2024 United States presidential election in Florida

The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.

Despite being a heavily populated and fast-growing state once considered a presidential battleground and bellwether, Florida has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now seen as a moderately red state. Florida is a Southern state substantially in the Bible Belt, having two large distinct cultural areas. North Florida and the Florida Panhandle are part of the conservative Deep South. South Florida has a heavy Latin American influence, with large Catholic Cuban and Puerto Rican populations in the Miami metropolitan area.

In 2020, Republican Donald Trump (who changed his resident state from New York to Florida in 2019 ) carried the state again by 3.36 percentage points, an improvement from his 1.2% margin in 2016, despite Trump losing re-election nationwide and polls pointing to a narrow Democratic win in Florida. In addition, Republicans won all statewide offices by double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms. Thus, Florida is widely expected to remain in the Republican camp in the November 2024 election.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term, if he wins another term to the presidency without winning the state, he will become the second president after William McKinley in 1900 since its statehood to win two terms to the presidency without ever winning the state.

On May 23, 2024, the Reform Party of Florida applied to restore ballot access in the state. That same day, the party selected independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. for its nomination.

Republican primary
The Florida Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Democratic primary
On November 30, 2023, Politico reported that the Florida Democratic Party had only submitted Biden's name to the Secretary of State, which means that the primary will be cancelled under Florida law.

This cancellation was criticized by the Dean Phillips and Marianne Williamson campaigns. Williamson and fellow Democratic candidate Cenk Uygur held a press conference over Zoom on December 1 criticizing the move. On December 11, 2023, a voter filed a lawsuit in federal court seeking to add Phillips, Williamson, and Uygur's name to the ballot. The voter lost in district court but is expected to appeal.

Winner (Assumptive)

 * President Joe Biden

Polling

 * Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden


 * Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein


 * Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


 * Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris


 * Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton


 * Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


 * Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


 * Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden


 * Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris


 * Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton