2022 New York's 19th congressional district special election

The 2022 New York's 19th congressional district special election was a special election held on August 23, 2022. The seat became vacant after incumbent Democratic representative Antonio Delgado resigned on May 25, 2022, to become lieutenant governor of New York. Democratic nominee Pat Ryan won a slight victory over Republican nominee Marc Molinaro in what was seen as an upset due to Molinaro's lead in polls and fundraising in the weeks leading to the election.

Nominee

 * Pat Ryan, Ulster County executive and candidate for this district in 2018

Declined

 * Michelle Hinchey, state senator from the 46th district (endorsed Ryan)
 * Zephyr Teachout, special advisor in the office of the Attorney General of New York, Fordham University law professor; candidate for governor in 2014, nominee for this district in 2016, candidate for attorney general in 2018 and 2022

Nominee

 * Marc Molinaro, Dutchess County executive and former state assemblyman; nominee for governor in 2018

Polling

 * Graphical summary


 * Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Results
Pat Ryan won the election with 66,088 votes or 51.2% of the vote compared to Marc Molinaro's 48.8% of the vote or 63,010 votes. This defied most polls, which had Molinaro winning by a somewhat comfortable margin as well as Sabato's Crystal Ball rating of Lean R. His victory can be attributed to his large margins in Ulster County. Ryan overperformed Joe Biden's 2020 margin in this district by about 0.8%. The result was considered an upset by some, as Molinaro had led by as much as 14 percentage points in public polling of the race, and Molinaro outspent Ryan on television advertising. Ryan's victory led some forecasters to change some of their predictions for the 2022 House election.


 * Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
 * Dutchess (largest municipality: Poughkeepsie)
 * Otsego (largest municipality: Oneonta)
 * Rensselaer (largest municipality: Troy)
 * Sullivan (largest municipality: Monticello)