Wikipedia:1.5-billionth edit pool

This is a page to guess when the 1.5 billionth edit (as measured by the "oldid" field) will be made (i.e. when this link becomes valid). Also, for those who want to joke around, guess what the edit will be about.

This pool opened on December 22, 2018. The date pool will be closed when Wikipedia reaches 1350 million edits (i.e. when this link becomes valid). The total number of edits on Wikipedia is currently (as of July 29, 2024) around million. Do not rely on, as it is significantly lower (namely by slightly over 4.7 million), and could be up to a year apart from the oldid field by the time each of them reach 1.5 billion. The topic pool might as well stay open until the last minute (bonus if your guess is the 1.5-billionth edit).

1.5 Billionth Edit Date
''Only one guess. You win if it is before or on your guess and after the next earlier guess before yours. Try to keep guesses sorted.''

2020–2029

 * September 1, 2021. Based off the likely outcome that it won't happen this year and a hunch that it will happen sometime in September. Clover moss  (talk) 01:19, 24 January 2020 (UTC)
 * that date has passed, but you still have a chance to guess again!


 * Sunday, November 12, 2023 -Anonymous Colorado, United States user (02:56 Friday, January 14, 2021, UTC)
 * Sunday, January 7, 2024 - Procyonidae (talk) 03:15, 22 January 2021 (UTC)
 * January 18, 2024 (Kind of an important date for me) Gargantuan Brain (talk) 20:14, 15 February 2021 (UTC)
 * August 7th, 2024 pinktoebeans  (talk) 22:13, 15 January 2021 (UTC)
 * September 2nd, 2024 Serafart (talk) (contributions) 20:34, 2 March 2020 (UTC)
 * June 1st, 2025 RteeeeKed (talk) 22:21, 14 October 2021 (UTC)
 * December 14th, 2025 - Near-complete guess mwwv (converse) 17:04, 21 April 2024 (UTC)
 * September 24th, 2026 - First guess of the pool! (Let me know if i'm still alive!) !! !0I0000100110010101101110! !! (talk) 06:00, 22 December 2018 (UTC)
 * October 14, 2026 Painting17 (talk) 17:15, 9 February 2021 (UTC)
 * April 8, 2027 Alfa-ketosav (talk) 19:13, 2 December 2023 (UTC)
 * June 17th, 2027 AlphaCent2021 (talk) 12:34, 25 January 2021 (UTC)
 * November 19, 2027  Mario Jump  83!  11:03, 16 January 2021 (UTC)
 * May 21, 2028 | 176.12.209.44 (talk) 18:30, 6 September 2022 (UTC)
 * July 20, 2028 Hanif Al Husaini (talk) 11:53, 23 October 2020 (UTC)
 * August 21, 2028 Eyesnore talk&#128172; 03:01, 29 June 2024 (UTC)
 * October 4, 2028 ~  ONUnicorn (Talk&#124;Contribs) problem solving 22:53, 13 January 2021 (UTC)
 * December 31, 2028 - The day Radical-6 is released into the world in the Zero Escape series. Schiffy  ( Speak to me &#124; What I've done ) 20:23, 3 July 2024 (UTC)
 * January 31, 2029 - Adolphus79 (talk) 20:41, 15 February 2021 (UTC)
 * April 1, 2029 𝟙𝟤𝟯𝟺𝐪𝑤𝒆𝓇𝟷𝟮𝟥𝟜𝓺𝔴𝕖𝖗𝟰 (𝗍𝗮𝘭𝙠) 18:45, 16 January 2021 (UTC)
 * April 15, 2029. DuyWilliam1985 (talk) 09:05, 11 December 2021 (UTC)
 * August 12th, 2029 Thingofme (talk) 08:36, 10 July 2022 (UTC)
 * The day Line 5 southern extension to Pingzhuang Highway opens. Will be before 2030, see here for why! 183.178.181.29 (talk) 02:14, 2 August 2019‎ (UTC)
 * 800th day after the date pool of closure. So only after the date pool is closed, you can know my forecast date.--Q28 (talk) 10:10, 5 June 2022 (UTC)

2030–2039

 * 17 May, 2030.  65434 fedcd  (Talk) 12:00, 25 October 2022 (UTC)
 * Tuesday, August 26, 2031 Кощки123 (talk) 01:33, 24 January 2020 (UTC)
 * June 28, 2032 - The first billion edits range from January 15, 2001, to January 13, 2021, so the five hundred millionth to the one billion five hundred millionth edits should likewise range from June 30, 2012, to June 28, 2032. GeoffreyT2000 (talk) 00:28, 21 January 2022 (UTC)
 * December 3, 2032, MainPeanut (talk) 19:54, 11 February 2021
 * the day when the lockdown in shanghai ends and the day when north korea falls 38.94.110.99 (talk) 10:23, 8 May 2022 (UTC)

1.5 Billionth Edit Topic

 * It's going to be a spelling error on the page of an Asian politician. Typhlosionator (talk) 13:01, 5 March 2020 (UTC)
 * Something to do with a village in the middle of nowhere no one has ever heard of pinktoebeans  (talk) 22:13, 15 January 2021 (UTC)
 * Edit to a football article made by a bot.  Mario Jump  83!  11:06, 16 January 2021 (UTC)
 * Some kind of edit that has something to do with like adding a short description, a category, or something else like that. Or something made by a bot that is just doing its normal things. Stay safe, Cyclone   Toby  12:55, 16 January 2021 (UTC)
 * A library classification system talk page, e.g. someplace like this - Procyonidae (talk) 03:15, 22 January 2021 (UTC)
 * It's going to be related to music, most likely a style common in the mid-1900s. Gargantuan Brain (talk) 20:12, 15 February 2021 (UTC)
 * Reverting IP based vandalism... - Adolphus79 (talk) 20:37, 15 February 2021 (UTC)
 * The beginning of a new topic at WP:ANI, by someone who is clearly in the wrong and will receive a WP:BOOMERANG. HotdogPi 11:55, 22 April 2021 (UTC)
 * Me editing my userspace. --littleb2009 (she/her) (talk • contribs) 23:02, 4 June 2021 (UTC)
 * Multiple people will probably have a bot to edit their userpage to something when edit 1.5 billion rolls around, so it's probably going to be that. RteeeeKed (talk) 23:26, 14 October 2021 (UTC)
 * Likely will be someone fixing a spelling error. Likely will be on a music star article. DuyWilliam1985 (talk) 09:08, 11 December 2021 (UTC)
 * Someone using a user script to repeatedly make useless edits to a page (probably a sandbox), because they want to be the one who makes the edit. --67.183.136.85 (talk) 20:39, 26 December 2021 (UTC)
 * By a bot. I guess there will be one or more bot edit will be in oldid=1499999999 to oldid=1500000001 edits, because the proportion of machine editing has reached more than one third. — Preceding unsigned comment added by Q28 (talk • contribs) 21:35, 31 May 2022 (UTC)
 * A correction of template usage in article space, by an administrator. | 176.12.209.44 (talk) 18:38, 6 September 2022 (UTC)
 * It's going to be on some joke page about the Wikipedia Cabals I just found out about. CooperGoodman (talk) 02:28, 9 May 2023 (UTC)
 * A vandal blanking a 100,000-byte page. Schiffy  ( Speak to me &#124; What I've done ) 20:23, 3 July 2024 (UTC)