Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 Republican Party presidential primaries

Statewide public opinion polls conducted relating to the 2008 Republican Party presidential primaries, typically using standard statistical methodology, include:

Candidates
The known candidates with national campaigns are John McCain, and Ron Paul, and Withdrawn candidates include Jim Gilmore, Tommy Thompson, Sam Brownback, John H. Cox, Tom Tancredo, Duncan Hunter, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani, Alan Keyes and Mitt Romney. Candidates who declined to seek the nomination include George Allen, Jeb Bush, Dick Cheney, Bill Frist, Newt Gingrich, Chuck Hagel, Condoleezza Rice, Mark Sanford, and Rick Santorum. One candidate included in some polls who said nothing either way, and did not enter the race is George Pataki.

On March 4, 2008, John McCain crossed the delegate threshold and became the presumptive nominee of the GOP in the 2008 election. It is mathematically impossible for Mike Huckabee or Ron Paul, the two remaining candidates on the ballot, to meet or exceed the number of McCain's pledged delegates.

Alabama

 * Alabama Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Alaska
Alaska Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008

Arizona

 * Arizona Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Arkansas

 * Arkansas Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

California
See also
 * California Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008

Colorado

 * Colorado Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Caucus Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Connecticut

 * Connecticut Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Delaware

 * Delaware Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008

District of Columbia

 * District of Columbia Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 12, 2008

Florida

 * Florida Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: January 29, 2008

See also

Georgia

 * Georgia Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Idaho

 * Idaho Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: May 27, 2008

Illinois

 * Illinois Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Iowa

 * Iowa Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Caucus Date: January 3, 2008

See also

Kansas

 * Kansas Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Caucus Date: February 9, 2008

Louisiana

 * Louisiana Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Primary Date February 9, 2008

Maine
Maine Winner: Mitt Romney Caucus Dates: February 1–3, 2008 See also

Maryland

 * Maryland Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 12, 2008

Massachusetts

 * Massachusetts Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Michigan
See also
 * Michigan Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Primary Date: January 15, 2008

Minnesota

 * Minnesota Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Caucus Date: February 5, 2008

Missouri

 * Missouri Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Montana

 * Montana Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Caucus Date: February 5, 2008

Nevada

 * Nevada Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Caucus Date: January 19, 2008

See also

New Hampshire

 * New Hampshire Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: January 8, 2008

See also

New Jersey
See also
 * New Jersey Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008

New Mexico

 * New Mexico Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: June 3, 2008 See also

New York
See also
 * New York Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008

North Carolina

 * North Carolina Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: May 6, 2008 See also

North Dakota

 * North Dakota Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Caucus Date: February 5, 2008

Ohio
See also
 * Ohio Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: March 4, 2008

Oklahoma

 * Oklahoma Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Oregon
Oregon Winner: To Be Determined
 * Primary Date: May 20, 2008

Pennsylvania
See also
 * Pennsylvania Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Rhode Island

 * Rhode Island Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: March 4, 2008 See also

South Carolina

 * South Carolina Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: January 19, 2008

See also

Tennessee

 * Tennessee Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008

Texas

 * Texas Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: March 4, 2008 See also

Utah

 * Utah Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Primary Date: February 5, 2008 See also

Vermont

 * Vermont Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: March 4, 2008 See also

Virginia

 * Virginia Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 12, 2008

Washington
See also
 * Washington Winner: John McCain
 * Caucus Date: February 9, 2008

West Virginia

 * West Virginia Winner: Mike Huckabee
 * Caucus Date: February 5, 2008
 * Primary Date: May 13, 2008 See also

Wisconsin
See also
 * Wisconsin Winner: John McCain
 * Primary Date: February 19, 2008

Wyoming

 * Wyoming Winner: Mitt Romney
 * Caucus Date: January 5, 2008

Summary
Sources: National Association of Secretaries of State Using RCP averages when available

Current leaders
The race for the Republican nomination is decided upon how many delegates a candidate receives. In this section we see how many pledged delegates each candidate has received to date ranking from first place (the most delegates) to sixth place (the least delegates). To be nominated, a candidate must win an absolute majority of delegates, or 1,191 delegates.


 * First Place: John McCain with 12 states and 709 pledged delegates.
 * Alabama (16)
 * Alaska (3)
 * Arkansas (1)
 * Arizona (50)₩
 * California (116)₩
 * Connecticut (27)₩
 * Delaware (18)₩
 * Florida (57)₩
 * Georgia (3)
 * Illinois (54)₩
 * Iowa (3)
 * Massachusetts (17)
 * Michigan (5)
 * Missouri (58)₩
 * New Hampshire (7)₩
 * New Jersey (52)₩
 * New York (101)₩
 * Nevada (4)
 * Oklahoma (32)₩
 * North Dakota (5)
 * South Carolina (19)₩
 * Tennessee (7)
 * Second Place: Mitt Romney with 11 states and 269 pledged delegates.
 * Alaska (12)₩
 * Arkansas (1)
 * California (3)
 * Colorado (22)₩
 * Illinois (2)
 * Iowa (12)
 * Maine (18) ₩
 * Massachusetts (21)₩
 * Michigan (24)₩
 * Minnesota (36)₩
 * Montana (25)₩
 * Nevada (18)₩
 * New Hampshire (4)
 * North Dakota (8)₩
 * Tennessee (3)
 * Utah (36)₩
 * Wyoming (9)₩
 * Third Place:  Mike Huckabee with 6 states and 170 (167)*pledged delegates.
 * Alabama (20)₩
 * Alaska (6)
 * Arkansas (29)₩
 * Georgia (45)₩
 * Iowa (17)₩
 * New Hampshire (1)
 * Michigan (1)
 * Nevada (2)
 * North Dakota (5)
 * Oklahoma (6)
 * South Carolina (5)
 * Tennessee (12)₩
 * West Virginia (18/15)₩*
 * Fourth Place: Ron Paul with no states and 16 (19)*pledged delegates.
 * Alaska (5)
 * Iowa (2)
 * Nevada (4)
 * North Dakota (5)
 * West Virginia (0/3)*

₩- Means the candidate has won that particular state


 * According to local news reports, three of Mike Huckabee's delegates from West Virginia were promised to Ron Paul in exchange for support for Huckabee from Paul's caucus supporters in West Virginia.

All information comes from 

Predicted results
The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of convention delegates awarded to each state. A simple majority of delegate votes (1,191 out of 2,381) is needed to secure the nomination.

The number of convention delegates in Wyoming, New Hampshire, Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida have been cut in half due to scheduling their primary earlier than February 5. Source


 * First place: John McCain with 26 states and 1390 delegates – projected nominee.
 * Arizona (53)₩
 * California (173)₩
 * Connecticut (30)₩
 * Delaware (18)₩
 * District of Columbia (19)₩
 * Florida (57)₩
 * Idaho (32)╬§
 * Illinois (70)₩
 * Maryland (37)₩
 * Missouri (58)₩
 * New Hampshire (12)₩
 * New Jersey (52)₩
 * New Mexico (32)╬§
 * New York (101)₩
 * Ohio (88)
 * Oklahoma (41)₩
 * Oregon (30)
 * North Carolina (69)
 * Pennsylvania (74)
 * Rhode Island (20)§
 * South Carolina (24)₩
 * Texas (140)
 * Vermont (17)†§
 * Virginia (63)₩
 * Washington (40)₩
 * Wisconsin (40)


 * Second place: Mike Huckabee with 8 states and 365 delegates
 * Alabama (48)₩
 * Arkansas (34)₩
 * Georgia (72)₩
 * Iowa (40)₩
 * Kansas (39)₩
 * Louisiana (47)₩
 * Tennessee (55)₩
 * West Virginia (30)₩


 * Third place: Mitt Romney with 11 states and 345 delegates
 * Alaska (29)₩
 * Colorado (46)₩
 * Maine (21)₩
 * Massachusetts (43)₩
 * Michigan (30)₩
 * Minnesota (41)₩
 * Montana (25)₩
 * Nevada (34)₩
 * North Dakota (26)₩
 * Utah (36)₩
 * Wyoming (14)₩


 * Notes:
 * "†" indicates a lead within the margin of error or a tie.
 * "╬" indicates a state where the top candidate has withdrawn from the race since the latest poll was conducted, thus the next most-supported active candidate is granted that state's delegates.
 * "₩" indicates a state where the primary/caucus has been conducted and a winner has been declared.
 * "§" indicates a state where the latest poll was conducted before January 1, 2008