2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.

An Upper Midwestern state at the heart of the Rust Belt, no Republican presidential candidate has won Michigan with a majority since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and the last Republican to win by double digits was Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide four years earlier. The state was formerly part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, but only doing so by a double-digit margin in 1996 and 2008. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by a very narrow 0.23% in an unexpected sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory, only to have the state flipped back into the Democratic column by Joe Biden four years later with a 2.78% margin of victory as the former lost the presidency to the latter. However, it was the worst margin for a victorious Democrat dating back to the 2.01% margin of victory for John F. Kennedy in the state in the extremely close 1960 election. Today, Michigan is purple to slightly blue, with Democrats holding all statewide offices since 2019, and is expected to be a crucial swing state in 2024, with polls indicating a tight race and most news organizations marking the state as a tossup.

On April 18, 2024, environmental lawyer Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party.

Democratic primary
Incumbent United States President Joe Biden won the Democratic primary race, held on February 27, 2024.

Republican primary
Former United States President Donald Trump won the Republican primary race, held on February 27, 2024.

Polling



 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump


 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein


 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein


 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West


 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West


 * Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump


 * Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein


 * Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


 * Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump


 * Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein


 * Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley


 * Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein


 * Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.


 * Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis


 * Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.