Wikipedia:Modelling Wikipedia's growth/Previous traffic predictions

This page lists the predictions of Wikipedia's Alexa traffic rating. Remember that lower is better.

Alexa traffic by month, calculated by taking the average ranking for each month and using polynomial curve of best fit.

Current predictions (5/27/04):
Formula: y = 25921.322x-1.1811674


 * Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2005: 528
 * Predicted average ranking for the month of June 2005: 432
 * Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2010: 133
 * Predicted date when Wikipedia will be the #1 site on the web: October 15, 2458

At 5/1/04:
Formula: y = 25606.832x-1.1722163


 * Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2005: 538
 * Predicted average ranking for the month of June 2005: 441
 * Predicted average ranking for the month of January 2010: 135
 *  Predicted date when Wikipedia will be the #1 site on the web: August 2484

All data on this page is taken from the Awareness Statistics page.