Wikipedia:Ten thousandth FA

This is a pool for predicting the date at which the number of Featured articles (as defined by the official article count presented on the Featured articles) in the English Wikipedia reaches 10,000 (ten thousand). The person who comes closest to the actual date is the winner. See the official page for the current number of articles in the English Wikipedia. The current number of featured articles in Wikipedia is.

This pool will be closed for entries when the English Wikipedia article count reaches 8,000 (80%), so be sure to place your guess before then. This pool opened on June 9, 2023, shortly after the FA statistic reached 6280.

2020s

 * June 12, 2027. I think we might get there sooner for a number of reasons, not least Vami_IV's death and the decently high chance it has to inspire people to make FAs in his honor. QuicoleJR (talk) 15:46, 20 March 2024 (UTC)
 * September 17, 2029. I hope it's sooner than expected. Tw294 (talk) 15:47, 28 February 2024 (UTC)

2030s

 * 8 October, 2031. I'm optimistic. Generalissima (talk) 17:27, 12 February 2024 (UTC)
 * 15 July, 2032. Between Chatgpt's guess and mine. Nyraxis (talk) 12:22, 25 February 2024 (UTC)
 * 1 March, 2034. I'm definite about it. Kolya75Media (talk) 23:10, 10 July 2024 (UTC)
 * 12 December 2036, the first prediction! (at 10th june 2023 by an anomynous editor)

2040s

 * 19 June 2042, by my sense and current trends. Just a random Wikipedian (talk) 04:26, 12 June 2023 (UTC)
 * 1 August 2043 per extrapolation. Alfa-ketosav (talk) 19:14, 2 December 2023 (UTC)

Never
Not if counting only actual FAs and not those that don't meet the criteria and need improvement or delisting. (t &#183; c)  buidhe  04:34, 4 December 2023 (UTC)