Next United Kingdom general election in Scotland

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2024 United Kingdom general election
← 2019 No later than 28 January 2025[1] 2031 →
All 57 Scottish seats in the House of Commons
 
Leader John Swinney Rishi Sunak Ed Davey
Party SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats
Leader since 6 May 2024 24 October 2022 27 August 2020[n 1]
Last election 48 seats, 45.0% 6 seats, 25.1% 4 seats, 9.5%
Current seats 43 7 4
 
Leader Keir Starmer Alex Salmond
Party Labour Alba
Leader since 4 April 2020 26 March 2021
Last election 1 seat, 18.6% Did not exist
Current seats 2 2
Map of Scottish constituencies in 2024

The next United Kingdom general election is scheduled to be held no later than 28 January 2025. The election includes Scotland with all 57 Scottish seats to be contested.

Background[edit]

The next general election must take place by January 2025 as per provisions of the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act ensures that Parliament is automatically dissolved on 17 December 2024, if it has not already been dissolved at the request of the Prime Minister. Polling occurs no more than 25 working days after Parliament has been dissolved, allowing for public holidays.[3] The current prime minister Rishi Suank has stated he will hold the election in late 2024.[4]

Opinion polls[edit]

Main article: Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

All polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure and sample size rules.

The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

Poll results[edit]

This section is transcluded from Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election. (edit | history)
Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
Date(s)
conducted 		Pollster Client Sample
size 		SNP Con Lab Lib Dems Green Others Lead
8–9 May 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,078 31% 14% 38% 8% 4%
5%
Reform UK on 4%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
 7
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May 2024 Savanta The Scotsman 1,080 33% 17% 37% 7% – 4% 4
30 Apr – 3 May 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,014 29% 16% 34% 8% 4%
10%
Reform UK on 6%
Alba on 3%
Other on 1%
 5
29 Apr 2024 Humza Yousaf announces his resignation as First Minister of Scotland.
26–29 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A 1,043 33% 14% 34% 8% 4%
7%
Reform UK on 5%
Other on 2%
 1
9–12 Apr 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,086 32% 16% 32% 9% 4%
8%
Reform UK on 5%
Alba on 2%
Other on 1%
 Tie
6–7 Apr 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 32% 17% 33% 8% 2%
6%
Reform UK on 5%
Alba on 2%
Other on 0%
 1
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A 1,100 31% 14% 33% 7% 5%
8%
Reform UK on 7%
Other on 1%
 2
10–11 Mar 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 34% 16% 34% 6% 4%
5%
Reform UK on 4%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
 Tie
14–20 Feb 2024 Survation Quantum Communications 1,043 38% 15% 33% 8% – 7% 5
3–4 Feb 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 33% 18% 34% 8% 2%
5%
Reform UK on 4%
Alba on 1%
Other on 0%
 1
25–31 Jan 2024 Ipsos STV News 1,005 39% 14% 32% 6% 4% 5% 7
23–25 Jan 2024 Survation True North 1,029 36% 16% 34% 8% – 7% 2
22–25 Jan 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times 1,007 33% 16% 36% 7% – 8% 3
9–11 Jan 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,040 35% 17% 35% 9% 2%
3%
Reform UK on 2%
>Other on 1%
 Tie
26–27 Nov 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,054 34% 17% 36% 6% 3%
3%
Reform UK on 3%
>Other on 0%
 2
20–26 Nov 2023 Ipsos N/A 990 40% 15% 30% 6% 3% 5% 10
29–30 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,092 32% 23% 32% 8% 2%
3%
Reform UK on 2%
>Other on 1%
 Tie
20–25 Oct 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,200 32% 16% 38% 6% 4% 4% 6
6–11 Oct 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,018 35% 19% 35% 6% – 4% Tie
2–6 Oct 2023 YouGov N/A 1,028 33% 20% 32% 5% 5%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 1
5 Oct 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election
4–5 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,095 34% 21% 32% 9% 2% 2% 4
5–14 Sep 2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institute 1,004 37% 18% 28% 8% 4% 4% 9
8–13 Sep 2023 YouGov The Times 1,103 38% 16% 27% 7% 6%
6%
Reform UK on 4%
Other on 2%
 11
2–4 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,100 35% 15% 35% 8% 4% 3% Tie
15–18 Aug 2023 Survation True North 1,022 37% 17% 35% 6% – 5% 2
3–8 Aug 2023 YouGov The Times 1,086 36% 15% 32% 6% 6%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 4
5–6 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,050 37% 17% 34% 7% 2% 3% 3
1–2 Jul 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,030 35% 21% 32% 7% 2% 3% 3
23–28 Jun 2023 Survation – 2,026 37% 17% 34% 9% – 4% 3
12–15 Jun 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,007 34% 18% 34% 7% – 7% Tie
9–14 Jun 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,018 38% 17% 34% 7% – 4% 4
9–13 Jun 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study 1,200 33% 17% 36% 7% 4% 3% 3
3–5 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,466 37% 20% 28% 9% 3% 3% 9
15–21 May 2023 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,090 41% 16% 29% 6% 3% 4% 12
27 Apr – 3 May 2023 Survation True North 1,009 38% 18% 31% 9% 2% 4% 7
30 Apr – 2 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,295 35% 18% 32% 9% 3% 3% 3
17–20 Apr 2023 YouGov The Times 1,032 37% 17% 28% 8% 5%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 9
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 Survation N/A 1,001 40% 17% 32% 7% 1% 3% 8
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 36% 19% 31% 10% 2% 3% 5
28–31 Mar 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,009 39% 19% 33% 6% – 4% 6
28–30 Mar 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,089 39% 19% 31% 5% – 6% 8
27 Mar 2023 Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party
9–13 Mar 2023 YouGov Sky News 1,002 39% 16% 29% 6% 6%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 10
8–10 Mar 2023 Survation Diffley Partnership 1,037 40% 18% 32% 6% 2% 3% 8
7–10 Mar 2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,013 40% 16% 33% 6% – 5% 7
2–5 Mar 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,050 39% 22% 29% 6% 2% 3% 10
17–20 Feb 2023 YouGov The Times 1,017 38% 19% 29% 6% 4%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 9
15–17 Feb 2023 Survation N/A 1,034 43% 17% 30% 6% TBA 3% 13
15–17 Feb 2023 Savanta The Scotsman 1,004 42% 17% 32% 6% TBA 3% 10
10–15 Feb 2023 YouGov Scottish Election Study 1,239 38% 16% 35% 6% 3% 3% 3
1–7 Feb 2023 Survation N/A TBA 42% 18% 29% 6% TBA TBA 13
23–26 Jan 2023 YouGov The Sunday Times 1,088 42% 15% 29% 6% 3%
5%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 2%
 13
10–12 Jan 2023 Survation True North 1,002 43% 18% 29% 7% – 2% 14
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023 Survation Scotland in Union 1,025 44% 16% 31% 6% – 1% 13
16–21 Dec 2022 Savanta The Scotsman 1,048 43% 19% 30% 6% – 2% 13
6–9 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times 1,090 43% 14% 29% 6% 4%
4%
Reform UK on 3%
Other on 1%
 14
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 Ipsos MORI STV News 1,045 51% 13% 25% 6% 3% 26
26–27 Nov 2022 Redfield & Wilton N/A 1,000 41% 16% 31% 8% 2% 3% 10
7–11 Oct 2022 Panelbase Alba Party 1,000+ 42% 16% 30% 6% 2% 2% 12
5–7 Oct 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,017 45% 15% 30% 5% – 4% 15
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 YouGov The Times 1,067 45% 12% 31% 7% 3%
2%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 1%
 14
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 15% 30% 8% – 1% 16
28–29 Sep 2022 Survation Scotland in Union 1,011 44% 15% 31% 6% – 4% 13
17–19 Aug 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,133 44% 20% 23% 8% – 5% 21
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,010 47% 19% 23% 8% – 3% 24
23–28 Jun 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman 1,029 46% 18% 25% 8% – 3% 21
23–29 May 2022 Ipsos STV News 1,000 44% 19% 23% 10% 3% 2% 21
18–23 May 2022 YouGov The Times 1,115 46% 19% 22% 6% 3%
3%
Reform UK on 1%
Other on 2%
 24
5 May 2022 Local elections held in Scotland
26–29 Apr 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,009 42% 21% 24% 7% – 5% 18
25–31 Mar 2022 BMG The Herald 1,012 42% 19% 26% 6% 4% 2% 16
24–28 Mar 2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland 1,002 45% 19% 27% 6% – 2% 18
1–4 Feb 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,128 44% 20% 24% 8% 2% 2% 20
15–22 Dec 2021 Opinium Daily Record 1,328 48% 17% 22% 7% 3% 4% 26
18–22 Nov 2021 YouGov The Times 1,060 48% 20% 18% 6% 3%
4%
Reform UK on 2%
Other on 2%
 28
9–12 Nov 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,000~ 48% 21% 20% 7% – 4% 27
20–26 Oct 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,001 48% 21% 21% 7% – 4% 27
6–10 Sep 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 2,003 47% 23% 19% 7% – 4% 24
2–8 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,014 51% 21% 17% 5% 2% 3% 30
20 Aug 2021 Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[5]
16–24 Jun 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,287 47% 25% 18% 6% – 4% 22
13 May 2021 Airdrie and Shotts by-election[6]
6 May 2021 Election to the Scottish Parliament[7]
2–4 May 2021 YouGov The Times 1,144 48% 22% 19% 5% 4%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Other on 2%
 26
30 Apr – 4 May 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,008 48% 22% 20% 7% 1% 1% 26
28 Apr – 03 May 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,015 47% 25% 20% 6% 1% 1% 22
27–30 Apr 2021 BMG The Herald 1,023 48% 20% 20% 7% 3% 1% 28
23–26 Apr 2021 Survation Good Morning Britain 1,008 46% 22% 22% 8% – 2% 24
21–26 Apr 2021 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,075 45% 22% 19% 7% 4% 3% 23
20–22 Apr 2021 Survation DC Thomson 1,037 47% 21% 22% 8% 1% 1% 25
16–20 Apr 2021 YouGov The Times 1,204 48% 24% 19% 4% 3%
3%
Brexit Party on 1%
Other on 2%
 24
1–6 Apr 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,023 50% 24% 19% 4% 1% 1% 26
29–30 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,021 49% 21% 21% 8% 1% 0% 28
19–22 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times TBA 49% 24% 17% 4% 4%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
Other on 1%
 25
16–19 Mar 2021 BMG The Herald 1,021 47% 21% 19% 7% 3% 3% 26
11–18 Mar 2021 Survation The Courier 1,452 49% 21% 21% 7% 1% 1% 28
11–16 Mar 2021 Opinium Sky News 1,096 50% 23% 19% 5% 3% 1% 27
4–8 Mar 2021 YouGov The Times 1,100 50% 23% 17% 5% 3%
2%
Brexit Party on 1%
Other on 1%
 27
27 Feb 2021 Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour[8]
25–26 Feb 2021 Survation Daily Record 1,011 48% 23% 21% 6% – 2% 25
11–13 Jan 2021 Survation Scot Goes Pop 1,020 48% 19% 23% 7% – 3% 25
4–9 Dec 2020 Survation N/A 1,009 51% 20% 21% 6% 3% – 30
5–11 Nov 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,020 50% 21% 20% 5% 2% – 29
6–10 Nov 2020 YouGov The Times 1,089 53% 19% 17% 4% 3%
4%
Brexit Party on 3%
Other on 1%
 34
28 Oct – 4 Nov 2020 Survation N/A 1,059 52% 18% 20% 8% – 2% 32
17–21 Sep 2020 JL Partners Politico 1,016 56% 18% 15% 7% 3% 38
2–7 Sep 2020 Survation N/A 1,018 51% 20% 21% 6% – 3% 30
6–10 Aug 2020 YouGov The Times 1,142 54% 20% 16% 5% 2%
2%
Brexit Party on 2%
Other on 0%
 34
5 Aug 2020 Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[9]
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,026 53% 21% 19% 6% – 2% 32
1–5 Jun 2020 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,022 51% 21% 19% 6% 2% 1% 30
1–5 May 2020 Panelbase Wings Over Scotland 1,086 50% 26% 17% 5% 2% 1% 24
24–27 Apr 2020 YouGov N/A 1,095 51% 25% 15% 6% 2%
1%
Brexit Party on 0%
Other on 1%
 26
24–26 Mar 2020 Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,023 48% 27% 16% 5% 3% – 21
14 Feb 2020 Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[10]
12 Dec 2019 2019 general election – 45.0% 25.1% 18.6% 9.5% 1.0% 0.8% 19.9

Boundary review[edit]

In March 2020, Cabinet Office minister Chloe Smith confirmed that the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies would be based on retaining 650 seats.[11][12] The previous relevant legislation was amended by the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020[13] and the four boundary commissions formally launched their 2023 reviews on 5 January 2021.[6][14][15][16] They were required to issue their final reports prior to 1 July 2023. The Scottish commission published its own report on 28 June.[17][18] As the reports were laid before Parliament, Orders in Council giving effect to the final proposals must be made within four months, unless "there are exceptional circumstances". Prior to the Parliamentary Constituencies Act 2020, boundary changes could not be implemented until they were approved by both Houses of Parliament.

Fifty-seven single member constituencies will be used in Scotland for the next election, a reduction of two since 2019. A number of constituencies were unchanged, including the two protected constituencies of Na h-Eileanan an Iar covering the Western Isles, and Orkney and Shetland, covering the Northern Isles.[19]

Candidates[edit]

See also: Candidates in the next United Kingdom general election
Constituency (2024–) Constituency (2010–24) Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats Reform UK Scottish Greens SNP Others Incumbent
Aberdeen North Gillian Tebberen[20] Lynn Thomson[21] Michael Pearce[22] Esme Houston[23] Kirsty Blackman[24] Charlie Abel[25] (Alba Party)

Neil Healy[26] (Workers)

SNP Kirsty Blackman
Aberdeen South John Wheeler[27] Tauqeer Malik[21] Guy Ingerson[28] Stephen Flynn[24] SNP Stephen Flynn
Airdrie and Shotts Kenneth Stevenson[29][30] Anum Qaisar[24] SNP Anum Qaisar[note 1]
Angus and Perthshire Glens Angus Stephen Kerr[31][note 2] Elizabeth Carr-Ellis[32] Kenneth Morton[22] Dave Doogan[24] Dan Pena[33] (Independent) SNP Dave Doogan
Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber Argyll and Bute Amanda Hampsey[34] Hamish Maxwell[35] Alan Reid[36][note 3] Brendan O'Hara[24] SNP Brendan O'Hara
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Martin Dowey[37] Elaine Stewart[38] Andrew Russell[22] Allan Dorans[39] SNP Allan Dorans
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East Banff and Buchan David Duguid[40] Andrew Brown[citation needed] Seamus Logan[41] Conservative David Duguid
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk John Lamont[42] Caitlin Stott Carolyn Grant[22] Neil MacKinnon[43] David Wilson[24] Conservative John Lamont
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Eva Kestner[44] Jamie Stone[45] Sandra Skinner[22] Anne Thomas[46] Lucy Beattie[47] Liberal Democrats Jamie Stone
Ross, Skye and Lochaber SNP Ian Blackford
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire Ruraidh Stewart[48] Angus MacDonald[49] Peter Newman[50] Drew Hendry[51]
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey SNP Drew Hendry
Central Ayrshire David Rocks[52] Alan Gemmell[53][54] Stevie Bates[22] Annie McIndoe[55] SNP Philippa Whitford
Coatbridge and Bellshill Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill Frank McNally[56] Steven Bonnar[24] Leo Lanahan (Scottish Family)[57] SNP Steven Bonnar
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East Katrina Murray[58] Stuart McDonald[59] SNP Stuart McDonald
Dumfries and Galloway John Cooper[60] James Wallace[61] Charles Anthony Keal[22] Laura Moodie[62] Tracey Little[24] Conservative Alister Jack
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale David Mundell[63] Daniel Coleman[citation needed] David Kirkwood[22] Dominic Ashmole[64] Kim Marshall[24] Gareth Kirk (Scottish Family)[65] Conservative David Mundell
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry Dundee East Richard Brooks[citation needed] Cheryl-Ann Cruickshank Stephen Gethins[66][note 4] Ghazi Khan[67] (Alba Party) SNP Stewart Hosie
Dundee Central Dundee West Richard McCready Chris Law[24] Alan Ross[68] (Alba Party) SNP Chris Law
Dunfermline and Dollar Dunfermline and West Fife Graeme Downie[29] Ryan Blackadder[69] Naz Anis Miah[70] Danny Smith (Scottish Family)[71] SNP Douglas Chapman
Mid Dunbartonshire East Dunbartonshire Lorna Dougall[72] Susan Murray[73][74] Amy Callaghan[75] Liam Mckechnie (Scottish Family)[76]

Kevin Riley[77] (Workers)

SNP Amy Callaghan
East Kilbride and Strathaven East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow Joani Reid[78] John Houston[22] Grant Costello[79] David Richardson (Scottish Family)[80] Conservative (elected as SNP) Lisa Cameron[note 5]
Lothian East East Lothian Douglas Alexander[81][note 6] Robert Davies[22] Shona McIntosh[82] Iain Whyte[83] Alba (elected as SNP) Kenny MacAskill
East Renfrewshire Sandesh Gulhane[84][note 7] Blair McDougall[85] Karen Sharkey Kirsten Oswald[86] SNP Kirsten Oswald
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh Edinburgh East Chris Murray[87] Derek Winton[22] Amanda Grimm[88][89] Tommy Sheppard[90] SNP Tommy Sheppard
Edinburgh North and Leith Tracy Gilbert[91] Mike Andersen[citation needed] Alan Melville[22] Kayleigh O'Neill[92][89] Deidre Brock[24] Niel Deepnarain (Scottish Family)[93] SNP Deidre Brock
Edinburgh South Ian Murray[94] Jo Phillips[89] Simita Kumar[95] Labour Ian Murray
Edinburgh South West Scott Arthur[96] Bruce Wilson[97] Dan Heap[89] Joanna Cherry[24] Richard Lucas (Scottish Family)[98] SNP Joanna Cherry
Edinburgh West Michael Davidson Christine Jardine[99] Michael Banks[22] James Puchowski[100][89] Euan Hyslop Liberal Democrats Christine Jardine
Falkirk Euan Stainbank[101] Richard Fairley[22] Toni Giugliano[102] SNP John McNally
Glasgow East Glasgow Central John Grady[103] Donnie McLeod[22] David Linden[104] Maximilian Owen[105] (Workers) SNP Alison Thewliss
Glasgow East SNP David Linden
Glasgow North Martin Rhodes[106] Alison Thewliss[107] SNP Patrick Grady
Glasgow North East Maureen Burke[103] Anne McLaughlin[24] Robert Scott[108] (SDP) SNP Anne McLaughlin
Glasgow West Glasgow North West Patricia Ferguson[106][note 8] Carol Monaghan[24] SNP Carol Monaghan
Glasgow South Gordon McKee[109] Stewart McDonald[24] Nick Stewart[110] (Workers) SNP Stewart McDonald
Glasgow South West Zubir Ahmed[111] Chris Stephens[24] Tony Osy[112] (Alba Party) SNP Chris Stephens
Glenrothes and Mid Fife Glenrothes Richard Baker[113][note 9] John Beare[66] William Rankine[114] (Workers) SNP Peter Grant
Gordon and Buchan Gordon Harriet Cross[115] Nurul Hoque Ali[citation needed] Conrad Wood[116] Richard Thomson[24] Craig Proctor[117] (Workers) SNP Richard Thomson
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West Inverclyde Martin McCluskey[118] Ross Stalker[119] Catherine McCall[22] Ronnie Cowan[24] SNP Ronnie Cowan
Kilmarnock and Loudoun Jordan Cowie[citation needed] Lillian Jones[120] Alan Brown[24] SNP Alan Brown
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath Melanie Ward[121] Sonia Davidson[22] Lesley Backhouse[122] Neale Hanvey[123] (Alba Party) Alba (elected as SNP) Neale Hanvey
Hamilton and Clyde Valley Lanark and Hamilton East Imogen Walker[124] Ross Clark[66] SNP Angela Crawley
Bathgate and Linlithgow Linlithgow and East Falkirk Kirsteen Sullivan[120] Simon Jay[125][89] Martyn Day[24] SNP Martyn Day
Livingston Gregor Poynton[126] David Clennan[22] Cameron Glasgow[89] Hannah Bardell[24] Danielle McLean[127] (Workers) SNP Hannah Bardell
Midlothian Kirsty McNeill[128] Stefan Garbowski[22] Owen Thompson[129] SNP Owen Thompson
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey Moray Kathleen Robertson[130] James Hynam[131] Neil Alexander[132] Draeyk Van Der Horn[133] Graham Leadbitter[134] Euan Morrice (Scottish Family)[135] Conservative Douglas Ross
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke Motherwell and Wishaw Pamela Nash[136][note 10] Marion Fellows[24] SNP Marion Fellows
Na h-Eileanan an Iar Torcuil Crichton[137] Susan Thomson[138] Angus MacNeil (Independent)[139]

Donald Boyd (Christian Party)[140]

Independent (elected as SNP) Angus MacNeil
North Ayrshire and Arran Todd Ferguson[141] Irene Campbell[142] Michael Mann[22] Patricia Gibson[143] Allan MacMillan[108] (SDP) SNP Patricia Gibson
North East Fife Bill Bowman[144][note 11] Jennifer Gallagher[citation needed] Wendy Chamberlain[145] Stefan Hoggan-Radu[24] Andrew Strachan[146] (Workers) Liberal Democrats Wendy Chamberlain
Alloa and Grangemouth Ochil and South Perthshire Brian Leishman[101] John Nicolson[24] Eva Comrie (Independent)[147] SNP John Nicolson
Orkney and Shetland Shane Painter[148] Conor Savage[149] Alistair Carmichael[150] Alex Armitage[151][152] Robert Leslie[153] Liberal Democrats Alistair Carmichael
Paisley and Renfrewshire North Alison Taylor[154] Grant Toghill Gavin Newlands[155] Majd Eddin Bashar Helmi[156] (Workers) SNP Gavin Newlands
Paisley and Renfrewshire South Johanna Baxter[85] Jack Clark[157] Jacqueline Cameron[158] SNP Mhairi Black
Perth and Kinross-shire Perth and North Perthshire Luke Graham[159][note 12] Graham Cox[citation needed] Amanda Clark[citation needed] Helen McDade[22] Pete Wishart[24] SNP Pete Wishart
Rutherglen Rutherglen and Hamilton West Michael Shanks[160] David Stark[22] Katy Loudon[161] Labour Michael Shanks[note 1]
Stirling and Strathallan Stirling Neil Benny[162] Chris Kane[citation needed] Alyn Smith[163] SNP Alyn Smith
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Andrew Bowie[164] Kate Blake[citation needed] Michael Turvey[165] Glen Reynolds[166] Conservative Andrew Bowie
West Dunbartonshire Douglas McAllister[106] Martin Docherty-Hughes[167] SNP Martin Docherty-Hughes

Target seats[edit]

See also: List of target seats in the next United Kingdom general election

Below are listed all the constituencies from the previous election which require a swing of less than 5% from the 2019 result to change hands. Many of these seats will not exist in this form at the Next United Kingdom general election.

Scottish Conservatives[edit]

Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing
required 		Conservatives'
place 2019
1 Gordon SNP 0.73% 2nd
2 Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock SNP 2.50% 2nd
3 Ochil and South Perthshire SNP 3.89% 2nd
4 Argyll and Bute SNP 4.28% 2nd
5 Aberdeen South SNP 4.37% 2nd
6 Angus SNP 4.40% 2nd
7 East Lothian SNP 4.81% 3rd
8 Lanark and Hamilton East SNP 4.89% 2nd
9 East Renfrewshire SNP 4.90% 2nd

Scottish Labour[edit]

Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing
required 		Labour's
place 2019
1 Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath SNP 1.32% 2nd
2 East Lothian SNP 3.32% 2nd
3 Glasgow North East SNP 3.76% 2nd
4 Rutherglen and Hamilton West SNP 4.86% 2nd

Scottish Liberal Democrats[edit]

Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing Required Liberal Democrats' place 2019
1 East Dunbartonshire SNP 0.14% 2nd

Scottish National Party[edit]

Rank Constituency Winning party 2019 Swing
required 		SNP's
place 2019
1 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross Liberal Democrats 0.32% 2nd
2 Moray Conservative 0.53% 2nd
3 West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine Conservative 0.79% 2nd
4 North East Fife Liberal Democrats 1.43% 2nd
5 Dumfries and Galloway Conservative 1.75% 2nd
6 Edinburgh West Liberal Democrats 3.46% 2nd
7 Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative 3.85% 2nd
8 Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk Conservative 4.84% 2nd
9 Banff and Buchan Conservative 4.87% 2nd

MPs not seeking re-election[edit]

Members of Parliament not standing for re-election
MP Seat First elected Party Date announced Note
Douglas Ross Moray 2017 Conservative 14 October 2021[168] Current leader of the Scottish Conservatives
Alister Jack Dumfries and Galloway 2017 Conservative 17 May 2023[169] Current Scottish Secretary
Ian Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber 2015 SNP 6 June 2023[170] Former leader of SNP Westminster group
Peter Grant Glenrothes 2015 SNP 21 June 2023[171]
Angela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East 2015 SNP 23 June 2023[172] Former SNP shadow Attorney General
Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife 2015 SNP 26 June 2023[173]
Stewart Hosie Dundee East 2005 SNP 28 June 2023[174] Current SNP shadow Chancellor
Mhairi Black Paisley and Renfrewshire South 2015 SNP 4 July 2023[175] Current deputy leader of SNP Westminster group
John McNally Falkirk 2015 SNP 10 July 2023[176]
Philippa Whitford Central Ayrshire 2015 SNP 18 July 2023[177] Current SNP Spokesperson for Scotland
Lisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow 2015 Conservative[a] 17 October 2023[178] Elected SNP

See also[edit]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ Originally elected from the SNP, defected to the Conservatives in October 2023.
  1. ^ a b Elected in by-election
  2. ^ was MP for Stirling (2017–2019) and MSP for Central Scotland (since 2021)
  3. ^ was MP for Argyll and Bute (2001–2015)
  4. ^ was MP for North East Fife from 2015 to 2019
  5. ^ Elected for the SNP, joined the Conservatives in 2023
  6. ^ was MP for Paisley and Renfrewshire South (2005–2015) and Paisley South (1997–2005 and is also running under a joint ticket with the Co-operative Party)
  7. ^ is MSP for Glasgow since 2021
  8. ^ was Member of the Scottish Parliament for Glasgow Maryhill and Springburn (2011–2016) and Glasgow Maryhill (1999–2011)
  9. ^ was Member of the Scottish Parliament for North East Scotland from 2003 to 2016
  10. ^ was Member of Parliament for Airdrie and Shotts from 2010 to 2015
  11. ^ was Member of the Scottish Parliament for North East Scotland from 2016 to 2021
  12. ^ was MP for Ochil and South Perthshire from 2017 to 2019

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  1. ^ Davey served as Acting Leader from 13 December 2019 to 27 August 2020 alongside the Party Presidents Baroness Sal Brinton and Mark Pack, following Jo Swinson's election defeat in the 2019 general election. Davey was elected Leader in August 2020.[2]
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