardinal solution of the age-old formidable problem. It provides promotions and development for many but the highly - in fact, the most - important point, one that follows on from the presence of social succession leaves intact. Without dismissions essential promotion are off limits to the main mass of laborers, not to speak of the social bottom. The conclusive all-embracing effect isn’t being attained, destructive forces remain on the loose. And so from both reasoning and evidences the final thrusted conclusion reads: unlimited successive stay of any social group in favorable for development position historically inadmissible. The same holds true for the elusive ideal of everlasting stability - struggles over the issue of “who will be who” account at least 80% of all known in history wars and so far this tendency stays ubchanged. Success in productivity, that is in the sphere of “what and how to do” can’t change situation, can’t reconcile everybody in the world of social succession and growing inequality. In the absence of an appropriate regulation each society carries inside itself a sort of clock-driven bomb. It is recalled that the equalization discussing here is of special kind. It doesn’t indeed concern with material consumption, conveniences of life, division between the poor and the rich. It touches the more important string of being - human states and abilities, that is, their development; that is their destines. This is something that cannot be achived by simple opening of a purse. Nor left on the loose. An essential reorganization is debated, such that on the historical scale would provide joint development for all society’s parts and constituents. From the preceding accounts it comes out that a great part of history needs a kind of revision. Missed are important purposes and values that are embeded in the whole host of past and contemporary events. Seen usually as awful, senseless and damaging, countless rises and falls of state systems (which make for the dynamical oscillatory character of societal evolution that was noticed by Polybious) in reality have explanation and even destination. The history can be comprehended as the arrangement of two alternating and - sometimes - combining strategies of development. One - “in depth” - aligns incentives (mainly in the spheres of profit and productivity) to compete, promotes further the strongest, pushes away the weaks. It prevails and gravitates to Darwin laws. Once in a while, however, its activity is interrupted with another strategy which at the high price through suffering and sacrifices smooths the gap having been spreaded between different parts of the society over previous period. The name most suitable to it is “in width”. On some occasion both strategies interweave but as a rule one of them is making progress at the expence of the other untill priority’s switch. In this view history appears as the process of continual tug-of-war with temporal advances and retreats of struggling sides each of which carries out a special mission. Socialism and caputalism contrary widespread opinion can’t be compared in sraight way. They are actually different separated by time phases of one common process. As far as we prize society’s stability we need to whittle away destructive forces steady accruing in a society with passing of time. Something must be done to provide societal life with the greater level of community, particularly, first of all gaining the ability to handle issues of social distribution and succession. A distinct social arrangement is just asking to be implemented. ==Preferable arrangement== As has been told here, while the social positions pertainging to one or other social group rather often relates to these people’s abilities, abilities in turn for the great part are extentions of positions that were over past generations occupied by these people’ progenitors. Peoples born in different social strata at the very start of their life are posed to different gifts of destiny and pass their dooms on to future generation. Consequently in pursuit of joint development the backwards en masse and for long must be appointed to favorable for their personal progress activity and put in conditions of feasible competition at that. Competition is bound to be but for a time shouldn’t exceed their powers. Toughness of contest must be increasing gradually. Great task and one that cannot be done over scales of decades and without some rational concessions. A special arrangement suggest itself here, in the core of which the alternation (costantly enacted exchange) of social standings has the seat. This seemingly simple device belongs to the most fundamental phenomena of the Nature. A little abstract reasoning is aptly here. The gist of the whole thing lies in the fact that quality and the very essence of an object depends on the time over space of which it is being perceived. Or, in other words, on the quantity and character of changes which take place in/to the object over time requiring for its perception. Here one of the miraculous properties of time manifest itself. Thanks to this wonder we, among other things, enjoy the smooth flow of motion pictures without any stoppages which they consist of. Changes, however, could be of different kinds and so, too, produced effects. Alternation has the pecular virtue of bringing in smoothing and equalization. Equalized temperature conditions confered on the Earth by its revolution (alternative turning all sides toward the sun) is a case in point. Or - an example from social life - coditions of alternative duties in which the momentary observation of participants, their occupations and pastime, leaves one kind of impression as sufficiently long one quite another. In the former case one participant stands - the most fitting situation - on watch, while others are sleeping, in the latter case it turns out that summarily all spend equal time on work and rest, all are equal. Likewise while by assessment over accessible to our analyses time intervals inhabitants of a country, not to mention the world, are undoubtedly unequal, taken in the span  of millenniums under condition of alternation they could turn out to be equal. Hardly any other force of the Nature can outdo alternation in its effect. It underlies the very essence of universe, as for human future, its recourse to alternation is destined by the very essence of societal existence. It is convenient to call both the means and equality materialized on the base of altenation temporal in contrast to mentioned earlier structural ones. The latter now can be determined as infered from brief survey of social life without regard for its dynamism. The former is indifferent to any momentary inequality (no matter how great) however to produce effect of equality needs sufficient duration of time (hence its name “temporal”). With alternation the society’s structure could - if there’s a will - be utterly released from responsibility for structural inequality for want of serving any other interests, first of all, probably those of productivity. Productivity, detemined by societal structure and equality provided by alternation are now combined, impossible becomes possible. The former achieves the development in depth, the latter, in width, incompatible brcomes compatible. It is noteworthy that movements striving for equality show ignorance of achieving their goals through temporal ways, only structural means are in vague. Today, after all what has occurred and been lived through, for all advocates of equality just temporal mode of action should come to forefront. Structural efforts toward equality, competitiveness, democracy seemingly has been stymied. But injustices are great and something constantly is bursting out if not in the reasonable form then in the more destructive blind one. Equalization as whole is an unceasing process that can’t be boged down for long especially if the Nature embodies devices based on time-proceeding processes whose effectiveness, as we may suspect now, could be greatly enhanced by regulating (confering to them organized character). There is still a place for new inspirations. Details inevitably come to mind. The necessary feature of the alternation is the availability of two maneuvres: social rise and social demotion. The rise goes easy, the demotion is painful. Just herein lays the main obstacle. Luckily, history has already prompted something in this respect. By experience of Jews. Historically Jews represent an ancient section of societal life toward which the need for renewal have long been displaying itself in the most sharpest way. As an adjunct to specific state, training, and traditions other forms estragement have been doing their bit - national and religious. Phenomenon of nationality owes its existence to succession usually the regional one, this time the social succession appeared in this role. There are quite a few situations of similar nature, yet, the Jews are an outstanding case by scope, pecular isolation, by narrowness and character of their occupations. At a certain reminiscent point of history  intolerance of Jews reached the level, having driven them among others undertakings to  settle apart in a separate state. Along the way willy-nilly the social downgrading took place (the new society needed all its layers to be filled in, so migrants having pulled themselves together had no alternative but to find cadres for those layers in their own ranks). Dissociation and departure of one stratum of an old mature society (rather a part of such a stratum) and its settling separately in remote region wasn’t a new phenomenon in history. The United States of America are just a case in point. What the Israel’s story is different in, is the kind of stratum that happened to endure the translocation. Earlier it almost always was active but low societal sections usually unfortunate peasants eager for a lot of land to toil on it. Aside from agriculture others attractive opportunities might look promising for them as well. Transmigration offered these people the chance to improve their social standing. The matters stood differently in the instance of Israeli newcomers especially at the early stage of movement. Their origin and training were, more or less, intellectual ones, to build up multy-layer society going downstaires - demotion - was their primary destination. It was a momentous event. Im mass and independent way such a move - dismission (the special mode of it - dismission with separation) - was and remains unique. It is unique but is just the very maneuver that the history needs from the very moment of its conception, that has been putting us on implementing over its full length, that, at last, with advent of destructive weapons is becoming the life-and-death matter. Mass social descents (meaning regular and stretched in time ones) are in profound interest of the populace opening the door to their advancement in the place of the dismissed and therefore to their cultural transformation that is to development. The important advantage conferred by this course of actions is that the work of demotion is being done without anybody’s degradation exclusively by competition - not by coercion, not by discrimination but only competition among the people of common development. That is, if not for the regional dislocation tied to the process. Regional dislocation of endemic inhabitants necessary to giving the place for newcomers is unavoidable while under spontaneous, unsettled conditions difficult and distressing as well. The task is to forward a scheme that could satisfy nationals and historic interests. The arrangement of social circulation whose destination would be to implement ordered alternation acting on the continuous base is not so complex one. In large outline it could stands as follows: about once a year among a choosen developed section of a society lots are to be thrown and those few families upon which lots fell are called up to move into other society - the new society of “higher” level (as opposed to previous “lower” level one) the place for which is assigned in consent within the territory of the old society. Their former possessions should be commandeered, the new ones provided so as to give to incomers en masse, not individually, necessary economic base along with generous attention and assistance. In other respect they are meant to arrange their life independently in accordance with available opportunities and abilities. Episodic redistribution of property is an integral part of societal life. If a society trys to do without it endlessly, if the door is closed tightly, if nothing in this respect is envisaged, the society’s prosperity is doomed on the historical scale once in a while to collapse into crisis. Significant divergence in development is unbearable. This unlucky circumstance supposedly holds for every country - as far as a society sets and upholds hierarchal pyramid on the base of succession, other predistinations look groundless. But let,s continue the account of circulatiion. With each party of emigrants joining in the high-level society its population would have to increase while the low-level society decrease, the territories must do the same accordingly. Over due time, say, 300 years the low-level society would have to collapse. To that time all its citizens should have to finish their passing through a course of development, the backwardness (the way we know it now) would be eliminated. This is were the principal ‘dismissal with separation’ shows off its virtue at its very best. However, insofar as in process of this overturn the succession would almost certainly trend to reestablish itself again, the whole procedure just upon its completion is going to have to be promptly launched anew.The former high-level society would turn into low-level one, the new high-level society come into being. And so it would go for all foreseeable future forming ceaseless social circulation. With it revolutionary shocks and cyclicity wold have to become things of the past - the enormous political, economical, and social gain.

==Middle East’ solution== One of practical extentions of the social circulation’s project is the peculiar supposition of Israeli - Palestinian conflict’s solution - the old strife now at the center of the world standoff. Both sides are at once right and wrong, but it looks like we have data to judge them. Israel heads the way in implementing the principle of ‘dismissial with separation’. That is his honorable but often underestimated merit, including Israel itself underestimated. What is more it does his work inaccurate and inconsistently. A great part on unskilled labour is being done by not-Jews now for whom it is not historically valuable dismission. The narrow national and religious approach to Zionism tallies poorly with its true historical destination. Jews’ position is not unparalleled. There is (and will be) flows of refugees from revolutions being intended to insist on the nearing of destinies. Just Arabian ones would be especially valuable. Smooth transition from dismission-with-separation mode to social circulation could be reached by this way and general reconciliation on the base of mutual respect and confidence at that. On the other side the great part of peoples belonging to developing world in what has been happened to Palestinians see today only one fact: the rude dispossession of land and expulsion. There is a part of truth in it, but only a part. Indeed, it is true that the goals of Zionism must not have been implemented at the cost of Palestinians alone but the same truth reads that they have to be performed in other way - at the cost of the people who manifested in past and manifest now intolerance to Jew’s endless stay in favorable for development statuses, in short, at the expence of the world as a whole. It is not difficult to guess how things would stand aginst such a viewpoint. Of course the great part of the task fell to wealthy countries. The latter must bear the main share of expenses. Means could be of two kinds: firstly through involving for long time wide ranks of the Near East’s populace in intellectual occupations under conditions of bearable competition, secondly, as another sort of the West’s contribution, taking in from the midst of Palestinians immigration on the privileged terms (even with social rising). That’s where matters stand: social shifts and regional shifts are to be inseparable and performed by jont efforts. Two main impediments tower today in the way to prosperity and stability: underestimation of and disregard for the mass-social-descent’s phenomenon and unattainability of international cooperation on such an unprecedented scale

==Long-distance future==

The next presentation infered from the social circulation’s idea. provides us with some notion about future. Not only about near future currently hidden primarily behind the ideal of democracy (though about this too) but rather distant one, in fact, “infinitive” future. Having recognized the fact of equalization we got the inducement to wonder where does this process seems able to take humanity to, how may look the limit that this steadily flowing trend - considering pure theoretically - bound eventually to butt up against. Two, it is recalled, kinds of equalization pusue two different routes each leading to its own destination.Both (unless otherwise isn’t supposed) may be called “communisms”. One appears as such an order in which all are and do the same. It stands as structural communism, structural means of interference are responsible for it. Other communism - temporal one - allows any diversity in thoughts, moods. deeds, and even aspirations. Its mechanism works on the base of greatly accelerated alternation in social and regional positions in all their totality regardless of their quantity, meaning and difference. No matter how great is variability, the higher speed of alternation, the less time required for temporal assessment of the situation, the stronger and jointer would be sense of equality. Sufficiently high speed could cross the border of subjects’ (not to say “humans’ ”) perception the way cartoon representation made of diverse pictures do. With all this equality in this case, like in the case of structural communism, holds at the personal level though in other way. “Everybody” moves alternatively through common for all sequence of occupations of which diversity remains intact - any conceivable diversity withot exeption. What is interesting and strange at all that is that in both these constructions not only the effect of personal equality is being reached but conditions wherein common mind exists, one - if there could be such a kind of - superpowerful mind that be able to serve all needs for society’s functioning. Such an exotic and unexpected upshot comes upon the scene. Whether it could ever become reality doesn’t make much sense to guess now but irespectively of any assumption this vision of humanity’s destiny is to advantage: incurs more favourable expectations, values, and relationships. The history isn’t over. Ahead of us lies the long, going upwards path. Marxism wasn’t absolutely wrong. It had rightly guessed history’s eventual destination but was “a little bit” in a hurry. Today we need to spread significantly the time frame while add new powerful devices. And even be obliged to the past thinkers for purposes and generality.

THE END

Igorley (talk) 18:25, 31 May 2010 (UTC)
 * Ibn Khaldun, Mqaddimah,v1,v2 Pantheon Books NY 1858
 * Pareto Vilfredo, Mind and Society, Dover Publication NY 1935
 * Sorokin Peterim, Social and Cultural Mobility, The free Press NY 1956
 * Korotaev Andrey, Malkov Artemy, Khalturina Daria, Introduction to Social Macrodynamics,        URSS,2006