Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan

Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan
Saskatchewan electoral district
	Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan in relation to other Saskatchewan federal electoral districts as of the 2013 Representation Order
Federal electoral district
Legislature	House of Commons
MP	Fraser Tolmie; Conservative
;
District created	2013
First contested	2015
Last contested	2021
District webpage	profile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)	76,106
Electors (2015)	56,621
Area (km²)	32,882
Pop. density (per km²)	2.3
Census division(s)	Division No. 6, Division No. 7, Division No. 11
Census subdivision(s)	Moose Jaw, Outlook, Lumsden, Lanigan, Watrous

Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan is a federal electoral district in Saskatchewan, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2015. It encompasses a portion of Saskatchewan formerly included in the electoral districts of Blackstrap, Palliser, Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre, Souris—Moose Mountain, Wascana and Saskatoon—Humboldt.^[3]

Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan was created by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect after the 2015 Canadian federal election was called.^[4]

Demographics[edit]

Panethnic groups in Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan (2011−2021)
Panethnic group	2021^[5]		2016^[6]		2011^[7]
Panethnic group	Pop.	%	Pop.	%	Pop.	%
European^[a]	67,350	86.19%	68,845	89.86%	68,080	92.36%
Indigenous	5,415	6.93%	4,370	5.7%	3,440	4.67%
Southeast Asian^[b]	2,110	2.7%	1,200	1.57%	725	0.98%
East Asian^[c]	985	1.26%	670	0.87%	585	0.79%
South Asian	970	1.24%	540	0.7%	215	0.29%
African	875	1.12%	610	0.8%	430	0.58%
Latin American	200	0.26%	120	0.16%	150	0.2%
Middle Eastern^[d]	95	0.12%	75	0.1%	10	0.01%
Other/multiracial^[e]	150	0.19%	185	0.24%	70	0.09%
Total responses	78,145	97.02%	76,615	96.09%	73,715	96.86%
Total population	80,547	100%	79,733	100%	76,106	100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses. Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

The riding has been represented by Fraser Tolmie of the Conservative Party since 2021. It has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament	Years		Party
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan Riding created from Blackstrap, Palliser, Regina—Lumsden—Lake Centre, Saskatoon—Humboldt, Souris—Moose Mountain, and Wascana
42nd	2015–2019	Tom Lukiwski	Conservative
43rd	2019–2021	Tom Lukiwski
44th	2021–present	Fraser Tolmie

Graph of election results in Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Fraser Tolmie	24,869	60.4	-10.7	$64,739.58
	New Democratic	Talon Regent	7,975	19.4	+2.4	$17,715.39
	People's	Chey Craik	4,712	11.4	+7.8	$29,568.05
	Liberal	Katelyn Zimmer	2,526	6.1	+0.5	$7,798.44
	Maverick	D. Craig Townsend	664	1.6	-	$2,514.26
	Green	Isaiah Hunter	438	1.1	–1.5	$0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit			41,184	99.96	+0.6	$117,516.56
Total rejected ballots			206	0.04	-0.6
Turnout			41,184	69.32	-6.52
Eligible voters			59,414
	Conservative hold		Swing		-6.55%
Source: Elections Canada^[8]

v t e 2019 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Tom Lukiwski	31,993	71.12	+15.66	$84,868.64
	New Democratic	Talon Regent	7,660	17.03	-6.75	$20,047.18
	Liberal	Cecilia Melanson	2,517	5.60	-12.38	$9,502.06
	People's	Chey Craik	1,613	3.59	-	$6,772.92
	Green	Gillian Walker	1,201	2.67	+0.38	$40.00
Total valid votes/expense limit			44,984	99.36
Total rejected ballots			291	0.64	+0.31
Turnout			45,275	75.84	+3.66
Eligible voters			59,700
	Conservative hold		Swing		+11.21
Source: Elections Canada^[9]^[10]

v t e 2015 Canadian federal election
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Conservative	Tom Lukiwski	23,273	55.46	-5.5	$92,066.05
	New Democratic	Dustan Hlady	9,978	23.78	-8.74	$51,621.27
	Liberal	Perry Juttla	7,545	17.98	+14.2	$9,767.66
	Green	Shawn Setyo	961	2.29	-0.42	$526.74
	Rhinoceros	Robert Thomas	208	0.50	–	$99.08
Total valid votes/expense limit			41,965	99.66		$223,430.81
Total rejected ballots			142	0.34	–
Turnout			42,107	72.18	–
Eligible voters			58,335
	Conservative hold		Swing		-7.09
Source: Elections Canada^[11]^[12]

2011 federal election redistributed results^[13]
Party		Vote	%
	Conservative	22,963	60.96
	New Democratic	12,252	32.52
	Liberal	1,423	3.78
	Green	1,021	2.71
	Independent	11	0.03

^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

^ Statistics Canada: 2012
^ Statistics Canada: 2012
^ Final Report – Saskatchewan
^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved October 15, 2023.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 20, 2023.
^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan, 30 September 2015
^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections

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