2024 United States presidential election in Maine

The 2024 United States presidential election in Maine is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maine voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Maine is a sparsely populated rural state in Northern New England. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. The at-large votes are expected to be contested by both parties, but are favored to be carried by the Democratic presidential candidate, having last been won by a Republican in 1988. However, the two congressional districts are expected to be split between the Democratic and Republican candidates, something that has occurred in 2016 and 2020.

This election will coincide with a U.S. Senate election, U.S. House elections for Maine's two congressional districts, and various other state, county and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden was running for reelection to a second term.

While Biden has led in most state-wide polls, some data suggests that Maine at-large could be a secondary battleground during the 2024 election cycle. In 2016, Trump narrowly lost Maine at-large to Hillary Clinton by less than 3% and a margin of 22,142 votes.

Democratic primary
The Maine Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary
The Maine Republican caucuses was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Attempted disqualification of Trump
On December 28, 2023, Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows removed Donald Trump from the ballot in a similar decision to Anderson v. Griswold in Colorado. On January 2, 2024, Trump appealed the ruling to the Maine Superior Court, arguing that Bellows is biased and that she has "no legal authority to consider the federal constitutional issues presented by the challengers". On January 17, a Maine Superior Court judge ordered the Bellows to wait for the Colorado case to be adjudicated by the Supreme Court before upholding or modifying her decision. Bellows appealed this decision to the Maine Supreme Judicial Court. On March 4, 2024, the Supreme Court unanimously ruled that Donald Trump is allowed to remain on the Maine ballot.

Predictions
Note these predictions are for Maine at-large.

Polling

 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump


 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Maine's 1st congressional district
Biden is favored to carry this district.
 * Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Maine's 2nd congressional district
Trump is favored to carry this district.
 * Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden