2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election

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2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election

← 2017 27 November 2024 (2024-11-27)[1]

Governor before election

Heru Budi Hartono (Acting)
Independent

Elected Governor

TBD

A gubernatorial election will be held in Jakarta in 2024 alongside other local elections nationwide to elect the Governor of Jakarta to a five-year term.[2]

Electoral system[edit]

In prior elections, the gubernatorial election for Jakarta, uniquely for Indonesia's local elections, required a runoff should no candidates achieve a simple majority, but this runoff requirement has been removed for the 2024 election. Instead, the election will be run on a first-past-the-post system, where a candidate with the most votes wins the election even if they fail to obtain a majority.[3] It is possible for a candidate to run uncontested, in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "empty box" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.[4]

Candidates[edit]

Under regulations, only political parties having 22 seats or more in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives (DPRD) can put forward a candidate. Following the 2024 general election, no parties won 22 or more seats in the DPRD, and so coalitions will be required to nominate a candidate.[5] Candidates may alternatively run if they have gathered at least 618,968 copies of identity cards from local residents, which will be verified by the General Elections Commission (KPU).[6]

Five independent candidates expressed interest in registering. Only one of the five, former police general Dharma Pongrekun [id], submitted the required documents. According to KPU, Pongrekun submitted over 840 thousand proofs of support by the provided deadline.[7][8] Pongrekun is running with Kun Wardana Abyoto [id], an academic.[9] Their candidacy is pending their submitted documents being verified until 29 May 2024.[10] Pongrekun is the only independent candidate nationally which had submitted sufficient proofs of support to become a gubernatorial candidate.[11]

Potential[edit]

The following are the figures who are said to be able to run for the 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election, prior to the opening of registration for the pairs of candidates for Governor and Vice Governor.

Political map[edit]

Parliamentary seats[edit]

Following the 2024 Indonesian general election, 11 political parties are represented in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives:[22]

Political parties Amount
Seat(s) % Increase Decrease (2019)
Prosperous Justice Party (PKS)
18 / 106
17.0%
Increase 2
Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P)
15 / 106
14.2%
Decrease 10
Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra)
14 / 106
13.2%
Decrease 5
Nasdem Party (Nasdem)
11 / 106
10.4%
Increase 4
Party of Functional Groups (Golkar)
10 / 106
9.4%
Increase 4
National Awakening Party (PKB)
10 / 106
9.4%
Increase 5
National Mandate Party (PAN)
10 / 106
9.4%
Increase 1
Democratic Party (Demokrat)
8 / 106
7.5%
Decrease 2
Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI)
8 / 106
7.5%
Steady 8
United Development Party (PPP)
1 / 106
0.9%
Steady 1
Perindo Party (Perindo)
1 / 106
0.9%
New

Opinion polls[edit]

Pre-election polls[edit]

Poll source Date Sample size Others Lead Error margin
Anies Risma AHY
Populi Center[23] 26 January - 1 February 2022 600 47.5% 3.5% 1.7% 47.3% 0.2% ± 4%
Jakarta Research
Center[24]
7–14 September 2021 800 28.0% 35.5% 5.6% 22.2% 7.5% ± 3.4%
Jakarta Research
Center[25]
1–10 April 2021 800 32.4% 37.1% 7.8% 13.6% 4.7% ± 3.4%
Nusantara Strategic
Network[26]
20–27 February 2021 400 31.8% 34.0% 3.3% 20.3% 2.2% ± 4.9%
Median[27] 31 January - 3 February 2021 400 40.5% 16.5% - 12.0% 24.0% ± 4.9%
Median[28] 31 January - 3 February 2021 400 45.0% 36.0% - 19.0% 9.0% ± 4.9%

References[edit]

  1. ^ "Pemilu 2024 Digelar 14 Februari, Pilkada 27 November". CNN Indonesia (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2023-02-21.
  2. ^ Nafi'an, Muhammad Ilman. "KPU Pastikan Pilkada 2022 dan 2023 Diundur ke 2024". IDN Times (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2021-11-10.
  3. ^ "Infografis Pilkada Jakarta Disepakati Hanya Satu Putaran". liputan6.com (in Indonesian). 20 March 2024. Retrieved 8 April 2024.
  4. ^ Mardika, Nando Yussele (5 November 2020). "Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang?". hukumonline.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 16 April 2024.
  5. ^ "Tak Ada Partai yang Bisa Usung Sendiri Cagub-Cawagub pada Pilkada DKI 2024". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 29 April 2024. Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  6. ^ Syarifudin, Taufiq (10 May 2024). "Syarat Minimal Dukungan Cagub Independen Jakarta: 618.968 KTP". detiknews (in Indonesian). Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  7. ^ "Sosok Dharma Pongrekun, Jenderal Bintang 3 yang Maju Cagub DKI hingga Kumpulkan 749.298 Dukungan Warga". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 15 May 2024. Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  8. ^ Chairunnisa, Ninis (17 May 2024). "KPU Jakarta: Calon Independen Dharma-Kun Kantongi 840.640 Dukungan". Tempo (in Indonesian). Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  9. ^ "Profil R Kun Wardana Abyoto, Bakal Calon Wakil Gubernur DKI Jakarta Jalur Independen yang Punya IQ Tinggi". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 15 May 2024. Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  10. ^ "KPU DKI verifikasi administrasi Dharma Pongrekun hingga 29 Mei". Antara News (in Indonesian). 17 May 2024. Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  11. ^ "KPU Sebut Hanya Ada 1 Bakal Calon Independen di Pilgub 2024". Tempo (in Indonesian). 16 May 2024. Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  12. ^ Saputro, Febrianto Adi; Hermawan, Bayu (21 February 2021). "Alasan Demokrat tak Lagi Jagokan AHY di Pilgub Jakarta". www.republika.co.id (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  13. ^ Saudale, Vento (5 April 2021). "Demokrat Versi KLB Dukung AHY Maju Kembali di Pilkada DKI". www.beritasatu.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  14. ^ Aulia, Muhammad (6 January 2022). "Ahmad Riza Patria Dipandang Calon Potensial Maju Pilgub DKI 2024". www.beritasatu.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 3 February 2022.
  15. ^ a b Nurita, Dewi (11 March 2022). "Nasdem Akui Upaya Jodohkan Ahmad Sahroni dengan Airin di Pilgub DKI 2024". nasional.tempo.co (in Indonesian). Retrieved 18 October 2022.
  16. ^ Rizki, Dwi (18 March 2024). "Akui Sudah Bertemu Langsung, PKS Minta Anies Maju Pilkada DKI, Deklarasinya Tunggu Hal Ini". wartakota.tribunnews.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 19 March 2024.
  17. ^ "Pengamat: Anies dan Ahok Berpotensi Maju Lagi di Pilgub DKI 2024". Republika Online (in Indonesian). 25 February 2024. Retrieved 8 April 2024.
  18. ^ Andryanto, S. Dian (7 March 2024). "Jika Ahok Berminat Maju di Pilkada DKI Jakarta, Status Mantan Narapidana Bisa Mengganjalnya? Ini Kata UU Pilkada". Tempo (in Indonesian). Retrieved 8 April 2024.
  19. ^ Yanwardhana, Emir (30 July 2023). "Ridwan Kamil Dapat Restu Buat Nyalon di Pilgub Jakarta". cnbcindonesia.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 23 January 2024.
  20. ^ Hantoro, Juli (20 May 2024). "Respons Anies Soal Sudirman Said yang Bakal Maju di Pilgub Jakarta". Tempo (in Indonesian). Retrieved 20 May 2024.
  21. ^ Girsang, Ken (18 January 2021). "Bu Risma Dipersiapkan Buat Pilkada DKI Jakarta atau Pilpres 2024?". Jpnn.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  22. ^ "Perkiraan Perolehan Kursi Pileg DPRD DKI 2024: PKS Naik, PDI-P dan Gerindra Turun". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 12 March 2024. Retrieved 8 April 2024.
  23. ^ Annur, Cindy Mutia (2022-02-10). "Populi Center: Elektabilitas Anies Baswedan Tertinggi di Bursa Cagub DKI Pilkada 2024" (in Indonesian). Retrieved 15 February 2022.
  24. ^ "Pilkada DKI 2024: Gibran Masuk Bursa Calon Gubernur, Elektabilitasnya?" (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  25. ^ Faqih, Fikri (16 April 2021). "Survei Pilgub DKI: Elektabilitas Risma 37,1 Persen dan Anies 32,4 Persen" (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  26. ^ "Survei Cagub DKI: Risma Teratas, Anies Petahana Lemah" (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  27. ^ "Ragam Suara Parpol Saat Elektabilitas Anies di Level Semenjana" (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.
  28. ^ Wahyudi, Nyoman Ary (15 February 2021). "Pilgub DKI: Jika Digelar Hari Ini, Anies Menang Jauh dari Risma" (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2 November 2021.