Canadian federal election results in Suburban Toronto

This is page shows results of Canadian federal elections in the outer parts of Toronto—the area that was the suburban portion of Metro Toronto prior to the 1998 merger.

Regional profile
This region was largely rural until the 1960s, and its then three ridings usually supported the Progressive Conservatives. In the 1960s and 1970s as it urbanized and its number of seats gradually doubled to seven, it solidly supported the Liberals (Grits) and even gave the New Democratic Party two seats in 1972's tight election. From 1979 until the 1990s its seat split reflected but slightly exaggerated the national result between the Grits and Tories, with the NDP usually shut out.

By the 1990s, with the large proportion of immigrants in the region and urban growth increasing the region's seats to 13, suburban Toronto, like Ontario as a whole, swung hard to the Liberals. For two decades, suburban Ontario was the Liberals' power base; from 1993 to 2008, Liberal candidates swept the region, making this region to the Liberals what Rural Alberta was to the Conservatives. In some ridings, the Liberals defeated their closest opponents by margins of 3-1 or more. The NDP had a few pockets of support, as they did in all of southern Ontario. The Conservatives didn't even register on the radar screen at first; the centre-right had been more or less nonexistent in the former Metro Toronto since the Tories lost all of their seats here in 1993. Even when the Conservatives won minority governments in 2006 and 2008, they were completely shut out in Toronto.

This changed in 2011, when a slight uptick in Conservative support, combined with vote splitting between the Liberals, NDP and Greens allowed the Conservatives to take six seats in the region - including Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff's Etobicoke—Lakeshore riding, albeit in most cases by narrow margins (as few as 26 votes in one riding). Meanwhile, the national surge of NDP support allowed them to take two in eastern Toronto. However, even though the Liberals only had four of the now 12 seats (reduced from 13 due to population growth elsewhere in Southern Ontario) the Liberals led slightly in terms of popular vote.

The region reverted to form in 2015, as a massive surge in Liberal support allowed the Liberals to win all 14 seats (increased due to intensification, particularly in North York Centre) here en route to taking all of Toronto. In all but one seat (York Centre), the Liberals won by 5,500 or more votes.

2019
Stenneth Smith (UPC) 114 0.30% Farhan Alvi (CFF) 55 0.13% Kevin Clarke (Ind.) 112 0.26% Kathleen Marie Holding (Ind.) 70 0.16% Gus Stefanis (CNP) 85 0.20%
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Don Valley East
 * Yasmin Ratansi 25,295 59.81%
 * Michael Ma 10,115 23.92%
 * Nicholas Thompson 4,647 10.99%
 * Dan Turcotte 1,675 3.96%
 * John P. Hendry 562 1.33%
 * Yasmin Ratansi
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Don Valley North
 * Han Dong 23,495 50.45%
 * Sarah Fischer 16,506 35.44%
 * Bruce Griffin 4,285 9.20%
 * Daniel Giavedoni 1,803 3.87%
 * Jay Sobel 482 1.03%
 * Geng Tan†$
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Etobicoke Centre
 * Yvan Baker 32,800 51.88%
 * Ted Opitz 21,804 34.49%
 * Heather Vickers-Wong 4,881 7.72%
 * Cameron Semple 2,775 4.39%
 * Nicholas Serdiuk 664 1.05%
 * Mark Wrzesniewski (Libert.) 295 0.47%
 * Borys Wrzesnewskyj†
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Etobicoke—Lakeshore
 * James Maloney 36,061 51.88%
 * Barry O'Brien 19,952 28.70%
 * Branko Gasperlin 8,277 11.91%
 * Chris Caldwell 4,141 5.96%
 * Jude Sulejmani 921 1.32%
 * Janice Murray (M-L) 163 0.23%
 * James Maloney
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Etobicoke North
 * Kirsty Duncan 26,388 61.44%
 * Sarabjit Kaur 9,524 22.18%
 * Naiima Farah 4,654 10.84%
 * Nancy Ghuman 1,080 2.51%
 * Renata Ford 1,196 2.78%
 * Sudhir Mehta (CFF) 104 0.24%
 * Kirsty Duncan
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Humber River—Black Creek
 * Judy Sgro 23,187 61.09%
 * Iftikhar Choudry 6,164 16.24%
 * Maria Augimeri 7,198 18.96%
 * Mike Schmitz 804 2.12%
 * Ania Krosinska 402 1.06%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Mark Wrzesniewski (Libert.) 295 0.47%
 * Borys Wrzesnewskyj†
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Etobicoke—Lakeshore
 * James Maloney 36,061 51.88%
 * Barry O'Brien 19,952 28.70%
 * Branko Gasperlin 8,277 11.91%
 * Chris Caldwell 4,141 5.96%
 * Jude Sulejmani 921 1.32%
 * Janice Murray (M-L) 163 0.23%
 * James Maloney
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Etobicoke North
 * Kirsty Duncan 26,388 61.44%
 * Sarabjit Kaur 9,524 22.18%
 * Naiima Farah 4,654 10.84%
 * Nancy Ghuman 1,080 2.51%
 * Renata Ford 1,196 2.78%
 * Sudhir Mehta (CFF) 104 0.24%
 * Kirsty Duncan
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Humber River—Black Creek
 * Judy Sgro 23,187 61.09%
 * Iftikhar Choudry 6,164 16.24%
 * Maria Augimeri 7,198 18.96%
 * Mike Schmitz 804 2.12%
 * Ania Krosinska 402 1.06%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Naiima Farah 4,654 10.84%
 * Nancy Ghuman 1,080 2.51%
 * Renata Ford 1,196 2.78%
 * Sudhir Mehta (CFF) 104 0.24%
 * Kirsty Duncan
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Humber River—Black Creek
 * Judy Sgro 23,187 61.09%
 * Iftikhar Choudry 6,164 16.24%
 * Maria Augimeri 7,198 18.96%
 * Mike Schmitz 804 2.12%
 * Ania Krosinska 402 1.06%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Judy Sgro 23,187 61.09%
 * Iftikhar Choudry 6,164 16.24%
 * Maria Augimeri 7,198 18.96%
 * Mike Schmitz 804 2.12%
 * Ania Krosinska 402 1.06%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Mike Schmitz 804 2.12%
 * Ania Krosinska 402 1.06%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Ania Krosinska 402 1.06%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Christine Nugent (M-L) 89 0.23%
 * Judy Sgro
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough—Agincourt
 * Jean Yip 21,115 50.50%
 * Sean Hu 15,492 37.05%
 * Larisa Julius 3,636 8.70%
 * Randi Ramdeen 1,050 2.51%
 * Anthony Internicola 521 1.25%
 * Jean Yip
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough Centre
 * Salma Zahid 25,695 55.19%
 * Irshad Chaudhry 10,387 22.31%
 * Faiz Kamal 5,452 11.71%
 * Dordana Hakimzadah 1,336 2.87%
 * Jeremiah Vijeyaratnam 1,162 2.50%
 * John Cannis (Ind.) 2,524 5.42%
 * Salma Zahid
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough-Guildwood
 * John McKay 26,123 61.12%
 * Quintus Thuraisingham 9,553 22.35%
 * Michelle Spencer 4,806 11.24%
 * Tara McMahon 1,220 2.85%
 * Jigna Jani 648 1.52%
 * Stephen Abara (Ind.) 70 0.16%
 * Irshad Chaudhry 10,387 22.31%
 * Faiz Kamal 5,452 11.71%
 * Dordana Hakimzadah 1,336 2.87%
 * Jeremiah Vijeyaratnam 1,162 2.50%
 * John Cannis (Ind.) 2,524 5.42%
 * Salma Zahid
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough-Guildwood
 * John McKay 26,123 61.12%
 * Quintus Thuraisingham 9,553 22.35%
 * Michelle Spencer 4,806 11.24%
 * Tara McMahon 1,220 2.85%
 * Jigna Jani 648 1.52%
 * Stephen Abara (Ind.) 70 0.16%
 * John McKay 26,123 61.12%
 * Quintus Thuraisingham 9,553 22.35%
 * Michelle Spencer 4,806 11.24%
 * Tara McMahon 1,220 2.85%
 * Jigna Jani 648 1.52%
 * Stephen Abara (Ind.) 70 0.16%
 * Tara McMahon 1,220 2.85%
 * Jigna Jani 648 1.52%
 * Stephen Abara (Ind.) 70 0.16%
 * Jigna Jani 648 1.52%
 * Stephen Abara (Ind.) 70 0.16%
 * Stephen Abara (Ind.) 70 0.16%
 * John McKay
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough North
 * Shaun Chen 20,911 53.57%
 * David Kong 11,838 30.33%
 * Yan Chen 5,039 12.91%
 * Avery Velez 796 2.04%
 * Jude Guerrier 370 0.95%
 * Janet Robinson (UPC) 83 0.21%
 * Shaun Chen
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough—Rouge Park
 * Gary Anandasangaree 31,360 62.19%
 * Bobby Singh 10,115 20.06%
 * Kingsley Kwok 5,801 11.50%
 * Jessica Hamilton 2,330 4.62%
 * Dilano Sally 467 0.93%
 * Mark Theodoru (CHP) 353 0.70%
 * Gary Anandasangaree
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Scarborough Southwest
 * Bill Blair 28,965 57.20%
 * Kimberly Fawcett Smith 10,502 20.74%
 * Keith McCrady 7,865 15.53%
 * Amanda Cain 2,477 4.89%
 * Italo Erastostene 590 1.17%
 * Simon Luisi (Animal) 236 0.47%
 * Bill Blair
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Willowdale
 * Ali Ehsassi 22,282 49.00%
 * Daniel Lee 16,452 36.18%
 * Leah Kalsi 4,231 9.31%
 * Sharolyn Vettese 1,671 3.67%
 * Richard Hillier 563 1.24%
 * Birinder Singh Ahluwalia (Ind.) 200 0.44% Shodja Ziaian (Ind.) 71 0.16%
 * Ali Ehsassi
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |York Centre
 * Michael Levitt 21,680 50.20%
 * Rachel Willson 15,852 36.71%
 * Andrea Vásquez Jiménez 4,251 9.84%
 * Rebecca Wood 1,403 3.25%
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * Keith McCrady 7,865 15.53%
 * Amanda Cain 2,477 4.89%
 * Italo Erastostene 590 1.17%
 * Simon Luisi (Animal) 236 0.47%
 * Bill Blair
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |Willowdale
 * Ali Ehsassi 22,282 49.00%
 * Daniel Lee 16,452 36.18%
 * Leah Kalsi 4,231 9.31%
 * Sharolyn Vettese 1,671 3.67%
 * Richard Hillier 563 1.24%
 * Birinder Singh Ahluwalia (Ind.) 200 0.44% Shodja Ziaian (Ind.) 71 0.16%
 * Ali Ehsassi
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |York Centre
 * Michael Levitt 21,680 50.20%
 * Rachel Willson 15,852 36.71%
 * Andrea Vásquez Jiménez 4,251 9.84%
 * Rebecca Wood 1,403 3.25%
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * Richard Hillier 563 1.24%
 * Birinder Singh Ahluwalia (Ind.) 200 0.44% Shodja Ziaian (Ind.) 71 0.16%
 * Ali Ehsassi
 * style="background-color:whitesmoke" |York Centre
 * Michael Levitt 21,680 50.20%
 * Rachel Willson 15,852 36.71%
 * Andrea Vásquez Jiménez 4,251 9.84%
 * Rebecca Wood 1,403 3.25%
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * Rachel Willson 15,852 36.71%
 * Andrea Vásquez Jiménez 4,251 9.84%
 * Rebecca Wood 1,403 3.25%
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * Rebecca Wood 1,403 3.25%
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * Michael Levitt
 * }
 * }

Maps

 * 1) Don Valley East
 * 2) Etobicoke Centre
 * 3) Etobicoke-Lakeshore
 * 4) Etobicoke North
 * 5) Scarborough-Agincourt
 * 6) Scarborough Centre
 * 7) Scarborough-Guildwood
 * 8) Scarborough-Rouge River
 * 9) Scarborough Southwest
 * 10) Willowdale
 * 11) York West
 * 12) York Centre