2023 Nigerian presidential election in Cross River State
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| Registered | 1,766,466 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Cross River State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background[edit]
Cross River State is a diverse state in the South South with growing economy and vast natural areas but facing an underdeveloped yet vital agricultural sector, deforestation, and rising debt in large part due to years of systemic corruption. Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the PDP's control as Ayade won with over 73% of the vote and the party won every seat in the House of Assembly along with all three senate seats. However, the PDP did lose one House of Representatives seat to the APC and although the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar, it still swung towards Buhari compared to 2015 and had lower turnout.
Polling[edit]
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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|
|
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|
Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 12% | 59% | 0% | 7% | – | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 7% | 71% | 6% | 4% | – | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| Nextier (Cross River crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 14.7% | 63.2% | – | 20.6% | 1.5% | – | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Cross River crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 9% | 74% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 4% | – | – |
Projections[edit]
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Likely Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 46.74% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 38.97% | ||
| Abubakar: | 7.62% | ||
| Others: | 6.68% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Obi | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 25% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 35% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 20% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 20% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Battleground | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election[edit]
Results[edit]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district[edit]
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Cross River Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Cross River North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Cross River South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency[edit]
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Abi/Yakurr Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Akamkpa/Biase Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Akpabuyo/Bakassi/Calabar South Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Calabar Municipal/Odukpani Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ikom/Boki Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Obanliku/Obudu/Bekwarra Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Obubra/Etung Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ogoja/Yala Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area[edit]
The results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Abi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Akamkpa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Akpabuyo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bekwarra | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Biase | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Boki | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Calabar Municipal | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Calabar South | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Etung | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikom | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obanliku | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obubra | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obudu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Odukpani | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogoja | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Yakurr | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Yala | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also[edit]
Notes[edit]
- ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abi, Boki, Etung, Ikom, Obubra, and Yakurr.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bekwarra, Biase, Obanliku, Obudu, Ogoja, and Yala.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akamkpa, Akpabuyo, Bakassi, Calabar Municipal, Calabar South, and Odukpani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abi and Yakurr.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akamkpa and Biase.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akpabuyo, Bakassi, and Calabar South.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Calabar Municipal and Odukpani.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Boki and Ikom.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bekwarra, Obanliku, and Obudu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Etung and Obubra.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ogoja and Yala.
References[edit]
- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian. "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.